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User ID: 1865

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User ID: 1865

There have been attempts and some successful consolidations, but also a lot of these small businesses are complete landmines that don't work as advertised

Yeah. Similar to the one in Australia recently on the Indigenous voice where the opposition were campaigning around the lines of 'This is not the appropriate way to recognize the Indigenous and may be an overreach' instead of 'Ha! This is an absurdity' direct refutation. Which makes it a bit harder to capitalize on the failure.

Honestly surprised me that somebody with his interests actually did something in the real world, especially something so grandiosely self-destructive. Big From Software game enthusiast.

Personally I don't take much umbrage at somebody choosing to identify as another sex/change their pronouns, but I feel that gender confirmation surgery is a crude facisimile that's 99% likely to be considered Lobotomesque in a generation or two. Whether that's due to the whole transgenderism thing falling out of vogue, or the evolution of something (whether digital avatars or genetic remixing) that actually accomplishes the goal.

It is a six-hour miniseries and at least 70% of the show is filled with boring relationship drama (the remaining 30% being focused on the actual…criminal investigation).

I feel like this is generally an issue with miniseries. There's this relentless need to take the half of the show that's about an interesting topic (Mindhunter particularly galling for this) and then wedge it against the protagonist's personal relationship issues, especially if it's a period piece with period vibes for the main concept and yet the protagonist is living their personal problems through 2020 norms and cultural memes. I understand the actual core stuff is what costs money and is hard to write, but the amount of shows where it has to be wild pingponging between 'here is the thing the show is about' and 'here is his girlfriend feeling neglected' is ridiculous.

I've never understood why the guillotine isn't the most humane way. Big enough/fast enough pneumatic press with a big enough blade and there's few things plausibly more consistent.

I feel like the relentless optimization of sports has also contributed to this. Everybody's got media training out the ass, the majority of games have congealed around one or two correct ways to play a given position and exposure to Instagram etc. means that whilst the stars are more accessible than they've ever been there's just not that much of a cult of personality around them.

Or maybe I'm getting old.

Isn't the other failure state some version of 'your metric of rating high performers is flawed/becomes gamed' at which point you become Enron in which anybody who isn't committing fraud upon fraud upon fraud is fucked.

I never heard of the Madagascar plan before but as an alt history that would be one of the more interesting things if it happened especially for the HBD crowd if 6 million Jews went there.

There were a few equivalent ones. Northern Australia was also mooted, and I'd love to see a counterfactual in which the Australian Indigenous had to fare with that particular settlement.

I do feel like it's tricky for CFB since, aside from the perennial bluebloods with infinity $'s, the transitory nature of college players means that promotion & relegation could mean a lot of awkward yo-yoing.

If some random no-hoper team happens to get a super prospect for a few years and gets promoted 2 or 3x times due to having that incredible player... then the next decade of the team's existence is likely gonna be depressing and downward focused.

There's literally hundreds of colleges in each division. Plus each team is completely replacing its roster every 4-5 years

According to my Chinese wife accumulating a big list of churches you’ve attended is a strategy for claiming religious refugee status.

You can just list off different churches you've attended and pattern-match to somebody else's semi-recent claim of repression?

Online Dating optimization stuff does exist from what I've seen, but I think it's a bit more balkanized since there's more stuff like 'Profile coaching' and 'Profile photoshoots' as opposed to the more direct-line PUA stuff.

Great point. Collectivist living'd skew it back, definitely wouldn't expect them to be top 2 for average adult incomes.

Filipinos are the second highest income group? That seems off.

Yup. It's uncomfortable for either side to admit this, but wokism is a Western value.

There's plenty of random Affirmative Action in the developing world, but a lot of the ones who end up in the West tend not to think highly of it since they're the successful Market Minorities getting screwed over in their own countries.

He's not saying they're literal robots, just that they're increasingly close to optimal/perfect play whilst 30-40 years ago there was a lot more flair in it.

One thing that I have noticed, and should really give you pause, is the frequency with which these high-g women with similar spouses have autistic children. It's not necessarily an awesome idea to breed two shape rotators in an attempt at creating an uber-rotator.

My mom was the teacher at a fairly unique private school that was essentially designed to cater to autistics, school-refusers and target a band of about 10th-20th percentile intelligence (since the ones largely below that were seen as being very difficult to create positive outcomes from). Very anecdotal, especially since the fees were quite high, but the amount of brilliant, professionally-successful (Actuaries, Surgeons, Engineers etc) parents at that school who'd seemingly benefited from being low-medium on the spectrum who'd then produce a child who was unable to function on their own, was very high.

I do think it's partly confounded by the rate with which professionally successful individuals tended to wait till later in life to actually have kids, but it was definitely a trend in the parental population.

Couldn't that have to do with network effects counting for more in Verbal pursuits, since it's less objective who the 'best' law professor is whilst mathematics can be tangibly measured far more easily?

I think it's trickier than that, though. I've got this fairly strong memory of a multiple choice verbal question along the lines of

'How does Alcohol impact driving skills

A) Strongly negatively B) Negatively C) Significantly Negatively D) Positively '

Where I'm sure they wanted the exact wording of the pamphlet in hindsight, but it's also somewhat absurd to mark any of A-C as incorrect.

$20 million would be a bit insane but I definitely know of staking arrangements for Online balances.

Also the amount of truly great Poker Players who died broke and/or are in large amounts of debt due to their general degeneracy is a pretty large number. Tom Dwan one of the best to ever do it, but in huge debt etcetera.

Staking is a pretty frequent phenomenon where people will essentially commit a bankroll to a great player in exchange for a cut of winnings, though even that circles back to 'the hourly is pretty terrible' since even if you're winning 2k an hour, if you've committed 90% of your profits to the person who's staked you you end up in the same hole.

Poker's a tricky one. I agree the best player as in 'the most skilled person at Poker' is an online bot kind of a thing, but the stars of yesteryear still eke out a living even with fairly mid skills by modern pro standards by mastering the greatest skill of all, which is Table Selection.

Far easier to be a medium fish who's good at finding small ponds than to be the biggest shark there ever was.

Cancer kind of a weird one these days, isn't it? Not that it isn't serious in most cases, but huge difference between Grade 2 somewhere treatable and Grade 4 Pancreatic.