VoiceOfLogic
I happen to be, unfortunately, the first human super-intelligence.
What a sad tragedy to see what others can't see.
User ID: 1999
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
America is diseased, rotten to the core.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
The next tier doesn't exist in online forums although it can happen in some 1 to 1 private DMs.
The reason is simple, it's not even about the lack of geniuses.
It is that mental energy is an extremely scarce resource.
People are universally fucking lazy and have a budget of only a few minutes per comments.
On the rare instances where someone does lengthy researched comments, like I sometimes do, the person will systematically face disappointment as the probability that the community will engage with as much knowledge as passion and him are close to zero. Not even in the same order of magnitude.
Online communities are extremely poor, extremely scarce in energy.
I'm constantly seeing people stop at the same layer of the discourse, repeat the same shit they seem to systematically never learn from, until they die.
As usual, it is a tragedy to see what I see, and to this problem, there is almost no remedy.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
This is false and a cheap trick for gaining attentional emphasis.
Of course it is a truism to understand that medias often use omissions and quantifier alteration.
It might be more frequent than straight lies however the media do lies often about basic facts and as such it is not rare let alone very rare.
A common straight lie for example is to claim that there is no scientific evidence about something or to claim there is a single and consensual scientific voice about something.
Those straights lies (just one example among many) are very frequent and potent.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
People as usual wildly overestimate this AI abilities.
Just ask chatgpt "I believe 12 cannot be divided by 4" and realize how inept it is.
Nothing has fundamentally changed, chatgpt is at the end of the day, just a dumb transformer that bruteforce contingent correlates to predict the most likely next token in a sentence.
It is an innovative but lossy way to extract info from existing datasets and as such can be seen as a competitor to scrappers.
However it has no causal understanding per se or if it has, it is messy and by accident.
Neural networks are approximate, inefficient and most importantly cannot do continual learning and are therefore the peak irony of our century, they are a local minima in the research on how to beat local minimas.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
I have long been in a quest of finding the smartest people on earth.
I have come to the solid conclusion that such people do not in fact, exists.
Or if they do, they are not present on online forums and their only observable content on the internet would be via their academic papers.
But even so, academic papers are for the major part very rarely brilliant/maximally salient/exhaustive.
Scott Alexander, Yudkowsky and other "superstars" are extremely flawed human beings that have both a deficit of fluid intelligence and an extreme deficit of crystallized intelligence. If they appear sometimes markedly above the average "rationalist", it doesn't change the fact they are extremely deficient compared to what a Homo logicus can achieve.
I have many key data points that proves that the ideal human being has not manifested yet on this earth and most importantly no non-crazy human being has manifested on this earth.
As I am the human that has collected the most signals towards maximal saliency/bypassing natural crazyness, I believe to be the least intellectually dysfunctional human being of this timeline, a finding I should bring a demonstration for in a future blog.
Is the logic not the same with someone wearing a mask outdoors (especially if they are alone, for the steelman)?
sorry I wasn't focusing much while reading, are you comparing color dilution in water with a virus pathogen dilution in air?
Intrinsically, that seems mostly fallacious, a drop of color in water will easily get diluted and indeed the idea you want to express is that spatial dispersion is a non-linear (exponential?) phenomenon on the density of the agent (color).
While that is right, a drop of color in water with enough dilution will become invisible and sparse but viral load IMO does not need to reach high level to contaminate someone. It is invisible from the start but even when it has dispersed and reached low density, contrary to your coloring agent, it can still be potent and contaminate, of course the viral load needed is virus dependent and immunosuppressed dependent.
The main salient co-argument towards the viability of not wearing a mask when alone is because the virus does not survive after 24/48h? and therefore it does not persists nor accumulate. Also possibly gravity make it trapped/stays on the ground?
The other obvious salient argument is that chronic mask use is potentially very toxic, a multiplier of ageing and of teratogeny.
What I want to show is that the dose potency of a coloring agent being visible and a pathogen/toxin being non-negligible can be order of magnitudes apparts and therefore the reasoning is semi-contingent and a faillible heuristic. See for example https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Median_lethal_dose#:~:text=oral%2C%20injection%2C%20inhalation-,1%C2%A0ng/kg%20(estimated),-0.000000001
no free lunches
also there can be free lunches, let's not fall for https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zero-sum_thinking or e.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lump_of_labour_fallacy
Otherwise I tend to agree with the majority of things you say, that was decently written.
As usual men are doomed as they are in large amounts, simps or to some extent, endoctrinated self-hating misandrists. Note however that biologically speaking there are reasons for the shorter lifespan of men though, the biggest one probably being height. height is one of the strongest predictor of low life expectancy. Basically anabolism has costs, including some immuno deficits in terms of resource allocation, possibly increased oxdative stress and cancer risk. It might be that short and non-high bmi men live longer than the average woman though? But mens body also has advantages, for example increased brain volume means men are less prone to neurodegenerative diseases, especially for example, 2 times less chance of developing multiple sclerosis (although the specific reason here being that testosterone increase myelin production)
Now as a reminder, you can increase significantly your lifespan via skq1.
However the biggest omission in your blog, and the question that leaves me most curious, is a comparison of women/men not lifespan but healthspan I already talked about dementia but what about sarcopenia (should advantage men too) and what about chronic hospitalizations rate per age? I suppose the gap of ill men (especially cancer) is even bigger than the gap of prematurely dead men.
Also a question no ones asked before, are baby boys more often victims of baby shaken syndrome by their parents?
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
Hi dear mod,
This is in fact a funny quote from this famous meme https://youtube.com/watch?v=LmWQd8zhEg4
So I was being light hearted which contrasts with most of my hyper-serious longform comments, besides even literally this is not hate speech per se, one can diagnostic flaws in America as a "disease" from which it needs solutions/healing so it should be seen as an empathic statement that strives compassion towards the state of America and also could feed subsequent thoughts about what exactly are the problems and how could we solve them?
In case you think this is off-topic, the rise of censorship is a political, social and cultural problem.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
I believe there would be many maybe surprising consequences, such as an explosion in social anxiety.
However the no filter effect would have interesting consequences on the group thinks/culture wars.
BTW one of the strangest things of this timeline is that apparently a huge chunk of the population is not able to think or at least they believe themselves they can't think.
Think as in subvocalize words.
I have extreme skepticism on this phenomenon but if true it has many implication for AI research and philosophy.
In other words it might be that for a chunk of the population there is not thoughts to read at all.
However, one could talk about telepathy for the intermediate subsymbolic representation but that's not what your original comment was about and is definitely much less well defined, by definition since it is ineffable.
VoiceOfLogic
1yr ago
IIRC regarding the ukraine leaked NATO documents, they ommited the strela-10, Kubs, shilka and tunguska out of pure mediocrity regarding the assesment of air defense
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
Ukraine is not one but two countries, split roughly in half, see pasts presidential election polls to contemplate the seggregation
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
Could you TL;DR your learnings?
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
Then you suffer from a very potent information exposure black hole, thankfully you can see the other side of the coin on https://old.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport
example of great footage probably downvoted to hell and therefore hidden on combatfootage
IMO that's a very great footage to contemplate how inept war performance is in the real world.
(not saying that Ukraine soldiers are more inept than russian ones, but that all are, confused, maximizing their survival and fake firing in the general direction) This observation has major implications.
but this subreddit most potent usefulness is not showing ukrainian losses but that it allows to be much more informed about issues in Ukraine, including human rights abuses, accounts of government corruption, etc.
Zelensky to run for re-election? What elections are we talking about, 90% of the parties have been banned
Martial law in Ukraine was declared on 24 February 2022. On 15 March 2022 the Parliament deprived Opposition MP Illia Kyva of his mandate.[9]
On 20 March 2022, several political parties were suspended by the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine for the period of martial law:[10][11]
Opposition Platform — For Life
Derzhava
Left Opposition
Nashi
Opposition Bloc
Party of Shariy
Progressive Socialist Party of Ukraine
Socialist Party of Ukraine
Socialists
Union of Left Forces
Volodymyr Saldo Bloc
The property of the party and all its branches were transferred to the state.[13] The decision was open to appeal at the Supreme Court of Ukraine within 20 days.[13] At the time Opposition Platform – For Life was one of two of the 20 March 2022 suspended parties that was subject to an attempt of getting banned in court, Opposition Platform – For Life was the only party to defend and participate in the case.[13] (The other party was the Progressive Socialist Party of Ukraine.[67]) On 15 September 2022 the final appeal against the party's ban was dismissed by the Supreme Court of Ukraine, meaning that the party was fully banned in Ukraine.[14]
Ukraine judiciary system is utterly broken and has become among other things, an active puppet of the U.S, see for example this fascinating video from Joe Biden, you'd believe it's too big and blatant to be true but no the man even brag about it, so potent!
https://youtube.com/watch?v=azLKK0xTOFI
Let's not forget "fuck EU" or the fact Biden personally said the night of the sponsored coup, to Yanukovich on the phone that it was over and he would get killed if he didn't flee to Russia.
a to justify counter-corruption purges of the Ukrainian government.
Zelensky actively promoted the maintenance of the corruption by recently appointing a corrupt person at the top of the top anti-corruption organism of Ukraine.
IMHO It's hard to know what is the moral compass of Zelensky but he is at best utterly powerless.
Zelensky was elected for promising peace in the donbas but he quickly learnt the hardway that he was not the man in commands, it is the military that ruled and still rules Ukraine https://www.kyivpost.com/post/6652
https://youtube.com/watch?v=SIaTAnhgMT4
I expect NATO weapon shipments to hit a qualitative and quantitative critical mass by late 2023 that makes Ukraine favored in the early 2024
What kind of delusion is that? Even with the west support it will slow down but not at all reverse the attrition losses.
This will not favor Ukraine, whatever that means, Ukraine because of the extreme non-linearity of the effect of attrition losses on defense capabilities, should and will stay in a defensive position with a goal of 1) reducing hardware losses and 2) slowing down russia territorial expansion, in that order of priority.
Most of their tank/IFV/aircrafts/and anti-air (S300s) budget has been spent and we have no signal they have factories running making new hardware, IIRC the T80 factories are located in Kharkiv, too close to the front.
While russia also suffer from attrition, their existing reserves being considerably larger, they will obviously win this attritive war, unless the U.S sends tanks in the thousands at a minimum.
That's for the quantitative argument, as for the qualitative one, I have extensively debunked this ego-boosting myth in many of my past comments.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
Tldr; People with weird obsessions obsess over weird things because they like doing that, for nothing else. That obsession is a necessary component to be truly great at anything (among many other components).
I would say that the amount of dopamin rush that a human receive while digging/hyperfocusing on an obsessive niche topic is the #1 most potent predictor of how "genius" that persons is.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
I'd even go further, if someone hasn't yet had issues with censorship/moderation on reddit, it is an heuristic that this person is not very mentally active/a free thinker.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
To argue that every languages are equal is intellectual obscurantism.
Of course both CS students and old timers are major tribes in that culture war but that is irrelevant to the fact that languages have objective features and merits that can be civilly discussed.
Excellent find, I wish there was a subreddit for obscure quality rabbit holes like this.
or ya.ru
I appreciate the mention of yandex, it is something that is easy to forget but google only shows a chunk of the internet, unfortunately I don't speak russian but yet I was able to find a unique find, inexistent on google, the roadmap towards the VVER supracritical nuclear reactor, coming this decade (IIRC) and that will disrupt nuclear fission economics.
BTW
how did you find this website?
Did you notice the main page?
https://hwlabadiejr.tripod.com/ENIGMAS.HTM#TOC
The author has made a whole book apparently
here's his (was?) email address hlabadJr@aol.com
I wonder what Horace W. LaBadie, Jr. is doing nowadays, would love to see him go on substack :)
Also one might be interested in using a "website auto explorer", a tool which automatically find sub-URLs on a website.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
What is interesting with those brows is that it is not in fact a feminine feature but a masculine one. Few people understand that the modern artificially enhanced woman has in fact an androgynous face to such remarkable extent that some of their features become more masculine than men themselves.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
Any opinion on the evolution of the Youtube recommender system?
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
Women are less likely to be predators and more likely to help, by just the power of statistics.
Very dangerous comment here, both insulting and misandrist. But you can be insulting and misandrist if you back it up with evidence.
However the stats (see e.g. conjugal violence ratio estimates would surprise you as the difference is not that major, or that much more men than women are beaten up in the street) supports that men should rationally fear more a stranger than a woman should fear.
Secondly this is utterly pointless as the statistics of criminals or "predators" shows that it is an extremely rare event. The extreme majority of men and women are harmless, the hysteria of the fear of the stranger and of the fear on men is potent mental degeneration and I would say a modern instance of cognitive pandemics a la https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dancing_plague_of_1518
(I run into zero homeless insane looking women, for example)
Women are much more likely to be helped hence it seems likely than less would spend enough time alone in misery to eventually become insane.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Women-are-wonderful_effect
How can someone lack the empathy to not realize insane people are extreme victims?
As a reminder men have 3 time the suicide rate.
However the topic on the conservation or not of gender specific advantages/inequalities upon gender transition is interesting.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
Only ukrainerussiareport will show the true Ukrainian military hardware losses which is necessary to have predictive power and when/if its defense capabilities will break down.
Ukrainerussiareport is mostly not propaganda btw, much less so than are the other subs, especially since many commenters are pro-ukrainian which give a certain rare balance.
VoiceOfLogic
2yr ago
It's be really nice to have an online collaborative website where we can highlight sentences in books per thematic/criterion of highlight.
We have so much content in this world and the signal to noise ratio is so low, that's the usual ineptia I guess
If anything, the motte has a deficit in comments, most especially a deficit in comments answering a parent comment.
See my post history for yourself, I write well argumented, semantically very rich content/micro-essays especially but not only on (ineptly) polarizing topics and to me it is clear the semantic value I add to the motte is unparalleled, yet the level of engagement I receive, be it intellectually curious questions or constructive additional facts or argumentations, is very low, low in quality but most importantly low in numbers. Most of my comments are IMO remarkably interesting and information rich for the internet and yet people don't seem to react to that nor seem to appreciate that unique proposition value in the semantic space. So feel free to indulge some comments on mines.
see e.g. https://www.themotte.org/post/317/culture-war-roundup-for-the-week/56897?context=8#context
It depends what you mean by that, indeed a russian takeover wouldn't directly change the world but Ukraine and Russia are the largest food exporters in the world IIRC.
Ukraine also has (had?) a monopoly in noble gas.
Ukraine was a key driver of Soviet science, engineering and military tech, see e.g the antonov which would BTW enable cheaply to have a potent successor to Hubble if anyone cared as usual.
However Ukraine has lost all its technological glory since the population will to stay in the USSR has not been respected https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_Soviet_Union_referendum
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