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badnewsbandit

lol 🦂 lmao

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joined 2022 September 08 20:36:59 UTC

				

User ID: 1038

badnewsbandit

lol 🦂 lmao

0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 08 20:36:59 UTC

					

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User ID: 1038

538 was the best in the business, where am I supposed to go for election forecasts now?

Whatever new brand Nate Silver comes up with? He's got the rights to the actual valuable part of 538.

ABC News is scrambling to find a replacement for Nate Silver’s election forecasting model, which the 538 founder is taking with him when he leaves the news organization at the end of his contract. According to two sources with knowledge of the situation, ABC executives were slow to realize that the company only owned some of the models that 538 used to forecast major elections, and that many were on rent from Silver as part of the initial deal to bring the data journalism site to ESPN ten years ago.

“They have put very very very little bandwidth into managing 538, and they seem pretty clueless about who-owns-what IP questions,” one person familiar told Semafor.

People latch on to magic incantations because sometimes you have to be saying things "sufficiently clearly that a reasonable police officer in the circumstances would understand" dawg.

From the Military Times 9/2021: The future of special operations may look a lot different than the GWOT aesthetic we’ve come to know

The article is old at this point, but I've seen recent discussion about it in various Twitter/YouTube areas and while that discussion was definitely one-sided, it was very much culture war.

The days of the burly, bearded dude in Oakleys as the face of special operations might be waning. Special operations forces need a different focus, the director of strategy, plans and policy for Special Operations Command Central said Monday

...

This following section got attention interpreted as saying that SOCOM was going to prioritize diversity hiring over meritocratic hiring

The other part could reflect SOCOM’s recent commitment to diversity and inclusion, which most notably, aims to recruit more women and minorities into SOF organizations.

“... but I think it is difficult for them to promote and bring on talent that looks different than them,” Crombe said of existing leadership, who came up not only in the time of the burly, bearded operator, but in a time where combat deployments meant more than any other measure of skill or leadership.

When someone has taken time out of the deployment churn to further their education or take a position outside the prescribed pipeline, “it just, it doesn’t compute somehow in these [selection and promotion] boards,” she said.

...

Emphasis added below, has been interpreted in the context of SOCOM as meaning people dying.

To do that, SOCOM will have to put people it wouldn’t normally select into leadership positions, but also learn to be okay with the results if it doesn’t all go smoothly.

“And I think that that’s probably the biggest diverse takeaway,” Haver said. “It’s going to look different than probably a lot of people are comfortable with, and we’re going to have to be uncomfortable moving forward. The goodness and that is that it’s a team effort.”

The article does a bad job of contextualizing it, but SOCOM historically was not just direct-action combatants. US Army Special Forces (Green Berets) got their start as the eponymous "military advisors" working with and training various US friendly guerilla groups or US friendly governments dealing with US unfriendly guerillas/rebellions across Asia and South America. During GWOT (global war on terror), something like extracting/apprehending intelligence targets became much more common1 and the need for highly trained door kickers to do that work grew. In a post-GWOT environment, there could be an argument for going back to roots, deemphasizing combat experience and emphasizing ability to integrate with local forces but this is not that.

It's notable that the main thrust of the article is that what has been considered one of the more meritocratic parts of the military will need to go the DEI route and seems to try to caveat that any potential reductions in effectiveness are acceptable costs. This in the background of a looming recruitment crisis.

1: linking only as a point of reference on operational tempo, rest of that story is a whole different iceberg. The related increase in operational tempo at the bottom of the pyramid and pulling in other MOSs to meet demands is where the "basically infantry" meme comes from.

The killing of Aaron Danielson had approximately zero effect on protests in the Portland area. Unless you count the increase from the fallout of the death of his killer during a police incident.

Proof of concept already used for the most ancient of internet purposes.

Given the context it shouldn't be surprising to be Donald J. Trump.

Few would describe works such as the 2020 or 2012 winners as beautiful. The term brutal might even be used, of course that would be completely wrong because the academic definition of the word denies any usage by common folk.

It's funny since Crystal Skull was clearly set up to have Shia LeBoeuf take over for a continuation series (that you could even have completely different writers and directors since it should be somewhat tonally shifted) but for various reasons it just didn't work out. So they're doing another Indy is old, should be able to retire and there's a young one to take the reins movie but this time with modern sensibilities.

I am not a medical doctor. For all I know, Fetterman will make a full recovery, eventually.

My understanding of strokes, through some limited personal contacts, is that once the damage is done there is very little that can be undone. Successful recovery is measured in terms of activities of daily living from relearning/learning anew with different parts of the brain, not getting back to one's old self. It's literal brain cell death which is why so much of the medical emphasis is on identifying a stroke happening and quickly responding to reduce how many brain cells die from lack of blood flow.

You missed the various rule making and policy changes affecting firearms as well. See VanDerStok v Garland very similar to the student debt case where through administrative rule-making they attempted to redefine statutory language well beyond the plain meaning. There is also the "zero tolerance" policy for FFLs treating form 4473 errors made by applicants not the FFLs and that were approved by NICS (FBI+ATF) yet still incorrect (putting country in the county field of question 10 as an exmaple) as "willful violations" leading to license revocations that can only be challenged in a hearing presided over by an ATF employee who is the boss of the same ATF employees who made the determination to revoke the license in the first place.

It's a weird thing noticed in a lot of newer fiction. Villains, even of the no redeeming qualities and reveling in their villainy variety, are not allowed to violate certain modern social taboos. To depict the bad thing, even as a negative example, is usually not allowed or contemplated (sometimes out of a "don't cause emotional harm to audience who can be affected by this" desire). In the Disney case it's probably more complicated given that lots of people like the villains as characters, identify with them (often bundled up in reading Queer coding into many villains) and the whole genre of essentially fanfiction retellings of villains weren't the bad guy books/plays/movies (Grendel, Wicked, Maleficent) from very simple classic stories with black and white morality.

Heckler & Koch had a bit of a social media manager oopsie earlier this week piggybacking off of the Miller Lite ad. The since deleted tweets have been replaced by something more on brand for ze German weapons company.

Just look to the cochlear implant micro culture war for a template of how things would go.

It's easier to spell but has been used in headlines and newspapers for decades. The man has been in and out of power since Clinton after all.

There was the somewhat recent change in the exam that leads to placements in residencies specifically to address racial differences in test outcomes.

classical Islamic cultures had an approach very close to Greco-Roman mores where men were expected to be attracted to both girls and pubescent boys. Numerous caliphs, emirs and sultans (including Mehmed the Conqueror) were known to have male lovers, and these are kinds of societies that produced many instances of effeminate, sexually available male dancers from the Ottoman köçek to the Egyptian khawal. Literary works in the Muslim world were quite shameless in the amount of homoeroticism compared to anything in the West.

Why the past tense? It was a live issue for the US in Afghanistan.

You're thinking overseas absentee ballots which before universal mail-in was a very different thing. Sometimes not even meaningful and not reported in pre-SOS verified vote totals since the total number of those ballots was often less than the margin of victory.

Your reductio ad hitlerum is especially bad considering the history of why the Sturmabteilung were formed in the first place.

Every once in a while I'll get random YouTube pre-rolls for very vague pharmaceutical ads that are generally targeted at LGBTQ communities. Entire ad campaigns that are purely aspirational and don't even mention what the drug is supposed to do. I'm thinking there might be a bit of an info bubble where people in those communities have a decent idea about the different drugs as products and it's more about establishing brand identity. More recently at my office in the break area where all manner of magazines are left lying around I noticed a full page advertisement in a similar vein (Men's Health May-June 2022 issue, pg41 so not that old). Effectively the same as the first page of this brochure.

While it was at least more straightforward about the purpose of the drug, the ad campaign slogan "detect this" and the 2017 "U=U" (Undetectable = Untransmissible) campaign (bonus CW, Fauci is apparently a big promoter) both seem to have a similar info bubble. In this case slightly different. I can understand how for people who are very aware of HIV and fret about things like detectable viral load then the messaging of undetectable being functionally untransmissible is more along the lines of "X rights are human rights" slogan.

But did anyone involved consider how a normie might parse "undetectable" in conjunction with HIV? That it might convey a sense of other people not being able to find out about the infection, even when those "other people" include partners? Which is not some hypothetical, the pull quotes from an article about a paywalled research article. Meanwhile an AMA Journal of Ethics article looking at the merits and drawbacks (reads like a position paper but apparently it merits peer review) didn't even consider whether or not attitudes about disclosure could be a drawback. Of course duty to disclose is itself an ethical question, so whether or not a campaign affects whether or not people fulfill it can be sidelined by not considering either of those questions relevant.

Not my circus, not my monkeys but from the outside I feel like the possible implication of encouraging sneaky fuckers who cannot be caught because they cannot be detected (especially since consent and disclosure get heavily emphasized in other areas of sexual ethics) might be a bad thing. And I'm sure there have been heated conversations about it internally but the polished, pharma+government+activist PR campaigns present a rather unified picture and criticism is hard to find (U=U also has terrible SEO and typed out is equally generic). From the U=U campaign presser I linked, here is how the opposition is presented:

But what about the naysayers? Those who don’t believe in U=U or have concerns? Some were contacted and declined to comment. However, Gina Brown, an activist from New Orleans who is living with HIV, says, “In the beginning I had some reservations about this message. I wasn’t really sure how it worked. To me it was almost too good to be true. I didn’t want to give PLHIV the wrong information or information that could get them into trouble. [Editor's Note: Louisiana is a state that criminalizes the intentional exposure of another person to HIV/ AIDS through sexual contact. But, despite the language in the statute, Louisiana courts have found that neither the intent to transmit HIV nor actual transmission is required. See hivlawandpolicy.org/states/louisiana]. You would think that I’d be an initial believer; after all, I had a daughter who was proof that treatment works. I was on 076 [the study demonstrating that giving AZT to pregnant moms and babies cut the risk of transmission by two-thirds], plus the fact I’d been in a relationship where we made a conscious decision to not use barriers and the guy never acquired HIV. I was undetectable during that time, as I am now. I happened to meet Bruce Richman in Florida at USCA [the U.S. Conference on AIDS] and we had an in-depth conversation about U=U. He told me where I could find credible information that would spell U=U out clearly. I devoured this information, joined the U=U Facebook page and became a member of the U=U Steering Committee. I am a true believer that if a PLHIV is undetectable they cannot transmit the virus. That’s why it’s important that every PLHIV have access to this information and the medications that makes U=U a possibility in their lives!”

Typically it's just a misdemeanor with a fine on the order 50USD.

There's been some amusing red string on the wall dot connecting going on with the Parler purchase. George Farmer the CEO of Parler is married to Candace Owens. The same Candace Owens who wrote the documentary "The Greatest Lie Ever Sold: George Floyd and the Rise of BLM" which was the basis of the most recent controversial comments from Ye.

Why is that a problem? What do differential outcomes have to do with the racism and collectivism your OP was concerned with?

I would just point out addressing the accessibility of performance and tuneability that there are very accessible 3s 0-60, 160mph+ factory vehicles for sub 20k USD. Super impractical as daily drivers if only because of things like snow and rain as well as nearly zero cargo space with very high injury and fatality rates from a complete lack of safety features, but they are still out there. Just not on four wheels. The smaller size and weight makes them more accessible for silly things like engine swaps (outside of dropping a performance motor in a clapped out old enduro/dirt it's a rarity though) and performance mods (though for various geometry and space reasons you can't exactly bolt on a turbo) but there is a bit less of that compared to car culture.

One thing you never hear about is what the actual women athletes have to say about this.

Of course you don't, they'd be canceled.

Well sometimes they can find a niche and other times they are very physically cancelled.

It's important to forgive the people who made wrong calls regarding the pandemic, so says an essay in The Atlantic at least which has published some less forgiving essays in previous times.