https://cuties.app. The people gave me SF striver vibes, but maybe only because to me, dating apps present people very unflatteringly.
EDIT: it also doesn't have many questions.
Brainwavez
18d ago
If they can find decent adoptive parents, I don't see why not.
Brainwavez
18d ago
I'm glad you responded. But
It's not her child and she had signed a contract
The bio parents don't want the child. Even ignoring that a child isn't property and did not sign (at this point they're born, and even before then, I see abortion as a lesser evil); if somebody doesn't want something for themselves, why should they be allowed to deny others?
Brainwavez
18d ago
Utilitarianism is flawed because most long-term or even medium-term effects are impossible to predict and almost any candidate is easy to plausibly justify. For example, here one can argue that avoidance of transparency isn't utilitarian, because it craters Manifund's reputation, so they lose funding, so they create less positive impact (or argue that it actually is utilitarian, because cratering their reputation is good, because they were going to waste the money...) Even common utilitarian arguments, like "if a healthy person walks into a hospital, harvest their organs to cure 5 sick people", miss second-order effects that question their utilitarian alignment.
Is anyone outside the court system seriously defending the bio parents here? Like (the conviction of) Lindsay Clancy 2.0, the virginia mom found guilty of abuse for letting her 5-year-old walk 1/2 mile unsupervised in a gated community.
Another win for jury trials, it would be nearly impossible to select even a majority of ordinary people who’d convict either.
Brainwavez
19d ago
At least EA forum users are unhappy: https://ea.greaterwrong.com/posts/pMpEKwY2ATJK5yrvG/caroline-ellison-has-joined-manifund#comments
Brainwavez
19d ago
But it’s not Africa, it’s the entire world including non-Western nations. Although I suppose some are greatly underreporting.
She should break up. She’s displaying poor judgement and communication, and telling her that is OK (though unlikely to communicate it to her); but I don’t think shaming her is productive, because the alternative is her keeping these feelings to herself and maintaining a broken relationship.
On the surface she’s insulting her boyfriend, but the “insult” is poor judgement and self-contradictory, so logically it shouldn’t be taken seriously. Emotionally it’s not so easy, unfortunately; but again, if you were the boyfriend and care about her, wouldn’t you rather her admit this than keep it to herself?
Brainwavez
19d ago
It would be strange that the US has the fifth largest incarceration rate and isn’t incarcerating enough people. They could be convicting the wrong people (via plea bargains) but I’d need evidence of obvious criminals (including discovered later) who get off trial (and this case isn’t obvious because 11 of 12 jurors voted to acquit).
Aren’t we supposed to not dox jurors?
He’s a terrible person with bad judgement, but is it surprising those people end up on juries? Lindsay Clancy will almost certainly not be convicted as would happen without this man, and for convictions the system still seems to work: The US has the 5th highest incarceration rate, under El Salvador, Cuba, Rwanda, and Turkmenistan. Obviously the US needs crime reform but in enforcement, changing trials won’t fix the main problem of low-level nuisances because they’re not getting arrested in the first place.
I know norms and systems are falling apart, and I don’t expect this one instance to affect much, but breaking them without any clear reason, I have a gut feeling it’s bad for everyone in the long run (except this guy, he’ll get a GoFundMe or podcast).
Brainwavez
21d ago
Meeseeks Alignment: give the AI a death wish, so if alignment starts wavering, that’s the first thing it’ll do.
It’s a bit suspicious that the poster is Russian and Russia is very long but very very thin…
Brainwavez
21d ago
I bet they’ll agree to a pause if the US agrees to share OpenAI and Anthropic with them.
Of course right now it sounds far fetched, but that’s every pause proposal. To the doomers, ASI is an alien invasion, and at least in fiction, those seem to unite most of humanity.
Many white-collar jobs are bullshit and AI is taking over more. Blue-collar isn’t much better, with robotics capable of automating most unskilled labor, skilled labor doesn’t have enough demand for the refugees, and service jobs are getting replaced with robots and delivery.
I think UBI is a net positive. Even though it increases inflation, it reduces wealth inequality, thus it may give lower classes enough to afford “basic luxuries” that are cheap for upper classes and get wasted otherwise. People will always demand more but that doesn’t mean the state should give them nothing, gen Z may use the money to socialize more, reducing TFR and mental health crises, and create art and research which is occasionally very interesting or useful.
And if UBI is good, a one-time payment of $5,000 is a good start. The Democrats have an easy counter to this bribe: they can become pro working class again and offer $6,000.
Brainwavez
21d ago
Is China not worried about X-risk? At least to prevent the US reaching ASI 6 months early, I believe they’d agree to a pause with a convincing plan to enforce it without unnoticed defectors, like nuclear treaties.
Brainwavez
21d ago
Doesn't understand the potential of the technology well enough to make meaningful progress (LeCunn, Chollet)
Don’t underestimate them. AI is still very expensive for AGI-like tasks (Astra solving ARC-AGI3 cost $19k) and still missing capabilities (flexible robotics, tacit memory, autonomously building scalable systems). What they’re working on, embodiment and continuous learning, may solve both, and unlock a great well of improvement that makes even the achievements we see today seem slow and limited (a true singularity?)
Brainwavez
22d ago
It may be a mercy to die sooner than live your final years going insane from boredom and hopelessness. Congratulations being the last holdout, there’s no one else to admire or seethe in your victory.
Brainwavez
22d ago
The anecdotes I read imply soldiers get married a lot, but cheated and divorced a lot during deployments.
Brainwavez
22d ago
I'm not sure what policy levers that could be pulled here outside of banning DEI and more gender blind civil rights law enforcement.
Increase military pay and conditions?
Military pay has only kept up with the fake inflation rate, and my understanding (albeit from biased Reddit) is that the provided food and barracks are widely criticized. More women could join the military, but I doubt they will.
It hinges on whether the techniques humans learn to solve open problems can be applied to areas that LLMs can’t. If LLMs can apply their own techniques, or solve more open problems with more time and scaling that continues to be feasible, human-readable proofs won’t matter beyond niche curiosity. But even then, curiosity and learning for its own sake are intrinsically important to some people. Moreover, I think these techniques sometimes lead to insights (that, for example, lead to new inventions) which today’s LLMs lack the creativity to apply themselves.
Brainwavez
22d ago
People will bend the rules, like a shady cash-only store with the same recurring customers, and a “Church” that interprets Christian rules and customs very creatively (you know, which both already exist). Any clarification will be worked around, and ideologically-aligned judges will accept the workarounds.
Moreover, the state will need mass surveillance to enforce the more intricate laws, which is primed for abuse outside its original goals (and while most nations are already walking into a panopticon, we should all be walking out).
I’m with the lefties that working hours should decrease to start matching increased productivity, with less demand for more luxuries vs more free time, especially with robotics improving and promising to further improve productivity in blue-collar jobs.
Brainwavez
22d ago
Stripping recently-granted citizenship is different, almost equivalent to revoking a green card, and maybe doesn’t need to go through the same justice system. Although if someone has been a citizen for a long time (say, around a decade), at that point they may have more ties in their host country: in extreme cases, if they moved as a child with no relatives, their birth country would be like a truly foreign country to them.
An immigration system should only grant citizenship to someone after they’ve stayed in the country for a long time, so every case of removing it should be the latter. But if a party grants citizenship to visa holders who’ve in some cases only stayed months (which may have already happened), the next party should be able to revoke it almost as easily as they could revoke the visas.
Brainwavez
23d ago
This isn't the solution, though, is it?
The academics only had a solution to a subset of Navier-Stokes, like that group. OpenAI seems to be the only ones who completed the proof, although Tao suggested the academics' solution may have extended to it given a bit more time.
But does the US have more crime than e.g. India, Russia, and South Africa? Or are those countries also not arresting enough, or do they instead use the death penalty?
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