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do_something


				

				

				
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joined 2023 April 07 09:10:46 UTC

				

User ID: 2321

do_something


				
				
				

				
1 follower   follows 0 users   joined 2023 April 07 09:10:46 UTC

					

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User ID: 2321

"US official says Russia has probably lost half its tanks, used majority of precision-guided weapons in Ukraine" is hardly "no tanks" or "ran out of artillery shells and missiles"

0% is not the same as 50%

Several countries went on large equipment buying spree, for example Poland ordered massive amount of wide range of materiel. Delivery of some already started.

I will need to check at some point has anyone thought about building up munition supply and storage.

In general military spending on equipment significantly increased, though mostly for countries on NATO border.

Yes, letting armed planes and drones in means that they do not fully control airspace.

(Yes, the same applies even more to Ukraine regularly hit by missile and drone attacks - and also NATO territory where occasional drone or missile was happily flying through, with no shot downs. Turns out that airspace control is hard.)

My hunch is that a policy of open arms for all (ethnic) Russian immigrants would help with the Polish reputation of being rabidly russophobic

Totally not worth it, even if it would work and change opinion.

And yes, Poland is rapidly against Russian government, for good reasons. Though Russians should be fine, ale long as they are not supporting Russian government or having positive opinion about Putin/Hitler/Russian invasion etc.

But for strategic reasons having substantial Russian minority is a risk that would be nice to be without.

It's hardly realistic to assume that any Russian offensive in the future will even reach the Moldovan border.

Interesting, I would expect full collapse of Ukraine to be at least possible - even if not the most likely outcome.

NAFO

If you are getting normies from such groups you really need to recheck your normie supply. Typical person was not engaging in this.

their fortified positions will be pounded into dust because they're a paper bear

I have not really seen it, people making this type of stupid prediction are unaware that fortified positions exist.

when you're working day and night to abolish the "self" of Ukraine

I am not, next question please.

Perhaps not this stimulus or that stimulus, but the implication is that $X will win the war (for some value of $X).

That is true, on assumption that converting this to weapons will be possible. This war is more equipment-constrained than manpower-constrained.

So now Reuters is stating that Russia is a "larger, better-equipped enemy"? Really? This is where we're at, after more than 2 years? They actually have the cheek to say this? Every single liberal leftist normie-oriented talking head I ever encountered kept repeating for months that the orc invasion force is completely undersized for the task, their rapist orc cannon fodder is deserting en masse and running from their positions like rabbits, they ran out of artillery shells and missiles, have no food, no gear, no body armor, no tanks, what equipment they have is all a piece of crap etc.

Really? I have seen many many "Russia outguns Ukraine" articles over time. Also who the heck claims that Russia has no tanks and run out of artillery shells? Where are you getting your "normies"? Even dumber parts of reddit are not so dumb.

orc invasion force is completely undersized for the task

This one I heard mostly from pro-Russia trolls before full-scale war started in their "Russia has no plans to invade Ukraine full scale and no Russian soldiers attacked Ukraine" mode.

What about "Russia is so strong that if we don't stop them here, they may be able to take Moldovia/Estonia! But if delay them and rebuild European armies then risk becomes nonexisting. Also, maybe they will be even kicked out of Ukraine that has not collapsed yet?" for pessimistic version? Without cognitive dissonance?

OK, I was not expecting this one. So it is fiction, about pretending to be forced into some sexual acts, via nonexisting method?

How many layers of indirection people need here?

Still, it technically includes depiction of rape somewhere so I am not so surprised that they get rid of it.

Well, obviously it is fictional depiction of such acts, maybe at most only fans-style porn.

Well, obviously it is fictional depiction of such acts, maybe at most only fans-style porn.

If Ukraine or at least relevant part would be occupied by Russia

they went out of their way to say hypnosis porn is banned, what the fuck

I am not so surprised that someone wants rape via mind control be kicked out of their platform (or is it somehow something else?)

reasons

Moldova is small corrupt weak country not in NATO, already partially invaded by Russia. It is buffered by Ukraine. If Ukraine or at least relevant part would be occupied by Russia - then Moldova is a very likely target.

You should bribe able bodied Russian men between 18 and 30 to seek asylum which would deprive Russia of both soldiers and workers.

Why we would want Russians as a substantial minority? Especially if you already worries about possibly being invaded by Russia?

See how Russians in Germany organised pro-putin demonstrations. Maybe it was only small minority but enough to put off me from accepting Russians.

(also, exit controls by Ukrainians were mostly covering limiting how many man could leave)

Russia is so weak that one more round of $X billion will win the war for Ukraine.

has anyone serious claimed that? Has Biden ever described for example some round as final and sufficient to win the war?

I will ask the same question that I've asked repeatedly: if porn is so bad and the NWO wants to get you addicted to it, then why do they make it so very difficult to distribute?

answer is simple, there is no NWO

again, there is no central ruling cabal but many forces in play. Some push porn and that nearly all deviations are fine, some run financial puritanism or their lawyers told them that not processing problematic porn payments would be a good idea. And many more in between.

From about 2015 until Merkel's retirement people were regularly calling Poland WN or worse.

This does not change that any definition classifying Poland as WN is deranged.

No "lead developer" would be asking this question.

Note "sole" part. In this case "lead developer" is puffery that costs them nothing and worker can put it on CV.

Except that I’ve never ever seen this drive more people to support these causes.

I am aware of such cases. In one case because people cared, were willing to take being late or risking beating or prison sentence or being thrown out of work and take minor risk of being assassinated by regime - but they were not aware that such opinion was widely shared.

So protests sparked strikes and so on.

Note that https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1981_warning_strike_in_Poland basically failed - despite 12 million people participating in strike - in country that had 36 million people! Imagine 111 million people on strike in USA! Strike included regime television, all TV went out for 4 hours.

But https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988_Polish_strikes were final trigger for regime change.


On other side: for minor issues even minor protest can cause results, especially for local government issues when noone really opposes them. Or opposing group will happily go away and try to take less defended victim rather than fight this specific battle. In sufficiently minor cases things as simple as single person mailing local government can work.


Other model: it is demonstration of power and one step away from armed mob/uprising/terrorism. This also sometimes works. Sometimes by progressing into outright revolution.

See Ukraine in 2014 (president run away, no full scale civil war*) or how Tzarist Russia ended (ended in a full scale civil war).

*or ended in a civil war if you treat what happened in East as civil war rather than Russian invasion.

I participated in some minor protests which were held and they were useful as they were used as "see, people actually care about this issue".

They helped to result in changes at local level.

Protests can be seen as kind of mini-referendum - and give sign to politicians they should at least pretend to care about given topic. Or maybe even care and do something.

In last local elections all politicians actually pretended to care about this topics, some seem to actually care about this topics.

Protest is better sign of actual strong interest than FB petition.

"We don't expect you to be white, but we do expect you to act white."

By such metric Switzerland or Poland is white nationalist.

Or, South Africa by apartheid times was not.

And doing this in family setting typically irritates another person much more than ignoring their comment about shadowy conspiracy.

Often dismissing it out of hand rather than demanding proof is much better strategy.