No_one
Underemployed Slav. Likes playing Factorio.
User ID: 1042
No_one
2mo ago
Other estimates put Ukraine's KIA higher, certainly, but I haven't seen a method that compares Russia vs Ukraine like for like without the ratio being in Ukraine's favor.
Ukrainians admitted Russia has a parity in drone quality and quantitative superiority. Ditto for artillery. It follows that if they are basically comparable in terms of intelligence and doctrine, but have less weapons they're going to suffer more.
drones (Economist)
other weapons (Guardian, Syrsky interview)
Has Russia ever come up with peace terms that are close to credible?
Yes, they very credibly claim they're going to kill every single person who is going to prevent Russia from ensuring there are no foreign troops based on Ukrainian soil. Their peace terms right now were: Ukraine neutral, Russia keeps the 4 oblasts and Crimea, borders recognized.
No_one
2mo ago
But I think the Soviets leapfrogged or sidestepped the US on military tech more often than China has – maybe that's just vibes.
China has made the supercarrier obsolete. Is that not impressive? You know those Iskander missiles that have never been intercepted yet because they evade and allegedly can also drop countermeasures? Well, China has gliding anti-ship versions deliverable across half the planet. Is that not impressive?
No_one
1yr ago
I mean, why'd Chinese blow TSMC up ? By that point they'll have a better chip industry of their own, probably somewhat closer to state of the art than now but, but are unlikely to have caught up.
Americans would be due to massive loss of prestige probably unable to stop TSMC's non-US suppliers for working with it. And I don't think Chinese are the kind of die-hard scorched earth fanatics that they'd destroy TSMC rather than go on grinding out chips as before, with a new set of bosses.
No_one
1yr ago
Look at Japanese virginity rates in the 30-40 age group.
they're physically incapable
Well maybe not 'physically incapable' as in, in a zoo setting maybe it could work, but women addicted or merely very well habituated to porn are unlikely to experience orgasm during sex, and men addicted to it are unlikely to maintain erections. Hence, necessity of IVF.
The whole topic is completely dismal, you can find out that relative prevalence of <40 men seeking out medical help with E.D. went up by 3-4x between 2000 and 2015 but of course that of course could only possibly have happened because awareness that Viagra (introduced cca 2000) exists increased and all those men are just insecure and fishing for drugs. That's the go-to explanation.
If you don't talk to 'academic' experts but talk to people involved in treating ED and sex disorders they're going to tell you something completely different though. It makes perfect sense that boys who have been looking at porn since age 12-15 can't possibly suffer any adverse consequences when they get around to having sex by 18-25. Not like adolescence is a formative period of time.
Gotta read this later, this might actually have interesting data.. Hopefully libgen has it.
I for one am very much happy to see the insufferable elitism of Europeans slowly being wiped off our collective smug faces. The uncouth and primitive barbarian across the ocean turned out to be smarter and harder-working all along.
The average European doesn't care or think about you at all. And rolls his eyes when told how much you lot work.
Which is good for you, if Europe understood America's role in its affairs, we'd get a few of our own bin Laden figures.
elitism coming from effete liberal Europeans laughing at obese, gun-toting and bible-thumpin' Americans
You ever heard about the yellow vests? How do you think they feel about their own 'elites', the people who tell them that instead of paying for gas they should buy an e-car ?
third world hellhole are convincing fewer by the day.
There are no places in Europe as dangerous as the heavily black US cities.
reddit-tier arguments
Your entire post is boo-outgroup, in this case railing against the type of European who has a Ukraine flag in bio and uses twitter.
They're largely not present here at all, hence I'm calling the target seletion for your screed into question.
No_one
2yr ago
It was noted belowthread that the grand Teutonic war machine lost out to the likes of Audie Murphy and his ilk; that is absolutely the case
The teutonic war machine didn't lose to Audie Murphy and his ilk.
It lost because it was an industrial war and German war making potential would only have approached that of the US had it conquered and fully repaired the entirety of European industry, from Normandy to the Urals.
It lost because Americans were competent fighters enjoying immense material superiority. Something like 5:1 vs tanks on the western front, and 10:1 in planes, probably at least 4:1 in artillery throw weight.
For more information, see e.g. 'Wages of Destruction' by Adam Tooze.
The only path to win for Germany would have involved defeating the USSR.
It is also the case that, generations later, that ilk lost out utterly to Afgans with AKs and IEDs, both in actual military conflict
This is again bullshit. American military in Afghanistan barely ever lost any battle. Taliban and Afghans in general aren't great fighters, and they had barely any equipment.
Taliban won simply by surviving and disrupting the government, that's all they had to do.
America simply had no viable strategy how to turn Afghanistan into a functioning state. It was never willing to send in enough soldiers - you'd probably have needed a million and then keeping them there for thirty years while creating a fair civil administration and so on.
I'm looking for a second opinion here; what what emotions do you think are being expressed by the person in the photograph ?
Please answer using spoiler tags, they don't look like the reddit ones, but are instead everything between two pipe characters | | like this.. | | (except without space in the middle)
don't read this next one:
No_one
2yr ago
No, that disproves your assertion that Shokin was fired on behest of Biden Sr because the latter wanted Shokin not to investigate his son.
Yeah, it looks like Shokin was fired because he wasn't investigating the 'right' people.
**It still doesn't explain to me why you think politicians getting paid off by through their family getting cushy sinecures in foreign countries is remotely okay. **
It's okay in Ukraine. We get that, it's why Ukraine is that way.
In any normal county, a politician whose junkie son gets $50k a month from a sinecure in a famously corrupt country overseas would instantly be embroiled in a huge scandal.
No_one
2yr ago
Would anyone who accepts Russian citizenship be delusional enough to think they'd not get mobilized in case of war ?
Also, would authorities care to suppress a bunch of foreign weirdoes who move to some rural area, bother nobody, engage in no political activity and pay their taxes ? It's not really something threatening. Or would it be that e.g. police would try to shake them down for bribes, and if they don't play ball try to set them up as subversives ?
No_one
7mo ago
In conclusion, for the moderates and centrists: Your signal is jammed, and only extremism will be boosted on either twitter or bluesky.
Musk is pretty much the platonic idea of a centrist, no ?
Sick of the bots and echo chamber that X has become
The Indians are annoying, but to me the bots are just noise. I tune it out. Big accounts are pointless, but .. echo chamber? Go somewhere outside of your immediate circle and you find entirely different people.
He also apparently had a successful career as a ML researcher before that.
Did he? I'd check first, maybe check what ML people say on him. His MIT affiliation is .. suspect..
He doesn't have a degree from there. He teaches an unimpressive, low profile course there.
Much about the guy screams 'fraud'. Starting e.g. with his profile picture.
He's widely detested for being a huge bore, asking plain bad questions yet being inexplicably popular.
People (mostly RW, but also Greenwald) suspect he has some inexplicable algorithmic favor.
Maybe Lex, being a clever and driven status seeker figured how to do that. Beats being just another overworked techie with no status and more money than he has time to spend, I guess.
Or it could be that the reason algorithm smiles on him is that he's part of the 'containment'.
That's a theory I've mostly seen Neema Parvini push - that IDW and various seemingly dissident influencers / intellectuals like e.g. Peterson, Eric Weinstein, Bari Weiss cooperate with the less insane parts of the ruling regime. That is, they're part of a show, earning goodwill by standing up for common sense, goodwill they'd use to help smash any actual challenge to the system.
It's not that they're totally fake, or don't have things worth saying, just that they're deemed reliable enough. E.g. Peterson has a lot of interesting things to say, but he's quite shallow on history* and very much lives inside the Boomer moral universe.
Beattie on the IDW:
Here I describe the IDW two-step to Noor bin Laden. They earn your trust with “boys have penises girls have vaginas”… then when you’re hooked they shove establishment line on all else
*I don't remember what it was but I physically cringed listening to him explaing something about 20th century European history. Basically a an American schoolkid's version of it.
No_one
2yr ago
And a tool to bring identity to a wide swath of internet activity is a pretty nice weapon to leave around waiting for someone to be tempted by it.
A wide swath of internet activity we could really do without entirely without suffering any harmful effects whatsoever, in all likelihood.
People and teens especially had more sex when porn wasn't really available that much.
No_one
2yr ago
It's ironic and sad, I thought the DE creators would get purged by the woke but they apparently fell out between each other over money.
Kender supposedly played an important role in the project, as did the the 3 other guys.
If it is as they say, I hope they get somewhere. Also, it doesn't really strike me as possible Kurvitz & co are actual communists; the game is way too nuanaced to be a product of true believer cogitation.
They strike me more as pranksters who used the retarded western fascination with superficial communism to get promoted. Also, intelligent Balts being unironically communist.. what?
No_one
1yr ago
It couldn't possibly be anything different. The increasingly bizarre pornography out there could in no way be connected to this. That Japan, a country with one of the most dysfunctional relationship situations out there has a long tradition of weird pornography is merely coincidental.
Who am I gonna believe? A rich professional involved with finance, or someone involved in treating sex disorders? Of course, the rich person. No one smart would work in a profession interested in helping people, that doesn't pay.
No_one
1yr ago
I found it dismal.
Dirty, full of CCTV, brown people.
Little to be impressed by except a little old architecture and the sheer novelty of the city being occupied by seemingly everyone but British.
No_one
1yr ago
I'm not watching the films until using generative AI someone fixes that. Fremen not being a single race after spending thousands of years isolated on a planet with no caste system of their own is ludicrous.
Also Zendaya has to go. It's not that she's half black, it's that she's actually ugly. Incomprehensible casting decision.
No_one
1yr ago
The true extent of Chinese espionage in the US is only going to become apparent following the war.
If China doesn't have an extensive illegals program where it sent fake dissidents in the US to raise US born Chinese who could then get top secret clearances and get into the right places I'm a Mormon.
Obviously they do have it, and obviously US is not up to task to rooting this particular kind of spy out. Obviously even if they caught one it'd be kept quiet because no one wants a paranoid spy mania aimed at all the POC democrat voters and competent MIC personnel who thankfully aren't toxic white males.
This might be old news.
A Swedish newspaper published a report, ostensibly a leak from RAND that purports to be a cynical summary of what anti-atlanticist Europeans believe to be the US strategy - sabotage Europe by denying it Russian energy, forcing investments and people to leave for the safer haven of US. Example of that is this substack post by disgraced academic Noah Carl.
The report is not very long and could very easily be a fake.
My intuitiojn says I think it's probably a fake, well within the capabilities of some of the less stupid Russian disinfo experts to create. Certainly I can imagine Russian spooks may have at least one or two people like Ilforte, but rabidly nationalist, who could make that up during lunch break.
Anyway has anything to say about it? I'm assuming the newspaper isn't a well-regarded one or a very professional one. But then I've heard very dire things about Swedish journalism, namely that it was extremely well aligned in the service of the 'liberal' left agenda of endless migration and self-hatred. That was years ago, things may have changed.
Never played any of those.
Found an interesting thread on twitter how the newest game was hit by the changing attitude to masculinity where having a unapologetically masculine killer as a protagonist isn't acceptable anymore so they mellowed him out and gave him a beer gut.
It also mentioned Last of Us, another game I never played which apparently features a post-catastrophic survival situation of an adult dude and an unrelated(!) teenage girl and they don't end up fucking which makes less sense as using polystyrene for ballast.
Nothing makes women more likely to glom onto a man than him successfully protecting her from actual danger. That they'd not end up fucking seems extremely unlikely.
Can't repost the thread it, for some reason I've got a search ban from oct 25 so..
I could of course check out some streams but k would prefer not to spoil myself if I'm going to play it.
Pirate it and buy it if it's good ?
No_one
1mo ago
As someone who's pro-industrial policy and also anti-CCP, I think think the supply chain problem is one of those issues with a lot of misplaced attention, wherein globalization gets projected onto various political narratives, to the detriment of analyzing capability.
CPC wants to rule, or at least have veto power in the world by providing quality stuff in quantity at an unmatched price.
Quoting JZ281C from twitter
I used to think that CN will appreciate its currency to help rebalance trade. This makes sense for an economic perspective, but from a geopolitical perspective it would make sense to keep CNY undervalued for now.
My main mental-model recalibration is recognizing that geopolitical considerations increasingly dominate economic calculations.
The big unknown is whether China's end game is co-existence with the US, or destruction of the current US political-economy. If it is the latter, then it will continue to be extremely aggressive with its strategic offensive in the global trade/tech domain.
CNY undervaluation is increasingly concentrating global industry in CN. This is a geopolitical move. You cannot understand this with economic logic.
CNY undervaluation sacrifices present Chinese living standards/consumption in exchange for future geopolitical dominance.
CN is essentially engaged in a war of attrition of national will power against all the other great powers including India. Countries that cannot suppress popular demand for higher present standard of living will lose geopolitical power to CN over time via de-industrialization.
There is no free lunch. Any attempt to compete in industry with China will involve major sacrifices in present standard of living. Any country that cannot out-save China will lose. Competing with China is not about policies. It fundamentally requires national mobilization similar to a total war. Simply printing money to subsidize industry without suppressing consumption will lead to inflation and eventually debt/currency crisis. US didn't have a market economy during WWII, it had wage/price controls and War Production Board to coordinate industrial production at the national level. People planted victory gardens and accepted rationing.
All in all, if you want to fight China geopolitically, maybe you should not have utterly burned out the goodwill of the working classes. Maybe they'd be willing to make big sacrifices then. Asking people you have been trying to replace to accept a 1950s standard of living will be a hard sell.
No_one
1mo ago
Hence the sad and pathetic proliferation of bolt-on tits.
Well executed plastic surgery works pretty well and there's a huge undersupply of big, perky breasts.
If you were an evil genius utilitarian and invented say, a virus that'd bump up average breast size from B or C up to a G it'd cause a substantial worldwide increase in well-being of men and only a minor malus to well-being of women in that they'd mostly have to take care to do some back exercises.
No_one
5mo ago
People were pissed about 2020 shenanigans, and there was a lot of actual organisation to prevent another steal. In addition, Biden administration was a catastrophe so stealing this one would have been harder. Also, how much did democrats spend on various get out the vote efforts this time?
No_one
5mo ago
Manhattan Institute, for example. He's very much against Israelis. Really admires Tony Blair. Calls him 'the Dark Lord' and says his political acumen and ability to exercise power is pretty much unparallelled in the modern west.
Anyway, he predicted that this faction of the US 'right', the 'techno-zionists' is likely to win over globalist technocrats(WEF etc) and third-world lunatics (Soros etc). He believes US under this new leadership will challenge China and build a new regime, the one he dubs 'the Rufo Reich'..
I don't think he's wrong much, this is the likeliest outcome although of course it's doubtful US can stand against Chinese and it all comes down to how implementations of AI change politics. I don't believe he pays much attention to AI even though it can change everything.
Sad.
... and that proves what? That Biden jr. being paid off is okay ?
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