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Culture War Roundup for the week of June 5, 2023

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My dad started on Wall Street in 1977. He always jokes that when he did, finance was seen as a dull career for old men. Senior bankers did OK, but it was no great path to riches. The CEO of the bank might make half a million dollars a year. Everyone else made much, much less. Salaries were higher at IBM, which he applied to but which didn’t give him an offer after the interview, than they were at Goldman Sachs. Star stock-pickers like Soros could make money, but there were only ever a handful of them and they were largely separated from the rest of Wall Street. My father speaks fluent Spanish and French, but went to a second-tier college so the State Department wouldn’t hire him, which was fair.

I say all this because I think we often forget that the present situation, where very smart people can easily make 10x a government salary in the private sector, is mostly a recent invention. When my father graduated college, a job in the federal civil service was an elite position with a good salary, full job security and a gold-plated pension. In 1972, the President made $200,000 a year. Almost nobody in the private sector came close. Today, he makes $400,000 a year. 25 year old software engineers and investment banking associates at good firms routinely make more.

The irony is that even the modern political grift is usually quite unprofitable, even outside the state. (And many classically successful political operators did, at various times, work for the federal bureaucracy, in the military, etc., including Nixon, whose first career choice was the FBI). Sure, Tucker made money, but he was at the top of the pyramid and still got cancelled. On the left, things aren’t much better. It’s a question not of where the skilled people are, because we know where they are (in finance and tech, by and large) but of why they don’t build careers in government, where they would grow to understand the levers of power that (later, as politicians) they could manipulate effectively. That, in turn, comes down to what @throwaway182127 was discussing below.

But I think it’s less that smart young people today don’t go into the federal bureaucracy because they think it discriminates against men, or against whites. It’s that it simply doesn’t pay very well. Smart young people will go for whatever offers the opportunity for wealth and status. In some societies, that might be the military. In others, it might be Blackstone, Bain, Sequoia, KKR and Google. The intellectual types who don’t want wealth (or who have it) will work in the arts or academia, the ones who do will work in finance, biglaw, consulting or tech. The rest are the dregs.

One of the best things a DeSantis type administration could do would be to raid the Republican statehouses for the top 5% of junior staffers by intelligence and charisma, and to insert them (as far as possible) into D.C. Of course, replacing the federal bureaucracy wholesale is less legal.

The irony is that even the modern political grift is usually quite unprofitable, even outside the state.

Obama's net worth is $70 million and it seems to me that he's able to live with the life and influence of someone much wealthier.

Of course, replacing the federal bureaucracy wholesale is less legal.

Depends on what part of the bureaucracy. Quite a bit is ostensibly entirely at the discretion of the executive, but I suspect that this isn't true in practice. Perhaps we'd find out if DeSantis took power, but I kind of doubt it.

Obama made a ton of money from book royalties, both before and after leaving office. He hardly seems representative of the average politician.