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I haven't seen anything yet to adjust my priors that it's some combination of 1. Room-temperature IQ people who were UFO nerds back in the 90s or so who have now become military officers, congresspeople, etc nerding out, seeing what they want to see, misinterpreting ambiguous evidence, etc, and 2. Manipulation and leaks by some shadowy Government/elite group trying to misdirect attention from whatever is really going on. As others have said, nobody is acting like there's an actual secret being leaked here.
I don't put a lot of faith in, well we still don't have a shred of actual evidence, but this guy who supposedly saw some actual evidence is totally more believable than the last guy who made some outlandish claims with no evidence.
Yeah, regarding 1, one point that doesn't get that much discussion is that, while people are going "Well, they're trained pilots and intelligence officers! These are precisely the people to trust!", I'd bet dollars to doughnuts that it's precisely these professions that would be filled to brim with people whose career track started when they were around 10 and engaging in what I've called "Library paranormal shelf childhood"; an early fascination with all things weird and hidden leading them to precisely the career track where you would most likely be able to "meet the aliens", or at least be able to learn the truth about them.
This is exactly the sort of an environment where UFO lore would be sloshing around freely, people would hear random bits of UFOlogy from their peers and combine them to new grand narratives, and eventually these would also reach people like Grusch assigned from outside to find the truth. Grusch hearing the same stories from multiple people just serves to confirm that there's multiple people believing the same narrative; it doesn't mean that narrative is actually true.
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Given that almost no one in congress has any training in either physics (beyond required freshman in college stuff) or aircraft observation, the fact that congress is impressed does not impress me. They’re lawyers, they have no expertise worth considering. It’s like, yeah, my lawyer believes in stuff that breaks physics.
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