DradisPing
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User ID: 1102
DradisPing
1mo ago
I think it goes back to an idea best explained by Paul Graham: https://paulgraham.com/say.html
"The spread of the term "political correctness" meant the beginning of the end of political correctness, because it enabled one to attack the phenomenon as a whole without being accused of any of the specific heresies it sought to suppress."
The post 2000 academic left learned that lesson well. They fight hard against any attempt to label them. They are just a bunch of people who want "good things" not a political group with an agenda.
This flows into some other areas. For instance some people get upset with the term Democrat when discussing politics. There was a guy on HN who insisting that saying Democrat was like saying Jew instead of Jewish. Of course that leaves the english language without a verbal way to distinguish between democratic policies and Democratic policies. Which is exactly the point. It makes discussions difficult.
Meanwhile both Republican and GOP refer to a clear group.
DradisPing
2mo ago
Perhaps the most shocking thing about the public discourse around this bill has been... the lack of public discourse around this bill. What the hell has happened to us?
The Conservatives are leading the Liberals 42 - 24 in national polls. Keep in mind that the Liberals generally poll better between elections.
So a big chunk of the Liberal voter base has given up on Trudeau. However this puts the press in a bad spot.
The Trudeau government introduces subsidies of Canadian newsrooms. It's now up to $85,000 per reporter for qualifying news organizations. The Conservatives are likely to scrap it.
So Canadian news media is in a spot where if they do their job they are likely to go bankrupt after the next election.
DradisPing
1mo ago
There are more risks involved in giving new drugs to women of childbearing age because of unexpected pregnancies.
DradisPing
27d ago
Ukraine has a conscription problem. El Salvador has 100,000 gang members in prison that they don't know what to do with.
I see a solution to both problems.
DradisPing
1mo ago
In Ottawa, 20 years ago. A local pub near Parliament Hill had a special. For $200 you could get a bottle of Dom Pérignon and 12 chicken wings. It showed up on the receipt as "wing special" so customers could expense it as food.
DradisPing
25d ago
Or is it that they are just more disposed to finding a suitable "good" partner than the one.
I'd guess it's a few things. Pragmatic and risk averse personalties to start. They probably know to avoid cluster-b partners. Other people in the sciences probably are less aware and get caught up in the passion and excitement.
The high divorce risk occupations seem to involve common things. Unstable hours which disrupt home life and provide opportunity for cheating. Jobs that provide a lot of opportunities to meet attractive singles.
Actuaries are probably also better at evaluating the pain of divorce and their prospects on the singles market.
Also it probably helps that they were never that exciting in their 20s. Women who married a guy in a rock band are going to have to reconcile when the man gives up on it and gets an office job. Whereas the actuary has gone from diligent student to starting actuary to better paid actuary. So she knew what she was getting into.
DradisPing
1mo ago
Caffeine has a distinct bitter flavour, so all decaf coffee will have a noticable difference.
DradisPing
22d ago
You can practice by working on some github issues on some repo like this random one: https://github.com/themotte/rDrama/issues
https://codecrafters.io/ is a bit pricey but fun. You should be able to burn through the "build your own http server" in python one pretty quickly.
I like to manage all of my language versions with asdf since it's one tool for versioning python/go/javascript/elixir/whatever.
Burning through a bunch of leetcode easy problems is a good way to get comfortable with a new language. Or if you've done a bunch of problems already try to translate those into python.
DradisPing
3mo ago
E Jean Carroll's account is inherintly less beliveable because she has no evidence of contact. It's just a claim that a random celebrity raped her in a store fitting room years ago.
Tara Reade at least had verifiable professional contact with Biden.
I have a problem with both accounts. Carroll comes off as a nutter. Reade looks like she's coming forward because of some other grevances. I think Reade could be exagerating.
DradisPing
4mo ago
But back to the topic at hand; it's unclear what Abbott's actual game is; he's an accomplished constitutional lawyer(literally; that's how he became governor) and knows he's going to lose at court. He's also never been the reckless type and so it's unlikely he did this without thinking it through. Angling for a Trump cabinet seat, maybe? It also surprises me that he did this now; primaries are coming up in March, and Abbott endorsed a relatively wide array of candidates to try to shift the house in a more partisan republican direction; taking a political risk like this one is unlike him.
His problem was that he had to be seen as doing something. His credibility was low with the right.
He's been off side with the base regarding some recent legal issues. Alex Jones was getting railroaded by a far left judge in Austin and Abbott didn't even make a token comment about due process. A bunch of Bushies were upset about Ken Paxton beating George P Bush and teamed up with the Dems to impeach him in a process that abused the rules. After Paxton won Abbott sent out a press release congratulating him on winning a fair trail instead of admitting the problems with the process.
So Abbott needs to shore up his credibility with the right.
Picking a fight over the border is attractive for a number of reasons.
- Biden's border policies are extremely unpopular, to the point that his administration wants to avoid delineating them. Forcing Garland to take them to court likely means forcing the Biden admin
- Under Trump the legal left took the position that States had a number of rights to defy federal immigration law and enforcement. This puts them in a position where they need to oppose their own legal briefs from five years ago.
- Any legal fight will take years and keep illegal immigration in the news for that time. If Biden tries to do something extreme it more of an opportunity for Abbott.
DradisPing
5mo ago
I'd recommend "The New Right" by Michael Malice, "Ship of Fools" by Tucker Carlson, and "The Case for Trump" by Victor Davis Hanson if you want to understand them.
One of the major issues is that the bureaucratic technocrat class has devoted most of their energy into setting up systems to prevent them from every having to face any serious consequences.
Pete Buttigieg is a great example. His Secretary of Transportation appointment was supposed to be an easy resume builder on his path to his Presidential run. He's been cocking it up, but everyone knows it won't hurt his political ambitions.
California should be the crown jewel example for bureaucratic Dems. But wherever competent management is needed you can see total failure. Electricity has been a disaster for over 20 years. The high speed rail project started planning in 1996 and has been a total failure throughout every step. Water planning is a disaster. Forest management to reduce fires is absent. The homelessness camps are entirely caused by mismanagement.
I could go on and on.
But to make it worse, DC is filled with people who have open contempt for the residents of "flyover states". They devote all of their energy to social signalling and fail at their actual jobs.
DradisPing
2mo ago
Timing wise it doesn't make sense for Putin to kill him. He was in prison and didn't have any significant political support on the outside.
So the likely options are:
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CIA / GRU / another western intelligence service killed him to get support in the west for more aid money. It did happen right around some votes, and Navalny wasn't likely to be of any other use to them.
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Natural causes. Russian prisons probably aren't great for your health.
There's less egg on the face of western allies then you think. CNN will just ignore this. Reporters will still talk as if it's settled that Putin killed him.
DradisPing
2mo ago
Genesse Moreno
For more culture war relevance, Moreno seems to have voted in the 2020 election.
https://twitter.com/o____principe/status/1757299884229582857
DradisPing
3mo ago
I think Moldbug nailed it with his analysis. Researchers want to work on the most important problems in their fields. In viral research it's deadly airborne diseases. There's a shortage of deadly pandemic viruses to study, so they create them. That way they have something to write papers on.
DradisPing
21d ago
Is Expeditionary Force Craig Alanson?
Yes, Craig Alanson. The first book is Columbus Day.
DradisPing
21d ago
Can you post an update if it picks up? I couldn't get through it and gave up on the series. It'd be good to know if it's worth the slog.
DradisPing
3mo ago
What does he provide over Desantis/Haley/Ramaswamy? He didn't build the wall the first time, why would he do it now?
He tried to build the wall but was blocked by Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell.
DeSantis is an old pal of Paul Ryan and has been getting campaign advice from him. He's likely to be talked into not doing anything on the border and only paying lip service to MAGA policy items.
Haley is funded by Bilderburg billionaires like Reid Hoffman. She would never ever try to build the wall. Her major goals would be American troops in Ukraine and Syria.
Trump did deliver economic gains for blue collar workers that DC types have been insisting were impossible for generations. He avoid starting new wars. He improved trade deals. For the "borders conservatism" voter he was the most successful President in a long time. He delivered some major wins in the face of intense opposition from the establishment.
Voting in an establishment friendly politician would be silly.
DradisPing
22d ago
From about 2015 until Merkel's retirement people were regularly calling Poland WN or worse. I'm not exactly sure when it stopped, but from the Trump impeachment to covid it wasn't a priority and after the Ukraine invasion internationalist types weren't badmouthing it anymore.
DradisPing
2mo ago
I was most surprised by how 29% of the elite thinks that China is an ally, compared to 9% of ordinary voters. I would’ve thought the elites were the hawks! Maybe some of them have commercial interests in China or they want to work with China on climate change or they’re ethnically Chinese, anyway this is really odd to me. The hawk faction may be in control but the doves haven’t been totally eviscerated. Does anyone have any explanations or observations on this matter?
First here's a map of The Emerging US Mega Regions
The Northeast is the home of America's traditional ruling class. During WWII and after the Great Lakes region was getting rich and powerful. Unfortunately the Great Lakes region (GLR) is in road trip distance of DC and NYC. The North-easterners didn't like seeing them drive up in nice cars throwing money around. They saw them as uppity. So various federal policies were put in place to economically devastate the region.
One of them was encouraging companies to offshore the GLR manufacturing to China. China made sure the Northeast elites got rich off of the deal in various ways.
So the elites see China as a nation of obedient factory workers who know their place and pay tribute to the right people. Things like the 2022 visit to Taiwan by Pelosi were about sending a message to Xi Jinping to stay in line.
Of course that doesn't really line up with China's plans for itself. But admitting that destroying the GLR manufacturing base was a colossal fuck up is too much for most of the elite's egos to handle.
Hawks and Doves is probably the wrong way to think about it. The "Hawks" see China as an economic rival, there's no appetite for violence. The "Doves" are the ones more likely to use military force to keep China in line.
DradisPing
1mo ago
Do you mean anything longer than a marathon is dominated by whites?
There are no gold medals or large prize pots so Kenyan's don't bother competing in them. Basically realtively affluent whites make up running categories no one else cares about.
DradisPing
2mo ago
She's probably looking tired and bloated at the moment and wanted a photo where she looks pretty and all of the kids are smiling.
She likely has her own staff, but it's a few people not some huge department. They probably hired an outside photographer who they usually work with.
So the photographer sent over the photos he took. She didn't like any of them. One of her staffers said "I know photoshop!" and did an unprofessional job comping things together.
There used to be a blog called "Photoshop Disasters" that showed bad photoshops that had actually made it into print ads. So it could have been a bad job by someone who was allegedly a pro.
DradisPing
5mo ago
Can you imagine being dumped by a girl because she wants a man old enough to buy her cigarettes? But you're 27?
It'll be interesting to see how the tobacco ban plays out for immigrants. I'm guessing that in 10 years the law just won't be enforced for PoC.
Weirdly, the usual weed legaliser types were in favour of the ban.
That's not surprising, the weed legalizers generally aren't libertarians. They just really really like weed.
DradisPing
3mo ago
Nitrogen narcosis is what they are condemning as inhumane.
DradisPing
1mo ago
They work their personal networks, chat with friends of friends and let people know they are available. They tend to specialize in certain neighbourhoods so they can join social groups in that area. People are a lot more comfortable if they have some social connection to the agent, or if they get a referral from someone. Some of them actually are also Uber drivers so they can chat with locals and find out who may be interested in selling.
There are also some very underhanded tactics. Back in the day there were real estate agents who paid black women to push strollers around neighbourhoods to convince people it was time to sell. Also things like talking to lonely seniors and convincing them to sell.
When you're losing badly it's wise to be strategic rather than principled. University admins currently claim that they have the absolute right to crack down on heretical speech while also claiming absolute freedom for speech they support.
A court ruling here will create a losing precedent for them either way unless the appeals courts chicken out and refuse to look at the issue.
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