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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 27, 2023

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It will be very interesting to see if trans activists feel any pressure to tone down the violent rhetoric now that it has resulted in a bunch of dead kids.

Is there evidence that "violent rhetoric" played a role in this shooting?

Well this at least the third violent shooting by a trans person in only a few years. Given base rates this puts trans people at an extremely high risk level of becoming mass shooters

The temptation to use the nonetheless idiotic concept of stochastic terrorism is great.

I thought stochastic terrorism covered non-violent messages, which is what made it idiotic? There has been plenty of violent rhetoric from trans activists that have cleared the (admittedly extremely low) bar of "stochastic terrorism" and have gone straight to almost fedposting (actual fedposting, i.e. "threat of specific imminent danger" would likely have been removed by the platforms they were posted on).

Well they're apparently now removing the fedposts so I can't argue with that logic.

About as likely as gun activists feeling any pressure to moderate over school shootings.

I would expect frontlash of the, "it's terrible that trans people could be targeted because of this" variety.

Predictions?

My assumption is that plenty already have been concerned about this, and many of the remainder won't be swayed by anything. I wonder how many are in the middle?