Ioper
1mo ago
I don't really remember that. People didn't talk much about parenting in the 90s in Sweden and when things heated up at the end of the 90s and in the 00s all the negative discourse seemed to be about the opposite: "helicopter" and "curling" parenting.
Talk about parental neglect emerged later with "latte moms" and then more recently about parents using smart screens as a baby sitter. That mostly concerns babies and preschool aged children though and I don't think that is what people are talking about when they say "free range parenting"
Ioper
3mo ago
Financial "collapse" leading to severe internal turmoil and/or communist crackdown/extremism is a possibility. China has a severely over-dimensioned property+construction sector and now also a severely over-dimensioned manufacturing base. If they can't get (enough) paying customers for their exports then a lot of these investments will be worthless.
There is a lot of malinvestment in china and as much as people have been wrong so far predicting a Chinese contraction/collapse, it is still very much a question of when the chickens will come home to roost, much like America and the rapidly escalating levels of national debt, deficit and asset inflation.
Perhaps it isn't a question of who's gonna win but if anyone can avoid losing. Perhaps we're heading for a period of global economic contraction and malaise, with at best Japan style anemic growth/contraction everywhere. Unless AGI pans out that is...
Ioper
4mo ago
Sexiness isn’t really the point, male sexuality isn’t picky; many men seem to care about relative looks (say, a 7 vs a 10) only because having a hotter girlfriend makes them feel better and confers upon them more status and value as a man, when it comes to sex alone their standards are minimal at best, it’s mainly about convenience.
It's about many things but if it was mainly about convenience men would just fuck their wives. It's about variety and enthusiasm.
A lot of goods have hard to define, far off and greatly varying expiration dates but easily defined and useful best by dates.
Lets say you're buying a loaf of bread, when does that really expire? It might get mouldy in two weeks or just become harder and drier over weeks/months but otherwise keep and be edible for years. What information do you want on the packaging?
Over here, consume by/expiration dates only really exist for things that reliably and quickly go bad and becomes actively dangerous to consume, like most pre-packaged fresh meat.
Game writers can’t write. That’s because studios hire DnD nerds who have no interest or knowledge of actual literature, have either never read the greats or dismiss them out of hand, and basically don’t understand what makes storytelling good or powerful in any way.
But isn't this the opposite of what happened? Writing started going downhill the moment they stopped hiring nerds for writing positions and started hiring creative writing and English graduates with "geeky" popular culture interests.
To me it seems like there is an issue of people being hired who don't have interests outside of videogames/anime/etc, which makes the writing and it's influences very incestous. The influences aren't history or literary greats but previous videogames and TV shows, which makes everything extremely shallow and derivative.
Also, correct me if in wrong but was it really resistance to the Nazis/Soviets that caused the deaths or that they ended up being a battleground between the soviets and Nazis as well as having a disproportionate number of Jews? Their disproportionate suffering was due to geography and demographics, not diplomacy.
It seems to me that much of the destruction would have happened either way, but there being a small outside chance that the soviets/Nazis would leave them alone and route around them if they got deterred by the British security guarantees.
Ioper
1mo ago
all major spending was Medicare, Medicaid and defense
There is also the biggest budget post by far: social security.
Only some 15% of the American population currently receives retirement benefits from SS and some 20% are on Medicare. It doesn't seem unreasonable for the rest to be in favor of large cuts here due to their unsustainable nature and limited likelihood to benefit much more people due to the looming insolvency.
Ioper
1mo ago
People are saying a lot of things and doing little. I've heard similar claims, but haven't seen any meaningful increase in SWE productivity and I've talked with friends and managers at other companies and they say largely the same thing.
The one thing I've seen is a slight cut back in use of consultants, particularly third world ones, but that might as well be a result of cutbacks due to economic uncertainty.
I don’t have direct access to pre-made timestamped subtitles for Johnny Cash’s "God’s Gonna Cut You Down" from American V: A Hundred Highways (2006), but I can create them for you based on the official recording!
I don't know exactly what's is going on here but LLMs often respond like that. I'm not sure that "lying" is the correct term or if it's more accurate to say that they frequently don't "perceive themselves" as having the literal knowledge that they're trained on and with some prompting can reproduce.
Ioper
5mo ago
No, thats the top 55% in Sweden and about what you make working in a super market stocking shelves if you pick up a couple of late shifts every week.
Ioper
6mo ago
It's also an economical and political problem. How are we funding the (technological) solution and who should bear the cost?
Ioper
7mo ago
You game it by controlling who gets access/early access to the game.
You can also review bomb other new games released close to your own release.
Given the quantity of games released this sort of score manipulation effectively turns that particular metric into a view of what has been released very recently, what is sufficiently niche to not attract non-fans and non-shills and what has most ratio manipulation behind it.
I think you underestimate the degree to which plenty of people completely stop working when "working from home". You might think they were low productivity before but now they're producing practically nothing.
I'm under the assumption that we will move towards a situation where pretty much all jobs for which it isn't trivial to measure productivity for, isn't commission based or where the the organisation is sufficiently small that people share ownership, will move back to almost 100% office.
This means all larger companies, governmental agencies, etc. When it isn't it will often be with a tacit understanding that the job is in fact part time.
That's a gross mischaracterization. He was Miami's MVP of 2022. It's like not recognizing Zlatan in Sweden.
I think you grossly underestimate how famous (and how broadly famous) Zlatan is and overestimate how famous Tyreek (and athletes in general) is.
Zlatan has won best footballer 12 times. He is easily the most accomplished Swedish footballer of all time, not just another good footballer. He has been one of the most famous Swedes for some 26 years. In the 2010s he was the most written about famous person in Sweden, all categories. He is probably better known than the king.
Tyreek is just another good footballer, who is from another state and who's played almost his entire career for another state's team.
I don't fucking know who the left mid fielder for lets say Borussia Dortmund or Manchester City is. I have no idea who the vast majority of the Champions League players are and im not uninterested in soccer, I'm just not very interested. I certainly wouldn't recognize them.
If you're not into football I'd wager you have no idea who Tyreek Hill is unless maybe if you're from Kansas city.
No, it tells us nothing. The question is conditioned on a gold coin having been picked.
We didn't pick a box at random, the gameshow host did and revealed a gold coin.
Ioper
11mo ago
There are more:
- Trying to force troop rotations away from the front inside Ukraine
- Making the war less palatable to Russia by forcing conscripts to engage in battle
- Trying to force Russia to keep attacking as their offensive culminates in order to extract favourable attrition/prevent them from comfortably entrenching their gains in Ukraine.
- Hedging in case of a Trump victory by making a "ceasefire" unpalatable to Russia by holding russian territory.
- A combination of all of the above and seeing what sticks.
Notice how he didn't say that they're good at coding? He said that they're useful for his job.
LLMs are useful for SWEs, at least for some types some of the time. There is value here but they're poor programmers and to use them effectively you have to be relatively competent.
Its also very easy to fool yourself into thinking that they're much more valuable than they really are, likely due to how eloquently and verbosely they answer queries and requests.
Ioper
1mo ago
I don't really understand your complaint, having a cleaning lady is not some rich person extravagance. Its affordable for pretty much everyone in society. If you have a job, you can afford it.
Ioper
4mo ago
Acting like monogamy is some sort of shackle that inhibits mens innate drives is wrong. Monogamy serves to put long term interest above short term male impulses.
These are not mutually incompatible claims.
Most Humans are naturally serial monogamists. I concede that 30 year+ marriages are probably much less sexually long term fullfilling than switching partners every 5 years past 45.
No they're not. Not even half of marriages end in divorce and thats with the people divorcing often doing so multiple times.
It may well be that long marriages are less sexually fulfilling but that doesn't mean they're not fulfilling the needs of the people involved. Sex is hardly the only need and it's something that generally becomes less important as people age.
Ioper
5mo ago
Surely the great leap forward and the cultural revolution must be at the top of that list, or are you absolving the party of responsibility and pinning all that on Mao?
Or do you mean current things? Tienanmen square was 35+ years ago and most of the people responsible are dead.
Somewhat related but I've become convinced that the way the doctor profession works is a major drain on society.
A practicing doctor is a somewhat important profession that requires a reasonable amount of intelligence to do competently, but they also have horribly low productivity compared to many other highly paid professions, seeing as the doctor only ever helps as many people as they physically can see. Combine this with fantastically high base compensation and a borderline ironclad employment security until the grave and we have a societal problem where medicine effectively becomes a form of sinecure for the intelligent.
There are more productive professions within the realm of medicine like researchers and med-tech engineers (and there is some overlap with doctors here) but they generally aren't meaningfully better compensated than regular practicing doctors and often get paid less.
I'm not saying these people shouldn't be well compensated or that we shouldn't have doctors but the current incentives leads to a situation where a good portion of the most intelligent are drained away from the economy to do low productivity work at a very high cost.
This could all be solved with an increased amount of doctors. The intelligent and driven will go on to more productive work (whether in the realm of medicine or elsewhere) and society gets access to more doctors for a more reasonable cost (just how much lower depends on the country).
Which is why you use oil lamps. Really easy to regulate light levels with as well.
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