BANNED USER: ban evasion
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
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User ID: 3097
Banned by: @Amadan
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
1yr ago
My cynical take is that ranked choice voting is preferred by the more "wonkishly inclined" because it's less intuitive/provides more opportunity for gamesmanship than simple FPTP or Approval voting.
The partisan split is thus explained by the majority of journalists and academics being Democrats, and the Republicans being immediately suspicious for precisely the same reason.
It also makes a certain amount of sense in that (in the US at least) the left has been more prone to schism than the right and thus alternatives to FPTP can be reasonably characterized as helping the left more.
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
1yr ago
Agreed,
In addition, SBF and his associates have the issue of being, not strawmen per se, but a near-perfect encapsulation of what critics of utilitarianism say utilitarianism will lead to in practice, which makes them a go to example for said critics.
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
1yr ago
In my experience "Bayesian Inferences" are just "biases and preconceptions" that the speaker wants to distinguish from those of thier interlocutor.
IE, you are biased, where as i am just being rational.
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
1yr ago
Its a deep cut and i like it ;-)
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
1yr ago
The first two seasons of Better Call Saul were a masterpiece of noir writing and film-making that was on par with or exceeded anying Breaking Bad had done, CMV.
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
1yr ago
My (admittely amateur) impression is that this is not the thing the doomers were dooming about and the effects are likely to be pervasive and long term rather than immediate and flashy.
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
1yr ago
Im not sure how much you would consider "heavy" but i have and the results were... not good.
On the flip side the requirements I work with tend to be much more stringent than anything the rank-and-file web or game developer has to work with.
Top Gear fans often characterize Hammond as "the token American" due to his propensity to crash expensive vehicles and put cheese on everything.
Edit: this comment was supposed to be a reply to @pusher_robot above.
I dont think it's "risk aversion" so much as the issue @MaiqTheTrue touches upon upon above. The "lab environment" is not the "real world" and a fun toy for students and script-kiddies does not a useful business tool make.
Edit: see my comment above as well.
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
1yr ago
I don't have anything to add, but i enjoyed the read.
I dont think it's "plateauing" so much as the predictions of the skeptics like Phil Koopman have been born out.
When gpt first came out there was a lot of talk within the industry about "the hallucination problem", about how unlikely it was to be solved through incremental improvement or better training data, and about how this made it unsuitable for any use-case where testability and precision were significant concerns.
However this sort of skepticism doesn't attract venture capital dollars and ars-technica clicks the way articles with headlines like "I asked gpt to write code in the style of John Carmack and it did!" do, and thus the skeptics were shouted down and ignored.
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
1yr ago
I considered putting this in the Culture War thread but decided it fit better here. US Saudi "petrodollar" pact ends after 50 years.
One of the reasons, if not the main reason, the US Dollar is the world's reserve currency is that OPEC agreed to index the value of oil in US Treasury bonds. That agreement is a big part of how the US has managed to ring up only modest national debt despite sizeable budget deficits, and has a been significant factor in maintaining "Pax-Americana". It seems to me that the State Department and the Senate both allowed the agreement to expire with little (if any) effort put into negotiating an extension or consideration for the implications.
To my lay-person's eyes this looks like it should be a big deal but it also seems to have been completely ignored by all the big name news sources outside NASDAQ and the WSJ. Are media moguls trying to bury the story or am i just being paranoid?
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
1yr ago
Does anyone here actually consider Western food amongst their favorite cuisines?
If were counting French and Italian cuisine as "Western" than yes. And that's not even considering Barbecue/Soul-food which is less "Western" and more "North American" but by my count 3 out of my 5 favorite genres of food are arguably "Western" with Mediterranean and Thai as the outliers.
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
1yr ago
While not a direct response to any of your points, Peel's Principles of Policing (yay for alliteration) seem worth reiterating for the sake of discussion.
- To prevent crime and disorder, as an alternative to their repression by military force and severity of legal punishment.
- To recognise always that the power of the police to fulfil their functions and duties is dependent on public approval of their existence, actions and behaviour, and on their ability to secure and maintain public respect.
- To recognise always that to secure and maintain the respect and approval of the public means also the securing of the willing co-operation of the public in the task of securing observance of laws.
- To recognise always that the extent to which the co-operation of the public can be secured diminishes proportionately the necessity of the use of physical force and compulsion for achieving police objectives.
- To seek and preserve public favour, not by pandering to public opinion, but by constantly demonstrating absolutely impartial service to law, in complete independence of policy, and without regard to the justice or injustice of the substance of individual laws, by ready offering of individual service and friendship to all members of the public without regard to their wealth or social standing, by ready exercise of courtesy and friendly good humour, and by ready offering of individual sacrifice in protecting and preserving life.
- To use physical force only when the exercise of persuasion, advice and warning is found to be insufficient to obtain public co-operation to an extent necessary to secure observance of law or to restore order, and to use only the minimum degree of physical force which is necessary on any particular occasion for achieving a police objective.
- To maintain at all times a relationship with the public that gives reality to the historic tradition that the police are the public and that the public are the police, the police being only members of the public who are paid to give full-time attention to duties which are incumbent on every citizen in the interests of community welfare and existence.
- To recognise always the need for strict adherence to police-executive functions, and to refrain from even seeming to usurp the powers of the judiciary of avenging individuals or the State, and of authoritatively judging guilt and punishing the guilty.
- To recognise always that the test of police efficiency is the absence of crime and disorder, and not the visible evidence of police action in dealing with them.
More to your point though, my impression is that the vast majority of criminal activity falls into one or both of the following categories. Criminal on criminal (eg gangs fighting over territory), or known trouble-makers making trouble. I think that you're quite right to call out the availability bias, as i suspect that the above are unlikely to earn attention or "clicks" because they are common.
As for clearance rates, I would expect that as police resources contract they would focus more on the stable/wealthy nieghborhoods because thats where thier efforts are most visible and by extension where they can get the most perceived "bang for buck". After all, who cares about some gang-banger getting shot, or at least so (i suspect) the reasoning goes.
Setting aside the feud between Sailer and BAP, your whole comment seems to be predicated on a false premise. Isn't the whole point of Superman that he did assimilate? Kal-El of Krypton became Clark Kent of Kansas thanks to Truth Justice and the American Way
Isnt the whole alleged "crisis of consensus", "political polarization", and "rampant anti-intellectualism" that typifies modern America indicative of the opposite?
There may have been a time many years ago where, if Walter Cronkite said it, people would assume it was true. But that time is long gone.
Epstien didn't kill himself.
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