MotteInTheEye
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User ID: 578
MotteInTheEye
2d ago
Could it be orthodontic practices? Orthodontia can make a surprising amount of difference to the jaw and facial structure.
MotteInTheEye
5d ago
Is any action necessary to suppress them? I didn't read the OP as saying "let's do x, y, and z to stamp out complaints of incels" but "by revealed preferences they are content to stew in porn and video games so why stress about them?"
I don't agree with OP because I am not content to just write off huge chunks of the population which could be leading fulfilling lives and useful to other people, but your objection seems like a non sequitur.
MotteInTheEye
13d ago
Hlynka has been hanging out in this space and its predecessors getting banned and unbanned for the better part of a decade now. The discussion around "maybe just a 3 month or one year ban would correct the problem" misses the point - there is no question of changing the way he interacts here, there is just the mods' decision about whether the good outweighs the bad or not, given the way he will inevitably interact. I don't have a strong opinion on whether they got it right or wrong, but any criticism of their decision should be focused on that question, not hypothetical approaches to get him to clean up his act.
Is it possible that both were actually convicted under some statute that both would be guilty of in a case like this regardless of who actually pulled the trigger? Because like MathWizard said above, it seems impossible for two men to be convicted of something which hinged on each of them being the one to pull the trigger without awful defensive representation or judge/jury misconduct. Any evidence which proves that the one man pulled the trigger beyond a reasonable doubt should definitionally introduce a reasonable doubt that the other man pulled the trigger.
MotteInTheEye
18d ago
If that's the purpose then I would say that it is essentially a lie. When your data is stored with a major cloud provider, it is not just on some computer similar to yours somewhere, it is replicated in enterprise grade data centers across multiple geos and there is a rotation of highly paid engineers on call if anything goes wrong with it.
MotteInTheEye
18d ago
I don't understand the "cloud is someone else's computer" argument at all to be honest. How many companies of Unisuper's size had catastrophic data failures before "the cloud"? Probably more than one!
And as to the application of the question to the personal data storage level, it seems beyond question that for the vast majority of people, their data is more secure (in the sense of preserved from accidental loss) in Google/Microsoft/Apple's hands than if they had to manage their own backups. Maybe a cloud provider loses data for one in a thousand customers, but I suspect that every single person who managed significant amounts of personal data in the days before the cloud lost data at some point due to negligence or mishap.
MotteInTheEye
1mo ago
that flaw make my man-vs-potential-bear scenario as favorable as possible toward not choosing "man"
Yes, that was my concern, I can definitely imagine a woman coming to the conclusion that a man making that claim was trying to trick her and steering clear. But I think your updated hypothetical is better, and I agree that very few if any would run towards the bear. A sight of an actual bear would act on someone at an instinctual level in a way that the word "bear" in a Twitter poll would not.
MotteInTheEye
1mo ago
I think it's pretty difficult to construct a realistic hypothetical on which to test intuitions. Yours doesn't really work because the woman is choosing between an actual man and a report of a bear (by the man), which is a very different comparison.
MotteInTheEye
1mo ago
The one doesn't take away from the other. All those kids that love the Narnia series wouldn't have been reading "Transposition" if the Narnia books had been less popular.
MotteInTheEye
1mo ago
But they and all the big tech companies have stamped out this sort of question precisely because of the chilling effect of the law. You can obviously make a case that it's related to job performance, but their legal departments prefer to stick to coding and behavioral questions where the case is self-explanatory.
MotteInTheEye
1mo ago
I guess a corresponding benefit could be dramatically reducing the overhead of a small business. But only in a fantasy world where all state taxes followed suit.
MotteInTheEye
1mo ago
It seems like a progressive sales would inherently require tying your identity to every purchase, which seems like a huge inconvenience and a tough sell from a privacy perspective.
MotteInTheEye
2mo ago
That phrasing has a long tradition in Anglo law, see e.g. the Royal Navy's articles of war from 1749:
- shall suffer death, or such other punishment, as from the nature and degree of the offence a court martial shall deem him to deserve
This or very similar phrasing appears in many of the articles.
MotteInTheEye
2mo ago
I had completely forgotten that that place existed. I think they could have had a much more interesting arc if the moderator drama at the outset hadn't dampened their early momentum.
MotteInTheEye
2mo ago
I do think that the forum could have scraped by for a couple more years on Reddit, but there was also the risk that the chilling effects of admin threats and mod policies in response to those would have left the forum too weak to execute a move as successfully as it did when the time came.
MotteInTheEye
2mo ago
Unfortunately it's inevitable even if every single voter fully intended to vote for quality, not agreement, simply because of the fact that you notice flaws in arguments that you disagree with much more easily than in those you agree with.
MotteInTheEye
2mo ago
I'm not convinced by OP's arguments either, mainly because as others have pointed out it's trivial for the community to define a bar that earns respect regardless of what settings the game allows. But this is going too far. It's reasonable and inevitable to seek a more objective lens on an achievement that feels substantial to you by comparing it to what others can do / have done. It's easy to say "measure yourself by yourself - if you sink 200 hours into beating easy mode because your thumbs just won't cooperate like a normal person's then you can be just as proud of that". But the failure mode there is that we are liable to deceive ourselves and let ourselves off the hook too easily if our only standard is subjective difficulty.
MotteInTheEye
2mo ago
Being addicted to fentanyl probably is related in some cases to doctors prescribing opiates without sufficient caution.
It seems like "is related" is kind of sweeping some stuff under the rug in that sentence. My understanding is that there is good evidence that over prescription leads to more drugs available on the black market, but that it is in fact extremely rare for someone to develop an addiction stemming from their own prescription. The vast majority of addicts started on other people's prescriptions. (Let me know if you have a different understanding of this.)
If that's the case, it's not really relevant to the agency that the addicts had in becoming addicted to say that the drugs were prescribed too carelessly in the first place.
MotteInTheEye
2mo ago
Great post, but I think the pattern you briefly mentioned at the end bears a much deeper examination.
Red Tribe America is not actually very fit at all, while Blue Tribe power centers consistently have quite a few fitness-minded individuals.
This really understates the phenomenon. As a conservative from a blue tribe stronghold, my visits to red tribe strongholds like the deep south are extremely disillusioning. It's hard to overstate what a dramatic difference there is in the obesity levels everywhere you go. And this in turn leads to much higher consumption of public health resources.
It's hard to square these realities with common sense arguments which ring true to me, like the ones you made above. It doesn't seem debatable that self-sufficiency is more a red tribe value than a blue tribe value - so why are blue tribe individuals, as a class, more self-sufficient when it comes to diet and health?
There are a number of explanations you could hypothesize: maybe personal belief in the importance of self-sufficiency is irrelevant in a system that doesn't incentivize it. Maybe if you controlled for poverty / IQ the differences are explained or the sign of the correlation flips. Maybe it's a Simpsons paradox thing where within a given region, right-wing beliefs are correlated with fitness, but the correlation doesn't hold across the whole population. But it feels like it's crying out for some sort of explanation.
MotteInTheEye
2mo ago
So all you would have to do is say "I regret my abortion" and you get a free payout? There's a rather obvious downside to this policy...
MotteInTheEye
2mo ago
That's the problem about integrity in politics - none of the voters have any so it's almost always counterproductive for your electability if you do.
It's not that none of the voters do, it's that the electorate as a whole does not (and essentially cannot).
MotteInTheEye
3mo ago
That post, and especially OP's interactions in the comments, is setting off my troll alarm. I think there were plenty of bait-takers, but my hunch is that OP's goal was to a) see how ludicrous of a statement he could get the sub to agree with and b) possibly trick a few people into learning some undesirable facts in the gaps that his arguments led right up to.
MotteInTheEye
4mo ago
Obviously there was plenty of room for trickery, but Altman was apparently fielding random requests on Twitter and sharing them out with a few minutes of turnaround after the launch announcement. There was likely plenty of selection going on and of course it's possible that the requests were preplanned and posted by plants, but OpenAI's track record suggests that this will be available for the public to play with before long so any major shenanigans seem unlikely to me.
MotteInTheEye
4mo ago
There's no doubt that plenty on the right are going after Taylor Swift in cringey and conspiracy-minded ways. But I don't get Hanania's idea that she and her fans should be natural allies for the right. She's the icon of modern feminism.
I haven't used it for game development specifically, but from what I have used it for, this sounds like an ideal case. "Experienced programmer wants to get a quick start in a popular branch of programming which is new to him" is pretty much the sweet spot.
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