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Notes -
This article asserts that the figures provided by the Gaza Health Ministry on civilian deaths since Israel's invasion cannot be trusted. It links to this article, which argues that the figures provided are obviously fabricated given how they violate statistical expectations.
I am not very good at stats, so can someone tell me if these arguments are credible?
Unfortunately I think being good at stats doesn't help much here, it's more about what is normal for a war, which is hard for us peace-cels.
That said the total really looks downright bizarre. It's almost perfectly linear, war almost definitely doesn't kill exactly the same amount of people every day without fail.
The point about the lack of correlation between women and children makes sense if you consider children as < 10 yrs or so, but if we assume that a lot of teenagers, possibly even soldiers, below 18 are counted as children it's not unsurprising to be uncorrelated. I guess that would just be damning in a different way, though.
The absurdly strong negative correlation between men and women also primarily makes sense if we consider most men to be Hamas fighters, but not if we consider them as civilians.
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