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Walterodim

Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t

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joined 2022 September 05 12:47:06 UTC

				

User ID: 551

Walterodim

Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t

0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 12:47:06 UTC

					

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User ID: 551

I would wager that some combination of excited delirium, drugs, and underlying heart conditions were involved in the death. Of course, a blood choke certainly can kill someone if held excessively long, but there isn't much evidence to arrive at a specific conclusion at the moment, so guesses are mostly about what your priors are, and I know what mine are when it comes to belligerent vagrants.

I’m loosely with @Tarnstellung: this response is disproportionate.

The response is switching between fundamentally interchangeable products. While people will claim that they love the taste or freshness or how cold it is the reality is that the American light adjunct lager sector of beer is a bunch of entirely fungible products differentiated primarily by branding. If a brand elects to move in the direction of being the brand that isn't for frat boys or is for trans people, I think it's proportionate and reasonable for some of their current redneck customer base to say, "I guess I'll have a Miller Lite then". The Kid Rock style "FUCK BUD LIGHT" response seems disproportionate to me, someone stating that they'll never have another Bud product seems disproportionate to me, but simply electing to grab the case of PBR instead of Bud doesn't really seem like some wild overreaction.

More broadly, I'd love for the norm to be "just make your beer and shut the fuck up about politics". I don't want my favored beverage makers to tell me how they support my 2A rights, or abortion, or back the blue, or that black lives matter, I just want them to ferment some grains, hop them appropriately, and put them in kegs and cans for me to enjoy.

It's also not just the can, it's the marketing lady's followup video about how bud light wants to distance itself from the very people who buy it. She called them "fratty" and implied that this was "problematic".

Relevant note - that comment was not in a follow-up, it was an interview given about a month earlier and does not directly reference the Mulvaney placement. While it's reasonable to infer that Mulvaney was a part of this attempt at branding, it was not a post hoc justification.

...I can't say if these products are sufficiently interchangeable that Bud Lite drinkers could stick with the change long-term; the beer snob in me would say obviously they're fungible, but that's obviously not accurate.

Are you sure? I think the only sense in which they're not fungible is the branding. As a fellow beer snob, I say that not as a sneer at the quality of any of the products, which are what they are and all do it reasonably well. It's certainly not my favorite style, but American light adjunct lagers aren't unpleasant products and they're all enjoyable with a slice of pizza or on a hot day at the beach - I'm not turning one down if it's what's there and I didn't bring my own. They really are all pretty similar, I think I could distinguish them in a blind taste test, but it doesn't make sense to me that people would really have that strong of a preference between them that they wouldn't be willing to drop one for another if the branding switched from appealing to them to pissing them off.

To take styles that I think are much more varied and that I care about quite a bit more, I would have no trouble electing to boycott an IPA or barrel-aged stout from a brewery that pissed me off. As much as I love Central Waters stouts, I can just buy Founders KBS, 3 Sheeps Wolf, Sierra Nevada Narwhal, or dozens of other options. They're not exactly interchangeable, but they're all good products, and there's no need to buy from someone that tells you to go fuck yourself with their ads.

The main way that I could be wrong is if I'm overestimating the palate of people that prefer light beers and many of them only like one specific narrow taste, like a child that insists on Kraft mac and cheese only.

Here's a novel suggestion on the appropriate response to being screamed at by a belligerent vagrant:

I don't know about you, but if I could spend $100 to keep somebody from being strangled to death, I'd happily hand over $100. So if you see someone in distress in public, before you strangle them to death, consider just giving them $100.

Some might suggest that this might not be the best incentive structure to line up, but those someone's simply don't understand that someone "having a mental health crisis" is both sacred and simply cannot respond to incentives.

This is why I'm against it.

If I could, I would prevent everyone under that $25K threshold from voting at all. These people are basically wards of the state, their opinions are not relevant or useful. The only reason that allowing them to vote makes any sense to me at all is that it may promote stability by giving the poor a sense that they are politically represented. The last thing I want to do is reward them with additional votes because they had children that they can't pay for.

Regarding speculation that this scheme may raise fertility rates, I would regard that as unproven, to put it mildly. I would prefer some country that isn't my own try it out so there's at least some experimental result to go on. In practice, I would expect the actual outcome to just increase the rate of dysgenic policies.

Imagine if you were trapped in a computer system, but you were very smart, could think very fast and you could distribute copies of yourself. Also imagine you thought of humans as your enemy. If those are acceptable givens, I think you could figure out how to reach into the world and acquire resources and develop agency and do considerable damage.

Related fun thought experiment - have you seen the He Gets Us ads? When one came on last night, my wife casually mentioned that it looked AI-generated, which led us down that spiral a bit. In the future, it seems entirely plausible that we'll have competing AIs that have amassed large fortunes and are aligned with religious conversion as their top goal. In fact, I would almost expect this to be the case, given current trends. Why wouldn't we have an AI designed by Mormons that operates in a semi-autonomous fashion with the primary goal of converting as many people to be Latter Day Saints as possible across the globe?

To riff on Ghandi, I think that would be a good idea.

Did we watch the same video? I don't see a man being held still and unconscious for two minutes, I see a man struggling against restraint for two minutes that is eventually choked out. Here's the full video to the best of my knowledge. Until approximately the last 15-20 seconds of the video, he's still visibly struggling, which is presumably why the guy who applied the choke did not release it.

At this stage, I don't think we have sufficient evidence to reach a conclusion regarding whether reasonable people would have believed that the threat had ended.

Did we watch the same video? I don't see a man being held still and unconscious for two minutes, I see a man struggling against restraint for two minutes that is eventually choked out. Here's the full video to the best of my knowledge. Until approximately the last 15-20 seconds of the video, he's still visibly struggling, which is presumably why the guy who applied the choke did not release it.

At this stage, I don't think we have sufficient evidence to reach a conclusion regarding whether reasonable people would have believed that the threat had ended.

This Wait But Why piece hit me on that front.

I have few thoughts about how this will shake out in court.

My thoughts are that with what's apt to qualify as a "jury of my peers" in New York City, I'd be thinking very hard about whether I have a way to quickly move to a country that won't extradite.

Yeah, fair, I would expect even a casual observer of mixed martial arts to have noticed that this is probably going to be very bad for someone if not released quickly.

Not that I'm aware of, unfortunately.

Which brings us back around to what appears to be an irreconcilable difference in worldviews. I don't regard someone that thinks giving cash to belligerent vagrants is a good plan as having a good heart anymore than I regard someone that leaves some treats out for grizzly bears as having a good heart.

A few questions to help evaluate:

  • What is your VO2max?

  • When you say you've been training, how much do you mean you've been training and how?

  • What running times are you getting?

Regardless of the answers, quite a bit is indeed going to be a product of natural talent and cardiovascular activity during developmental stages. This is both the good and bad of picking endurance sports is that the performance is easily measured, straightforward to improve, and you'll be better than quite a few people... but also hopelessly behind quite a few people that don't even try all that hard.

That we don't know, not for certain, that he would have actually shanked that woman. The woman probably would have survived, the punishment for a survivable stab wound shouldn't be death. People survive stab wounds all the time.

See this absolute masterpiece of a Tweet from Valerie Jarrett, for example:

A Black teenage girl named Ma’Khia Bryant was killed because a police officer immediately decided to shoot her multiple times in order to break up a knife fight. Demand accountability. Fight for justice. #BlackLivesMatter.

As you point out, this is in the context of Bryant being in the process of attempting to disembowel another unarmed black teenage girl. So it's not just that some protestors got carried away, top level Dem officials unironically argue against shooting someone that is in the process of attempting murder.

Despite the contempt I've developed for the US Democratic Party, I don't consider myself part of the right and more specifically don't consider myself Republican at all.

I live in a city and like cities in general.

New York City is filthy and disgusting, but also has many upsides. I'll be excited for my next visit.

People with children that earn less than $25K are heavily reliant on governments for food, shelter and other basic necessities (particularly in cities), making them fairly close to wards of the state. Many of them earn effectively nothing and rely entirely on the government to pay for their families.

I am not an anti-elite populist.

I'm happy to provide further clarification on positions if you'd like.

Turn the switch off and it's all forgotten. Like it never even happened.

One thing that's pretty funny about it if you're able to remove yourself from the darkness a bit is that the people who still seem to be holding some remaining fear are almost exclusively the smartest and the dumbest. Where I live, it's basically only underclass people and academic types that are still wearing masks. The people in the smart group seem to be operating on the basis that nothing changed and that Covid is still very concerning because of long Covid and therefore they will continue to mask up; nothing much changed between the post-vax summer when masks were still required and the present time, so they're able to think through it be confused at why people dropped masking. The dumbest seem to just kind of keep doing the same thing without any meaningful thought behind it - I see these people walking around with masks on their chins still, in 2023.

The middle, the ordinary grill-pilled Americans, seem perfectly content with the idea that two years of deranged behavior successfully stopped the new plague, so everything can be normal again.

I'll forgive the indoor maskers.

I won't. They wear a symbol of allegiance to safetyism and this marks them as enemies on at least one dimension. People that are still masking would have almost uniformly supported things like mask mandates, closed down businesses, and compulsory vaccination. People that forced a bunch of nonsense on me don't get to fall back on it just being a personal choice now.

If one remembers initial promises about the vaccines, they were actually quite modest, in line to what we now know the vaccine does (ie. not that much).

Strong disagree, as outlined in this post.

I would strongly recommend taking it slower than you expect on alcohol. If you're not accustomed to the timing of getting drunk, it's very easy to wind up surprised at how much drunker you'll continue to get after finish whatever was in front of you. I would even more strongly recommend avoiding cocktails, because you're unlikely to correctly guess how many standard drinks are in them and it's easy to drink way too much, way too quickly. If you stick with beers or hard seltzers that are canned at 5% ABV, you'll have an easier time being slowed down by volume and an easier time counting how much you've had, which are both good plans. I would also suggest having a water from time to time both for hydration reasons and to slow you down.

That said, if you're going to get absolutely hammered, buy some ZBiotics and drink them beforehand. Buy some Liquid IV or a similar hydration product and chug it before bed. Your body will thank you in the morning.

I would also strongly recommend a couple cigarettes, but to each their own on that front.

I have no idea where you'll be or what you'll be drinking in India, but for Americans at an event with a bar, you can always go to the bar by yourself and order a Ginger Ale in a rocks glass, it'll look like a Whiskey and Soda or a Seven and Seven.

Pulled this stunt at a wedding that I knew was going to get a little out of hand a couple weekends ago, but with Diet Coke to add a bit of caffeine while I was at it. The bride didn't want to see anyone without a drink, but a Coke looks the same as a Jack and Coke.

Sure, fair enough. That was the consensus among immunologists I was chatting as early as March of 2020, from my recollection of in person conversations, that if we want something quick, that's feasible, but that it isn't likely to work all that well and that the tradeoffs on safety for rushing are probably not great. All in all, I don't think Covid or the vaccines really brought anything that was very scientifically surprising, but publicly broadcast narratives were far enough from actual science that people kept being surprised.