naraburns nihil supernum
1yr ago
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Israel-Gaza Megathread #3
This is a refreshed megathread for any posts on the conflict between (so far, and so far as I know) Hamas and the Israeli government, as well as related geopolitics. Culture War thread rules apply.
Republicans won the muslim vote before 9/11. While today's American muslims have a different ethnic makeup(less Arabic and more African), it's not implausible that republicans could make their margins look dramatically better by exploiting pride-type issues if democrats aren't perceived as better on Israel.
Muslims before 9/11 were essentially wealthy, largely secularized Levantines, North Africans and Iranians (plus a few black converts). Mass immigration has changed the profile as you suggest, but it’s been so total that it’s hard to see things returning to the previous situation.
There's a pretty big difference between an 80/20 split and a 60/40 split. Republicans will probably not win the muslim vote outright, but they can possibly prevent democrats from dominating it.
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Notes -
Republicans won the muslim vote before 9/11. While today's American muslims have a different ethnic makeup(less Arabic and more African), it's not implausible that republicans could make their margins look dramatically better by exploiting pride-type issues if democrats aren't perceived as better on Israel.
Muslims before 9/11 were essentially wealthy, largely secularized Levantines, North Africans and Iranians (plus a few black converts). Mass immigration has changed the profile as you suggest, but it’s been so total that it’s hard to see things returning to the previous situation.
There's a pretty big difference between an 80/20 split and a 60/40 split. Republicans will probably not win the muslim vote outright, but they can possibly prevent democrats from dominating it.
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