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FtttG

Gheobhaidh mé bás ar an gcnoc seo.

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joined 2022 September 13 13:37:36 UTC

https://firsttoilthenthegrave.substack.com/


				

User ID: 1175

FtttG

Gheobhaidh mé bás ar an gcnoc seo.

6 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 13 13:37:36 UTC

					
				

				

				

				

				

					

User ID: 1175

Rob Henderson introduced me to George Mack's suggestion of fixing bad smartphone habits by having two phones: the Kale phone and the Coke phone. Rather than using one phone for everything, uncouple the good from the bad. Your kale phone only contains Google Maps, notes and Kindle, and only 2-3 people know the number. Your coke phone has Facebook, Instagram, Xitter, WhatsApp etc., and you give this number out to anyone you want to. You bring your kale phone with you everywhere but make a point of only looking at your coke phone at designated times.

I bought a new phone recently and I'm experimenting with a variant on this. While my new phone does have WhatsApp and I don't have two phone numbers, I've made a point not to install Instagram or Facebook on it and have disabled YouTube (but not uninstalled – think I need to enable developer options or something). My new phone comes with me everywhere, while I leave my old phone (which has Instagram, Facebook etc. installed on it) at home. It's been less than a week but so far I think it's helping, and I'm feeling less of a compulsion to look at my phone on public transport.

Now all I need is to find a way to block this site from my new phone.

Here (Ctrl-F "Filming and digital dissemination of SGBV"):

A highly disturbing and recurrent pattern documented by the Commission is the extensive use of digital technology and social media, particularly perpetrator-generated images and videos, to document, glorify, and amplify acts of SGBV [sexual and gender-based violence]. Perpetrators documented themselves during the attacks, including while assaulting, humiliating, abducting, and killing women and desecrating their bodies.

Footage circulated by Hamas and its collaborators depicts women and girls being violently dragged, humiliated, and abducted; female corpses being abused, mocked, or burned; and female hostages being tormented, abused, taunted, or humiliated on camera.

Some time ago, I had an idea for a project in work. As other more pressing matters kept coming up, I never had time to pursue it, but I have some downtime now and would really like to look into it.

The idea I'm describing is listed in terms of progressive utility and difficulty, where each "step" is more useful and more difficult than the preceding one, but even step 1 would be useful in its own right.

My company's core demographic is old people. The most recent census in my country was in 2022, and they've released the figures for the mean age in each district (I'm not sure if it's done on the basis of postal or electoral districts: I'll just say postal districts for convenience). Step 1 would be to produce a map of the country broken up into postal districts, with colour-coding for mean age (say, a gradient running from light blue to dark blue for young to old). Hovering one's cursor over a specific postal district would produce a pop-up window displaying the mean age in that district.

Step 2 would be the above, but using a weighted average age rather than a raw average. A postal district with a mean age of 60 but a population of 1,000 is more valuable than a postal district with a mean age of 70 and a population of 100. This might be as simple as multiplying mean age by population to get the districts' cumulative age in man-years. Hovering one's cursor over a specific postal district would produce a pop-up window displaying the mean age in that district and the population.

Step 3 would be the above, but incorporating population density. If two postal districts have the same mean age and population, but one is twice the area of the other, the higher population density should be reflected in the colour-coding. (Cumulative age in man-years)/(area in km2) = weighted pop. density. Hovering one's cursor over a specific postal district would produce a pop-up window displaying the mean age in that district, the population and the area and pop. density.

My company operates numerous branches across the country, and scraping the coordinates of these branches from Google Maps would be trivial. Step 4 would be adding a layer to my map of the country with a binary "Does this postal district already contain a branch?" This would look like a patchwork of postal districts in which those containing a branch are solid red while those without a branch are solid white. On top of the red-white layer, there would be a translucent layer in a different colour (perhaps with some kind of pattern, like diagonal lines) indicating the mean age.

Contains a branch Doesn't contain a branch
Younger population Red background overlaid with light blue diagonal lines White background overlaid with light blue diagonal lines
Older population Red background overlaid with dark blue diagonal lines White background overlaid with dark blue diagonal lines

The idea is that postal districts with an older population but which don't currently contain a branch would immediately jump out visually.

Step 5 is where it gets complicated. Instead of a binary "does/doesn't contain a branch" layer, we'd have a second gradient (white to red) displaying the mean distance for someone living in that postal district to their nearest branch. This would be as simple as specifying the coordinates for the centre of a given postal district, then calculating the crow-flies distance from that point to the nearest branch (in practice: calculating the distance from the centre of that postal district to every branch and returning whichever distance is smallest). Hovering one's cursor over a specific postal district would produce a pop-up window the mean distance to the nearest branch (and the name of that branch), in addition to that district's aforementioned metrics.

Close to a branch Far from a branch
Younger population Red background overlaid with light blue diagonal lines White background overlaid with light blue diagonal lines
Older population Red background overlaid with dark blue diagonal lines White background overlaid with dark blue diagonal lines

Again, the idea here would be that postal districts containing an older population and which are quite a distance from their nearest branch would immediately jump out at the user.

Step 6 would be importing anonymised customer data from our CRM, assigning it to its postal district based on the customer's address, and subtracting that from the weighted average specified in step 2. The idea here is that the gradient of young to old people in a specific postal district should exclude existing customers: we're looking for older people who've never bought from us before. Hovering one's cursor over a specific postal district would produce a pop-up window displaying the population of that district after excluding existing customers, in addition to all the aforementioned metrics.

Step 7 would be the above, but incorporating our customers' ages and subtracting them from the mean age. If a specific postal district has a population of 1,000 and its mean age is 65, then the combined age in man-years in that district is 65,000. But supposing that district contains 200 existing customers whose mean age is 70, meaning their combined age is 14,000. Ergo, the mean age of people who in that district who aren't existing customers shortens to 63.8. Hovering one's cursor over a specific postal district would produce a pop-up window displaying the mean age in that district once those of existing customers have been excluded.

Step 8 would be allowing the user to hide either or both of the gradient layers described above.

Step 9 would be adding interactive binary toggles, such that e.g. postal districts which already contain a branch would be greyed out.

Step 10 would be allowing the user to filter on the basis of editable text fields. If a user wants to hide any postal districts where the mean age is under 50, or in which the population density is less than 2,000/km2, those postal districts will be greyed out.

The deliverable would ideally be something that can run in a browser, but if it has to be a self-contained executable, so be it.

Limitations: I can't code, lol.

I can envision how I'd make part of this: it's not difficult to create a CSV file containing a list of postal districts, the mean age, the population (thereby calculating the cumulative age), the area (thereby calculating the weighted population density), the coordinates for the "centre" of that postal district and so on. Nor would it be difficult to create a CSV file containing a list of branches and their coordinates, then using an Excel formula to calculate the distance from the centre of each postal district to each branch, and return whichever one is lowest. I can likewise envision exporting a table of customers who've bought from us in (say), the last four years, their addresses and their ages, then writing an Excel formula which will assign a postal district to each address, then calculating the total number of existing customers in that postal district and subtracting that number from the total population. Likewise for customers' ages.

But beyond that, I'm fairly stumped. I haven't the first clue how to create an interactive map of the country.

Based on the above description, do you think it would be possible to accomplish it via "vibe-coding" (a term I admit I still don't fully understand)? If so, what would be the best AI agent to accomplish it.

New Year's resolutions check-in:

  • Posted my eleventh blog post of the year last Thursday (technically a few minutes after midnight). Expanded from a comment I posted here in response to @ThomasdelVasto looking for guidance on dealing with depression – thanks for the inspiration.
  • Went to the gym three times last week. On Wednesday I just did some core exercises which I found here. Friday was squat and overhead press. On Saturday, I decided to warm up with some stretches and core exercises before deadlifting. During deadlifting I used my belt (having not used for the last few weeks), then for good measure I did some stretches afterwards as well. This seemed to work: my disc isn't bothering me as much as it was. Yesterday I did a 5k run on my lunch break, planning to go to the gym this evening. Can deadlift 1.84x my bodyweight for 3 reps, squat 1.2x for 7 reps and bench press .87x for 6 reps.
  • Have not consumed any pornography since waking up on January 1st.

How goes it, @thejdizzler, @self_made_human, @birb_cromble and @falling-star?

I assume you meant to reply to me. Thanks for the suggestions, I do want to ask someone in the gym to check my form. On Saturday I went back to using my belt (having not used it for the past few weeks) and didn't experience any issues on the day or the day after.

That's all I was looking for, thank you.

@RandomRanger's gloss was highly misleading: he made it sound as if it had been established beyond reasonable doubt that this soldier had raped a Palestinian prisoner, but that this revelation hadn't gotten in the way of his becoming an Israeli celebrity. Whereas according to this article, the investigation is still ongoing, and far from being widely admired, the soldier claims he decided to break his anonymity after being publicly shamed and criticised by an Israeli woman for what he allegedly did.

The claim that a specific IDF soldier is known to be a rapist AND a celebrity in Israel who appears on TV shows does strike me as an inflammatory one, yes.

The human Israeli soldiers are rapey - recall the protests and rioting when the Israeli govt briefly tried to arrest some of its soldiers for raping prisoners. Apparently the rapist is now a celebrity in Israel, appearing on TV show

See what the comment you're replying to said: extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. See also the rules: "Proactively provide evidence in proportion to how partisan and inflammatory your claim might be."

Hamas livestream themselves via GoPro gang-raping Israeli women on October 7th, numerous Israeli women independently report rape at the hands of Hamas squaddies on October 7th, numerous doctors report injuries consistent with rape and sexual assault, photos are circulated of Israeli women bleeding from their groins, the UN believes Hamas squaddies committed gang rape on October 7th.

Woke leftists: "Well we don't know for sure that Hamas raped anyone on October 7th!"

One Palestinian claims that he was penetrated by a dog while IDF soldiers watched and laughed. He presents no medical evidence nor corroborative testimony in support of this claim.

Woke leftists: "OMG can you believe how depraved Israel is???!"

Hard to avoid the conclusion that there's a double standard being applied here.

And these are the same woke leftists who think that Brett Kavanaugh's career should have been derailed on the basis of an allegation of sexual misconduct (completely devoid of direct or circumstantial evidence) being brought against him three decades after it allegedly occurred.


I thought it was common knowledge that Hamas squaddies committed extensive acts of sexual violence on October 7th (many of which they filmed and distributed as a form of psychological warfare). But some people still refuse to accept this, so in the interests of proactively providing evidence in proportion to how partisan and inflammatory my claim might be, please consult this report.

Given how much you appear to admire Eliezer, and how much stock you put in the Sequences, it would be remiss of me not to mention that Eliezer wrote an entire article arguing that the desire to "change one's sex" is a fundamentally incoherent one.

I stand corrected.

I'm not an idiot, I know why it was listed first. I'm questioning why it was included on the page at all, given that it's not a pejorative term for women. I think you knew that I knew this and are just taking an opportunity to jeer at me like an adolescent.

Epidurals work. Gender reassignment surgery doesn't.

chose 'gamete-producing organs' as your dividing line because we do not yet know how to fully transition them

Wrong. You seem to have this idea that I'm carving up categories in a convoluted and unintuitive fashion with the specific aim of disenfranchising and ostracizing trans people. That is, you think I'm the mirror image of trans people, who start with the end goal of including males in the category of "women" and work backwards to produce a definition that satisfies that goal, even if it's a contrived one that doesn't match common usage. (Given you're so fond of quoting the Sequences, I'll note that Eliezer points out you can never come up with a truly rational answer if you already know what the answer is "supposed" to be at the beginning of your chain of "reasoning".)

Rather, my gamete-based definition of sex is the one used by biologists and zoologists when examining every sexually reproductive species other than humans: no one thinks that a female giraffe is "any giraffe who identifies as female" or some such nonsense. (See Dawkins and Wright for more information.) Humans are mammals, and I have yet to see a persuasive argument why our sexual categories should not be defined in the same way as those of all other mammals are. ("Because it makes some people sad" is not a persuasive argument, even if Scott seems to think so.)

The gamete-based definition of sex is the one that biologists and zoologists use. According to that definition, no trans-identified male is female, nor will become so in either of our lifetimes. In the event that we reach the tech level that enables us to do this, we may have to revise our categories such that people born male but now capable of producing large gametes are considered literally female. But we will cross that bridge when we come to it, and given the current state of the art it doesn't strike me as an especially pressing issue. To the best of my knowledge, no one has even attempted to transplant a uterus, ovaries etc. into a male human recipient, never mind done so successfully such that the male recipient actually can menstruate, become pregnant etc.

even thirty years ago, was called a 'sex-change operation'

Is your contention that the entire medical community made the wrong call when they started referring to these procedures as "gender reassignment" or "gender-affirming" surgeries?

"People in the past used to call things by misleading or inaccurate names – therefore we should continue doing so today". By this "logic", we ought to refer to Native Americans as "Indians", people with Down's syndrome as "mongoloids", Inuits as "Eskimos", rubella as "German measles" and so on. I find it very strange how you freely recognise that people in the past were more ignorant than we are now, but only selectively. I mean, seriously: "the first name applied to something always captures the true Platonic essence of that thing and is never inaccurate or misleading in any way" is one hell of a hot take. Has it never occurred to you that people can be mistaken? Even doctors and surgeons? History is littered with examples of trained medical professionals being mistaken about matters of far graver import than simple naming conventions.

If I'm reading you correctly, you seem to believe that every male who undergoes bottom surgery literally becomes female. I will emphasise that, even if we insist on defining sex according to what's in between your legs, emasculated males are not female. The absence of a penis is not the same thing as the presence of a vagina. Per your genital-based definition of sex, it is currently possible to change one's sex, but only to change it from "male" to "neuter". If you want to say that emasculated men are neither male nor female – well, I still think it's a rather convoluted way of looking at it, but I would object to it less than the claim that emasculated males are literally female.

And here's the part where you tell me that trans-identified males haven't just emasculated themselves, but also undergone bottom surgery which bestowed vaginas upon them. Sorry, not having it. A neovagina is a crude imitation of a vagina, not the genuine article. Everyone with a neovagina will need to dilate it for several hours a day to prevent it from closing up, as the open wound that it is. (A very small number of female people need to temporarily dilate their vaginas to treat stenosis; if there's an example in the medical literature of a woman who failed to dilate her vagina and it literally closed up, I would love to see it.) A trans-identified male whose neovagina was bleeding for five consecutive days would be strongly advised to seek medical attention: for a female person, this is called "menstruation". When a symptom of grave illness for one organ looks exactly like normal bodily function for another organ, I think it's fair to say the two organs should not be placed in the same category.

I'm just glad we don't live in the world you would have us live in, and that we never will.

I'm not asking why China locked down entire cities. I'm asking why, if China supposedly succeeded in stopping the spread of COVID using lockdowns, they were still locking down entire cities more than two years after the virus was first discovered.

You mean, exactly the same way you regard women who've been sexually assaulted in prisons and hospitals as a direct consequence of the policies you endorse?

China supposedly succeeded with lockdowns.

If they did, one wonders why they deemed it necessary to lock down entire cities of millions of people at the drop of a hat – in 2022. And by "lockdown", I mean millions of people who were physically unable to leave their apartment buildings, with food supplied via drone.

A lockdown would never have been an effective means of controlling COVID, for the simple reason that, unlike SARS, it spreads asymptomatically.

Oh man, I've worn out multiple copies of that book. I'm constantly recommending it to people as worth reading even if you have zero interest in writing a novel or fiction of any kind. I can quote so much of it from memory.

  • A sex scene that is only half right is like half a kitten. It is not half as cute as a whole kitten: it is a bloody, godawful mess.
  • This particular kind of ending is called a deus ex machina, which is French for "are you fucking kidding me?"

One chapter in to GB Stern's The Matriarch.

Going to try some Agatha Christie next, which perennialy seems to be collecting dust on my shelf.

If you haven't read either already, I would highly recommend And Then There Were None and The Murder of Roger Ackroyd.

Not at all, I hope it helps.

I have a feeling the SNP is just an utterly spent force. I doubt there's any coming back from Sturgeon's lethal combination of woke posturing and fiscal improprieties.

kyōiku mama sounds like the Japanese equivalent of "tiger mom".