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User ID: 1865
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
He's not saying they're literal robots, just that they're increasingly close to optimal/perfect play whilst 30-40 years ago there was a lot more flair in it.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
One thing that I have noticed, and should really give you pause, is the frequency with which these high-g women with similar spouses have autistic children. It's not necessarily an awesome idea to breed two shape rotators in an attempt at creating an uber-rotator.
My mom was the teacher at a fairly unique private school that was essentially designed to cater to autistics, school-refusers and target a band of about 10th-20th percentile intelligence (since the ones largely below that were seen as being very difficult to create positive outcomes from). Very anecdotal, especially since the fees were quite high, but the amount of brilliant, professionally-successful (Actuaries, Surgeons, Engineers etc) parents at that school who'd seemingly benefited from being low-medium on the spectrum who'd then produce a child who was unable to function on their own, was very high.
I do think it's partly confounded by the rate with which professionally successful individuals tended to wait till later in life to actually have kids, but it was definitely a trend in the parental population.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
Couldn't that have to do with network effects counting for more in Verbal pursuits, since it's less objective who the 'best' law professor is whilst mathematics can be tangibly measured far more easily?
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
I think it's trickier than that, though. I've got this fairly strong memory of a multiple choice verbal question along the lines of
'How does Alcohol impact driving skills
A) Strongly negatively B) Negatively C) Significantly Negatively D) Positively '
Where I'm sure they wanted the exact wording of the pamphlet in hindsight, but it's also somewhat absurd to mark any of A-C as incorrect.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
$20 million would be a bit insane but I definitely know of staking arrangements for Online balances.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
Also the amount of truly great Poker Players who died broke and/or are in large amounts of debt due to their general degeneracy is a pretty large number. Tom Dwan one of the best to ever do it, but in huge debt etcetera.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
Staking is a pretty frequent phenomenon where people will essentially commit a bankroll to a great player in exchange for a cut of winnings, though even that circles back to 'the hourly is pretty terrible' since even if you're winning 2k an hour, if you've committed 90% of your profits to the person who's staked you you end up in the same hole.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
Poker's a tricky one. I agree the best player as in 'the most skilled person at Poker' is an online bot kind of a thing, but the stars of yesteryear still eke out a living even with fairly mid skills by modern pro standards by mastering the greatest skill of all, which is Table Selection.
Far easier to be a medium fish who's good at finding small ponds than to be the biggest shark there ever was.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
Cancer kind of a weird one these days, isn't it? Not that it isn't serious in most cases, but huge difference between Grade 2 somewhere treatable and Grade 4 Pancreatic.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
I do remember going to Ireland as part of a school trip and being pretty confused why Dublin's only Landmark seemed to be the Guinness Brewery.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
Yes but in a lot of the satraps the previous running of affairs prior to the British was also some flavor of being a Satrap to the Mughals, Maratha or whoever the hell else. And if you were a peasant it didn't make a huge lick of difference who exactly held the reins of power on account of said reins being about 14 social classes above where you were.
I've got a few friends of very upper-caste Indian extraction, and the complaints about the Raj always rang somewhat hollow to me as the vibe was always very 'For a century there we were only the 2nd highest rung of the ladder, and lived lives of luxury that were somewhat obliged to Anglos' ilk whilst trying to uplift the grievances of commoners as being somehow related to their great grandfather who was the vice-chief minister of Commerce for Bombay and dined mightily off his servants.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
Yeah. I've always found the movie Lagaan insane where they're holding up the existing monarchial despot as being oppressed by having a layer of British taxation on top of his feudalism. Like I understand in the movie the British are enforcing a brutal tax, but it's not like India having droughts and feudal taxation being harsh are some unique invention of the Anglo.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
Northern Ireland was closer to a settler-colony and has similar issues.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
You're an Australian, correct?
Trump is the current favorite to win the next election @ $2.40 (Roughly 41.6%). You can bet 1000's of AUD currently on this not to happen at 58.4% (with a minor commission, taking you to about 56% implied) on the Betfair exchange. Tax-free winnings as an Australian hobbyist, too. As you think Trump is 85% to get jailed here, surely that makes your number of him winning the election a lot lower than 41.6%. Can even bet against him to win the Republican nomination at 81.3% with similar liquidity. No counterparty risk there.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
"Me Too" may have had its overreaches, but it's bad when women are sexually coerced in the workplace. It's bad when false accusations destroy an innocent man's life, but it's also bad when a woman is genuinely taken advantage of. The balance of type 1 errors to type 2 errors has shifted - and while I'm not sure it's worse to be a female victim than a falsely accused man, I would expect that the deterred male misconduct is much greater in frequency than the corresponding rise in female misconduct. Similarly, many jurisdictions have consciously made it easier to convict men for rape - and again, while this is a double edged sword, the fact that more bad guys are getting punished and others are being deterred from doing bad things is good. Additionally, the type of conduct that is not rape but may result in an increased likelihood of being accused of rape is conduct that I think is bad - so even if it sometimes gets punished unfairly harshly, I don't mind men being disincentivized from e.g. getting women drunk to make them more pliable.
I think there's been a lot of pro-social behavior that's been thrown out with the bathwater, though. The proportion of people meeting their partners at work has dived off a cliff, and like that's generally good sort of assortative mating that produces solid outcomes for everybody. I don't think you can just purely say it's 'falsely accused men versus molested women' when there's a ton of social behavior that has been modified.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
Republicans in PA in 2019 opened up mail in ballot access because it would help turn out in rural voters who had to travel long distances to a polling place. They did this in 2019, before Covid.
Could see it being kind of an odd catch 22 where Republicans are more likely to get legitimate mail-in votes where people are either too old, too remote or overseas in order to vote whilst the mail-in voting demographic amongst the Democrats would be more about people who simply can't be bothered participating in the typical voting process.
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
UST & USDT easy to get mixed up. Terra, potentially?
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
Canada is also the leading in the immigrants who leave as well. Over 20% of immigrants have left in the last twenty five years.
Combination of the USA being next door, the weather and some other stuff?
Forgotpassword
4mo ago
Fairly big difference between 'maybe relax the restrictions on building new dwellings a bit' and 'to reduce the housing shortage, we're moving three more people in with every domicile since 'cause'. I'd say your vibe is more against the latter.
Forgotpassword
5mo ago
I've heard the theory that due to it generally being more comfortable to be 'out' as a homosexual in more educated/affluent surrounds and in more successful demographics that there's an associated upward skew on homosexual average income, education and the rest.
If 90% of affluent gays feel comfortable coming out, whilst only 20% of lower-class gays feel comfortable, that can explain a ton of overperformance.
Forgotpassword
5mo ago
AFAIK Canberra's more left wing, such as being the only region to actually Vote Yes at the last referendum... but I guess it's more of a Labor-voting Left Wing than a radical one.
Forgotpassword
5mo ago
They way I see it - if you were a jewish person with SJW opinions you don't have a right to complain about the lack of lube on the dildo of consequences that the people you supported and allied yourself with are inserting right now in your asshole.
This is essentially how I feel.
I'd rather have Israel than an Arabic region, since I think the latter wouldn't really be especially productive, whilst the former's been able to provide a bastion of a culture that's somewhat similar to mine and be economically productive. I also feel that the ADL has provided a lot of the blueprint for the modern anticolonial woke movement, and that it is very funny that suddenly the Zionist diaspora is getting hoisted by the petard that they've been condemning the rest of the West for.
Forgotpassword
5mo ago
Yeah. My interpretation was that he was diving/trying for some moderate rough play and landed the proverbial critical hit.
I don't think there was any intent of it ending as it did, but he also clearly made an abnormal movement for the sport
Forgotpassword
5mo ago
Yeah but as you go down the IQ scale the comparative advantages for businesses become a bit more complicated than sticking Kanban boards in and doing a weekly standup.
There's plenty of random Affirmative Action in the developing world, but a lot of the ones who end up in the West tend not to think highly of it since they're the successful Market Minorities getting screwed over in their own countries.
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