Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
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User ID: 863
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
17hr ago
Why is South Africa the appropriate reference country? If you look at the impactcounter dashboard (the Brooke Nichols project) they break down their death estimates by cause and provide a methodology for them. To take one example: Malaria. Approximately 71k of their death estimates are from additional Malaria cases due to canceling the President's Malaria Initiative. As best I can tell from Wikipedia the initiative never extended to South Africa.
The dashboard I linked to does give the source of its data though.
The methodology page for malaria generally is here and it relies on this medrxiv paper for the estimation of the impact of the PMI. The paper provides specific estimates for impacts by country and over the course of the year based on what countries were receiving PMI, how much of their national anti-malarial program it constituted, and what kind of stockpiles were already available.
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