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Culture War Roundup for the week of September 12, 2022

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While artists will move to a different medium (or just a different job), that doesn't automatically make them safe. If an artist moves to 3d modeling, well, we're getting closer to solving various parts of modeling with AI (like NVIDIA has some cool pieces where they generate models from pictures). If an artist moves to writing stories, well, GPT-3 and Novel-AI are already relatively good. They're not as good as an actual writer at weaving a story, but they can be a lot better at prose.

I agree that people will move to new mediums. However, I expect that those mediums will be used as new areas where AI generation can advance. AI progress won't just sit still at this level of image and text generation forever. We 'just' need to throw enough compute and problem-solving skills at it.

However, I expect that those mediums will be used as new areas where AI generation can advance.

Ding ding ding.

The notable thing here is less that the AI got good at art, but more that it got good at art way quicker than most expected, and is demonstrating the ability to improve and learn 'new' skills with surprising ease.

It is near impossible to predict right now which particular fields are safe for a while vs. those which are mere months from being disrupted. Safe to say that any field or medium could be next.