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Soriek  6mo ago (text post)   876 thread views

Transnational Thursdays 29

This is a weekly thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or IR history. I usually start off with coverage of some current events from a mix of countries I follow personally and countries I think the forum lives in or might be interested in. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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the west seems the most likely to have benefited from Nord Strom

from its existence or damage?

(answer strongly depends on how much you are scared by Russian influence on Europe and how much you value cheap energy)

Better yet, split the west into Europe and America, and ask who benefits from the destruction of European industry and the generation of a new dependence on liquefied natural gas.

destruction of European industry

Also here you have two factors: via high energy prices (OK, partial destruction) and via stupid not needed war in central Europe (yes, chance is tiny and effects are tiny, but still that would be fuckup on such scale that even tiny changes are significant)

You mean, the chance that the war spreads into Poland, Germany etc?

Yes. But Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania would be far more likely as start.

(not claiming that either is likely or feasible short term, within decade but on longer scale war is a risk)

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