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MaiqTheTrue

Renrijra Krin

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joined 2022 November 02 23:32:06 UTC 

				
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MaiqTheTrue


								

								

								
								
								

								
							
					
 
				


				
Renrijra Krin

				
				
				

				

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					joined 2022 November 02 23:32:06 UTC
				


				
					

					
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				Israel-Gaza Megathread #3
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


popular anti-zionist position is a one-state solution where Palestinians get full citizenship in Israel, often alongside Palestinian right-of-return. Now, zionists would argue that such an outcome would cause problems such as a group like Hamas being elected as the government of Israel and ethnically cleansing jewish people, or at least committing terrorist attacks once they are all Israeli citizens with freedom of movement. But the standard anti-zionist position is that this wouldn't happen, that palestinians are resorting to violent resistance against oppression and would no longer need to do so once they are no longer oppressed. The standard comparison is to South Africa, where terrorist leaders such as Nelson Mandela became the new government but didn't outright ethnically cleanse white people. (The South African government discriminates against white people through heavy affirmative action, is now failing to keep reliable electricity and clean water going, has the 3rd highest murder rate in the world, and sometimes has the leaders of political parties talk about mass-murdering white people. But they haven't actually done it and many anti-zionists would be unaware of these things anyway.)




The zionists are right.  I don’t see any solution to this that doesn’t eventually look like a Zionism transposed to some other location.  The historic record here is pretty clear — a stateless Jewish minority is going to be the target of either states looking for a scapegoat or angry mobs taking matters into their own hands.  In most Muslim countries, non Muslims are second class citizens at best.  So in order to protect Jews you absolutely need a Jewish state somewhere.  If that’s the case, you need to create a continuous land area in which Jews are given complete control.  And you’re now displacing whoever lives there now.  It ends up looking almost exactly like Israel except now we’re building in South America or Montana or Wales or something.  There aren’t really good answers.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 16, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
What about potential intimidation.  My understanding of the reasoning is that Trump and/or his followers might threaten people involved in the case thus basically making it impossible to get witnesses to testify.  If Trump tweets out the name and likeness of someone connected to the trial, his followers might threaten them or damage property etc.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of August 14, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think lying is probably the wrong word, as is fake.  The people signing this document as far as I can tell we’re, at worst, an alternative slate of electors choosing to take this action because they believe the Georgia election was fraudulent in a way that falsely handed the win to Biden.  The reason I object to the terms “lying” and “fake”, is that they assume the conclusion— they assume there was no fraud and thus anyone doing anything on the assumption of that fraud is lying.  Keep in mind, Trumps claims never got any sort of hearing, most being summarily dismissed on standings issues.  In other words, these guys are trying to rectify a situation where they believe the wrong results were certified and thus it might be dishonest, but I don’t see it as fake and they aren’t necessarily lying.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 31, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I’m not convinced by this.  They never actually connect Hoste to Hanania.  The best they have is anecdotal connections (both drop out of HS, get a GED, then go on into academia) none of which are unique enough to really be a smoking gun.  I would bet there are at least 10,000 students who did the same thing.  Second, the connection between the two online is the (supposed) sock puppets, except that they never bother to establish they are sock puppets, rather than one person follow the account of someone else.  I follow accounts on multiple platforms, I’m not the person I’m replying to and even being a consistent reply to posts by Hoste doesn’t make it clear that Hanania is Hoste.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of May 1, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
So the state department is wrong.  Wouldn’t be the first time, nor will it be the last.


I have a hard time buying that our Atlanticist side of things is getting anything of value out of this war.  The only thing we can really do at this point is act tough and hope the Ukrainians can hold out long enough to make the Russians stop where they are.  I don’t see (at least without NATO boots on the ground) Ukraine actually retaking either Donbas or Crimea.  So the best case is a stalemate that requires us to spend vast amounts of our own treasure to maintain.  And again, this is a fight for basically a rural farming country with a good sized corruption problem.  They’re in it now because they can’t afford to lose face and show the world how weak we actually are.  But at the same time, we cannot infinitely send billions a month in aid.  It just doesn’t work because eventually we run out of money (or print ourselves into hyperinflation) and public patience probably isn’t going to last that long (I think we can probably only keep going for another year or two).


Worse, doing so now reduces those capabilities to use them later.  Ukraine isn’t a prize on the global stage.  Taiwan is.  But after billions in aid to Ukraine, and our depleted weapons stocks and a public not interested in yet another military adventure to a place they don’t care about, they aren’t going to be able to do the same thing again.  Which means that China gets a very valuable piece of industrial infrastructure, the entire computer chip industry, and all of the leverage that comes with it.  We’re basically, without thinking it through deciding to fight tooth and nail for Nebraska and ceding New York.  Any sober analysis would consider that colossally stupid.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 13, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
It depends on why the discrepancy exists.  If it’s genetic, then you can only contain the damage by limiting opportunities to rape (I don’t buy this as the best theory).  If it’s poverty, fix the poverty.  If it’s culture, change the culture.


My suspicion is that we’re looking at a cultural difference in which white men are taught to seek long term mutual supportive relationships with women.  The goal is at least a companion if not a marriage.  The goal for black men seems to be bedding a woman, or preferably multiple with no intention of forming a long term relationship at all.  If this is the cause, the solution it to change the culture to being more like the white men in seeking out long term mutual relationships, rather than simply notching the bed-posts.  You can do this (at least in a thought experiment) by forbidding arts and media from celebrating easy sex, among other cultural bad habits.  You can also purposefully inject more useful memes into the culture to promote marriage, sobriety, and industriousness.  I think the Christian sect that Kanye is in is a sort of answer.  Promote the idea of keeping the law as a practice, which naturally includes not raping people, working hard, being a family man, being sober, and so on.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 14, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
The ticketmaster thing is a problem in the sense that it’s creating artificial scarcity.  Her tickets are not sold out at the price she offered or at least not to humans.  Tickets have been captured by bot-buyers who buy the entire lot for resale.  Humans simply cannot buy the tickets at list price from the venue because they sell out in mere milliseconds after the “public” sale — all to TM and a few other resellers.  And so it’s not that the fans aren’t really fans if they rebuy from TM, it’s that TM has used bots to get themselves a virtual monopoly on ticket sales for concerts and large events.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of June 16, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
If bombing Iran buys us five or ten years, it’s probably worth it.  I don’t think they can restart a program we just blew up and have a bomb in two years.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of June 16, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I don’t think that the meaning is self evidently the same as originalism.  There are other ways to derive intent that don’t come directly from the written text of the constitution or case law or any other written all.


The first amendment says “Congress will make no law establishing a religion or prohibiting the free exercise thereof.”  The plain meaning is “no state church, and congress (NB: only one branch of government is mentioned in the text).  So what does religion mean, in this context?  What does free exercise mean in this context?  What happens if Trump issues an executive order enjoining the entire country to the Orthodox Church in America?  The text actually doesn’t say anything about executive orders.  So you’d have to look to other things:  what kinds of things were the people debating the bill saying about the bill, what were they trying to prevent from happening?  What did they say when trying to sell the Bill of Rights to the People?  What did early case law say about things like various states having official churches?  What did they think religion means?  These things are not plain reading of the meaning of the text. (Which, going only by the text, only prevents Congress from passing a law to make a National Religion or to forbid a religion from being practiced.  That’s what the meaning of the words on the paper say.”


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of May 12, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think to be honest most Americans are, to borrow a phrase from the Chinese, unserious as a people.  Their need for an easy life and for getting exactly what they want exactly how and when they want it.  It’s the mentality of a child.  And I think this harms dating and marriage because being in a relationship with another living person requires work and compromise and commitment that more often than not people are less willing to accept.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of March 24, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think this version makes sense simply because it just so happens to be a guy from The Atlantic, which is a liberal news source, but not one known for hard news.  It’s just doesn’t seem like it’s the kind of newspaper that the Secretary of Defense would have on his phone.  They’re mostly culture war journalists, unlike a NYT that pretends to be unbiased hard news.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 10, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
It doesn’t matter if your a red tribe Californian as the state has three huge blue urban centers that outweigh the red vote, so the state is a lock for tge blues.  The state isn’t competitive, but on a federal level, if you removed those few locked in states, the country is actually far redder than most people actually believe.  Further, there are states that are only blue because of a huge blue city in an otherwise red state.  Illinois has been this way for decades.  99% of tge state are red tribe.  The state is solid blue because of Chicago.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 6, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Look, the reason Russia wants Ukraine (and keep in mind it was fine with an independent Ukraine as long as it stayed aligned with them rather than NATO/EU) is because it has no defensive border between itself and Ukraine.  Us supporting the color revolution to create a Western aligned government, promising them eventual NATO/EU memberships, and selling them weapons is pretty darn close to what lead to the Bay of Pigs invasion of Cuba.  We were creating an armed hostile camp within striking distance of their border and then make a shocked face when Russia decides tha5 this is unacceptable.  And again, despite all the rhetoric of “Russia bad an$ wants to invade every country on its border,” it’s not making those moves.  The threat of “if Ukraine falls, everybody else gets invaded” doesn’t make any sense or at least no more sense than saying that the world needed to stop us from invading Cuba in the 1969s lest we also decide to invade Haiti, Antigua, and Dominican Republic.  None of those states were security concerns for the USA at the time, and even the Russian were not worried that there would be invasions beyond Cuba.  You can’t just park weapons along a border of a rival state and call them rabid for that either.


Now, further, other than antagonizing Russia, there’s no strategic value to Ukraine as an EU member or being under the protection of NATO.  It’s a corrupt state, it’s chiefly agricultural, we don’t need more ports on the Black Sea (we have Turkey for that purpose).  Assuming Ukraine had made it into NATO and the EU, what do we gain?  What was in Ukraine that would be worth billions of dollars a month and risking nuclear war?  I can see intervention in Taiwan.  Having a huge chip manufacturing sector is valuable, we need that industry if we’re going to remain competitive in the 21st century.  That’s an absolutely vital thing to protect.  And my fear is that our ability to do anything when China makes a play for Taiwan is going to be greatly diminished because so much of our money and military equipment was sent to Ukraine, the public will to defend ye5 another invaded country will be spent, and we’ll be unable to do anything as China absorbs Taiwan and corners the market on chip manufacturing.


I think we need to be much more strategic about where we spend our blood and treasure.  We cannot sustainably intervene in every conflict around the globe.  And since we have to pick our battles, it seems muc( better to do so on the basis of vital security and economic interests rather than the emotional response to events.  I just don’t see anything in Ukraine tha5 would justify us continuing to prop it up long after it should have accepted the loss of Donbas, and that’s generously assuming that there was ever any serious interest at all,


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 9, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I disagree.  The problem with legalizing vices on the premise that there’s no immediate victim creates social problems that the general public will often have to pay to fix damages.  If we allow people to drive around drunk, obviously the risk of eventually hittIng someone is a serious problem and one that could be prevented by simply not allowing people to drive cars while intoxicated.  This also avoids the problem of the state having to support the medical care of the driver and whoever he hit for a good long time.


With other vices, it can be a problem for much the same reason.  If I’m high I am unlikely to be able to keep a job, much more likely to injure themselves or other people, more likely to be abusive (depending on the drug).  These are burdens on the state that the taxpayers are going to have to pay to clean up.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of August 12, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
The issue would seem to be whether some escalation would lead to nuclear war.  Russia has been patient up to this point, but Putin absolutely does have red lines that he will not allow crossed without serious consequences, up to and including nuclear war.  He’s been pretty smart in my view by not saying exactly where the lines are (which would encourage NATO to get to the point where it’s next to the line, but not technically crossing it.  You’d retaliate against NATO for 10,000 troops?  Okay 9999 it is!) and creating a bit of hesitation for certain weapons or other aid packages.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 29, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I’d be fine with the idea of pure sports if these world class competitions were honest.  But these are not honest contests in any measure.  Drugs are fairly common, countries that basically pay living expenses (but not directly paying athletes) are common, and now that trans is becoming a thing we have potentially fake female athletes competing with natal women.  I’ve yet to see anyone care that much.  The sponsors get lots of money, the committee gets paid, various governments get to rally their people around their flag and patriotic pride.  I just wish it we’re honest that these are basically professional sports.  You can still do everything else and keep your pride.  I’m not even against the stuff we consider cheating if we’re honest that this isn’t pure sports.  Of course I feel the same way about D1 NCAA.  Everybody knows that the NCAA D1 major sports are de facto professional minor leagues for those sports and were for the most part okay with Jermaine the running back getting a degree in football and free foood, housing and cars for a few years.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of May 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
The alternative is Russian Roulette.  Maybe you’ll get lucky and the other guys won’t actually go through with it.  But the thing is, you can’t ever misjudge in that game because if you do, the consequences, not just for your country and her allies, but for the entire world are absolutely catastrophic.  Billions dead, mass extinction event, famine, radiation.  And so the consequences should at least be weighed against the benefits with those consequences in mind.  Is Ukraine worth it?  I’m not sure.  But what has always worried me about the NATO approach is that they’re playing chicken under the assumption that Putin never actually means it.  And we honestly have no way to actually know this.  We might guess, or assume, but we don’t know for sure that the next line we cross won’t be the one that Putin was serious about.  The west in my view absolutely doesn’t take the nuclear threat seriously.  They aren’t asking whether Putin would, and in fact they seem to be deluded into thinking that Putin is less likely to use them if he feels cornered.  This simply defies common sense.  If he loses in Ukraine his life is in danger because Russian coups tend to happen after Russia loses a war, and quite often the leader who lost gets executed.  And so you have a cornered man whose only way out is the nukes, but that’s somehow something he’s going to care about.  It’s nonsense, and dangerous nonsense.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of April 22, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think it actually could become a problem in that the far left and far right are in pretty strong agreement on the accusations against the Jews, that they’re manipulating narratives to their own benefit, and that they only care about themselves.  The left has absolutely blamed all Jews for the actions of Israel, and they don’t seem to care what Hamas and other Palestinians have done or want to do.  There’s barely even a whisper of blame on Hamas for launching the attacks or holding hostages or the crimes committed during the attack.  And when you couple that with full support of the intifada, chanting of the slogans that deny Israel’s right to exist,


Personally, I think most of the Gaza situation is on Lakud which isn’t all Israelis and has little to do with Jews who don’t support Lakud or Natanyahu.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of April 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
But compared to the USA, Russia hasn’t been a globe-trotting military power imposing its will on other countries.  This is the first large scale military invasion of a sovereign nation by Russia since the end of the Cold War.  Compare that to America who has invaded Iraq twice, bombed Libya, invaded Afghanistan, and expanded NATO to include almost all of Eastern Europe.  Whether or not you agree with either the geopolitical position (not wanting a NATO member along a difficult to defend border) or the stated aims (removing Nazis from Ukraine) or not, it’s not exactly the military adventures of the USA.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of March 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I don’t think anything he did amounts to a crime in most jurisdictions.  The DA can’t do anything if it’s not illegal to bang on a door.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 16, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Tweeting the home addresses of court officials and witnesses is a pretty serious thing, especially given the anger of his base is pretty much asking for something to happen.  I don’t see it as unreasonable to stop him from doxxing people and stirring up the base to do something about the unfairness of it all.  I think not only is it dangerous to those people, but that it ultimately hurts his defense.


I don’t think this order means he can’t talk about the case or proclaim his innocence.  My reading of it is more that he cannot specifically name people involved or give out identification of people testifying against him.  He can still talk in general terms about the case, he can still make statements in his own defense about the charges.  He just can’t say (SlowBoy (inserts photo of SlowBoy) is lying about me and persecuting me and preventing me from helping you by restoring America).  He can say it’s political.  He can accuse generally that witnesses aren’t telling the truth.  He can campaign.  He just can’t name names and post pictures of court officials and witnesses.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 2, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think we may not mean the same thing here.  What I mean by insurance is that it only pays out for people with a demonstrable need, rather than being a defined benefit that you get at a given age regardless of any need.  You can be perfectly able-bodied to the point of being able to hike twenty miles and climb mountains— if you’ve reached retirement age, under the current system, you get SS.  Likewise, you can be filthy rich have millions in assets— if you’re at the right age, you get the same check as everyone else.  My ideal system is based on turning people away who don’t need it either because they can still work or because they have enough money to not need money to retire.  I’ve little objection to paying for people who literally can’t work for various reasons but are too poor to afford to stop working.  Fair enough.  But we’re showering money on able bodied people who can provide for themselves which doesn’t make sense.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 11, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Productivity improves mostly by eliminating the overpriced workers.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 11, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think inflation is a bigger problem as if people can’t afford necessities, that tends to lead to recession.  If it gets bad enough, people have revolted because of food insecurity.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of August 28, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I generally find the idea of rules in war to be completely disingenuous and actually kind of stupid.  The point of having a war is to win the war quickly.  And dragging it out on the pretense of following the “rules” (in quotes because really, the rules mostly exist for propaganda purposes and only matter in the context of things that countries we don’t like are doing and creating a causus belli for stopping them or arming enemies) doesn’t really benefit civilians as much as advertised.  A war that drags on for years longer than it has to because the tactics that would win it are “illegal” doesn’t actually protect civilians.  They live in a bombed out country with no infrastructure, a tanked economy, and completely disrupted lives (especially if they don’t live in heavily protected green zones).  The fields of Ukraine haven’t produced much since the invasion and what they have produced cannot go anywhere because of the war.  They have a deep recession that makes it hard for average people to live, most industries have pulled out and anyone with brains and a passport have left for better economic prospects elsewhere and won’t be returning.  Schools have been shuttered for the most part, so kids are missing out on years of school.  And so what’s left of Ukraine is a basket case even if infrastructures hadn’t been targeted.


If targeting infrastructure and so on could have decided the outcome of the war in a matter of weeks or months, all of that could have been rebuilt.  People could return and rebuild the economy and schools and run businesses and invented things in Ukraine rather than Poland.