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Culture War Roundup for the week of July 31, 2023

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I think Trump absolutely flip flops to cater to his audience. He did it many times in 2015/2016, and certainly has done since he left office.

One great example is Covid vaccines, which he personally endorsed, encouraged, and took (with a photo op) and was extremely proud of. Then in 2021, he gets booed multiple times at rallies, first for encouraging followers to get vaccinated and then even for saying he got the booster vaccine. And now he barely mentions it again. (I expect he might in the presidential debates v Biden, but not in the primary campaign). He actually was asked about this (iirc by Fox News) recently and he just kind of shrugs and says “well, I don’t even know if they work actually” or something. This for what he considered his greatest or one of his greatest achievements in office.

Trump is a master at telling people what they want to hear. His views on abortion, on religion, on trans issues have all changed as the base has changed. On immigration and trade he’s been consistent for a while, he does have some longstanding political beliefs, but on many other issues he moves with and caters to his audience, part of what makes him a great politician (when it comes to getting elected, at least).

I think Obama’s core political value - and David Samuels does kind of notes this in the linked article - is a generic center-left Euro style hostility to American exceptionalism. I don’t think he’s a radical, or a hardcore third-worldist or anything, and I think he rationally sees that as stupid and performative on the part of wealthy westerners. But he doesn’t believe America is a special place, or a special opportunity, the way that even many radical leftists in the American tradition did. And he thinks that it’s a little stupid, a little plebeian, to engage in that kind of rhetoric. He’s a pure elitist, in a way, but he’s not quite smart enough to be a true intellectual. He’s most similar to the archetypal /r/atheism poster back in the day, or to the annoying kid who always raises his hand in class to lecture the teacher, which is what he apparently was.

He had a quest for power and then wealth, but it wasn’t really to be remembered as a great statesman or to implement a particular political program or even to just have power, it was to be the wise man in the corner of the party surrounded by devoted adherents. That’s genuinely what motivates him, he wants to be an intellectual.

And now he barely mentions it again.

I don't think this is evidence of Trump "flip-flopping" so much as the fact that Omicron is objectively far less lethal than previous strains of Covid and that society seems to have largely moved on from Covid - bringing it up is yesterday's battle.

Exactly. The 5 people left who still care about COVID are also likely fervently blue tribe so it is completely pointless for Trump to try and appeal to them.