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Culture War Roundup for the week of April 24, 2023

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However, in the end, I think they misjudge just how far the average Westerner, and particularly American, has moved away from them. People broadly suppost some level of immigration (and even a sharp reduction wouldn't head off "replacement"), don't think twice about interracial relationships, and like Jews. The white nationalist project of reimposing segregation is particularly baffling to me on logistical grounds alone.

I feel like this is an underappreciated point. I am under the impression that, within living memory, a great deal of the states of affairs dissident-right-types would like to return to obtained (in the US at least). Within living memory we had strong restrictions on immigration. Women and racial minorities were legally subordinate to white men. LGBT individuals were firmly in the closet across most of the country.

We transitioned from that state of affairs to the current one somehow. Even assuming we could get back to that state of affairs, what is going to prevent society from going through the same process again? Are women and racial minorities and LGBT people just going to accept their subordination this time? Are sympathetic white men going to somehow be prevented from gaining power? Of the 535 members of the 88th Congress, the one that passed the Civil Rights Act of 1964, a whole 4 were black and 14 were women, after all. Most of the people wielding political power to the benefit of women, minorities, LGBT people, whoever are straight white cis men!

The basic issue is despite some famous by Internet standards people giving the idea that the median under-30 white male is some angry dude who thinks wokeness is destroying everything, not only is the Democratic vote among white males under 30 higher in 2020 & 2022 than it is among 65+ white males, the Democratic vote is likely higher today, than among those same 65+ white males when they were under 30.

So, not only is the "dissident" right losing the pure numbers game, due to immigration and intermarriage and everything else, they're losing any kind of possible support among their target demographic.

This is largely the result of women, no?

No, the youth vote even among young white males in 2022 was still D+4 Democratic. Obviously, that's not as good as the D+31 young white women have, but it's better than any other white male demographic. Even among young Latino's males, 57% went for the Democratic candidate, despite talk of Latino's going away from the Democrat's. In addition, as also noted in that data, that narrowness among young white males is driven by rural youth voters, who went 64-33 for the GOP, as opposed to 66-31 for suburban and 67-28 for urban voters.

I'm not saying it's a fait accompoli, but there's no actual evidence that ya' know, manosphere Youtubers, alt-right Twitter, 4chan, or anything is actually moving young males to the right by any large degree. It's a combo of already conservative guys going even further right, and basically, teenage kids being idiots and going 'norrmie' once they actually get laid or have to actually get a job and interact with different people.

https://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/youth-are-not-monolith-how-different-young-people-voted-2022