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Culture War Roundup for the week of September 12, 2022

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I think legal business owners, small and otherwise, are generally more rational that drug dealers. If the punishment vs payoff curve is correctly designed, they will respond more like rational actors. Do you disagree?

Sure.

I also think it is functionally impossible to "correctly design" a payoff curve.

This is something that is beyond the capabilities of modern political science, despite what experts and pundits may believe. Too many variables, and there is substantial incentive to cheat or otherwise thwart the law.

Politically speaking, the incentive to insert carveouts, exceptions, and other incentives is also massive.

The nice thing about a big, dumb wall is that the engineering aspect is well understood. You just build it.

All I'm saying is that as a proposed solution I think the wall is much more likely to achieve the stated goals, at a lower cost (including ongoing cost) and isn't dependent as much on the 'rational' behavior of employers and immigrants.

Hence, why this solution has been used by many countries to much success.

You can certainly convince me that the tradeoffs or second order effects aren't worth it!

You seem to be assuming 1) the wall will not have ongoing costs but will be perfectly effective, and 2) the expense of actually enforcing the law will not decrease after some employers are destroyed and some companies are bankrupted. Those don't like reasonable assumptions to me.

I mean, if you're already arguing that employers will be destroyed and companies bankrupted, you're saying that a substantial economic cost is a good thing?

So are we agreeing that another benefit of a wall is that it doesn't require destroying employers and bankrupting companies to build it?

They will not come if they can't find work.

They will not come if a fifty-foot-tall barrier physically obstructs their route.

They will not come if a fifty-foot-tall barrier physically obstructs their route.

Unless the barrier proves trivial to breach or surmount. Or they enter on a legitimate visa and never leave.

They will not come if a fifty-foot-tall barrier physically obstructs their route

And then our agricultural system falls apart, wohoo

I believe the solution to that was to add a big beautiful door to allow the ones you need to come through.

The big, beautiful door was to be for legal immigrants, who will have been vetted and are not cartel members, who will swear allegiance to the USA. Sounds exactly like “the ones we need”.

A massively expanded and streamlined visas system for Latin American workers would likely soak up an enormous share of illegal entrants. However, I don't see much support for this on the right.