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dr_analog

razorboy

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joined 2022 September 05 14:10:31 UTC
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User ID: 583

dr_analog

razorboy

1 follower   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 14:10:31 UTC

					

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User ID: 583

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In my view, the maximally rational response to this would be

  1. significantly beef up wall security and air defense
  2. continue very surgical strikes into Gaza to kill Hamas and destroy military hardware
  3. find and use non-headline grabbing ways of depriving Gaza of resources
  4. otherwise go about life as normally as possible and not show any signs of being terrorized

So, +1 for not immediately invading.

That said, they're all clearly terrorized and look bitchmade. So, time to roll in and fill underground tunnels with fuel and burn Hamas to a crisp. Probably, as a matter of taste, it would be good to wait until the President of the US is safely out of the neighborhood.

Why should we assume that Russia would not go nuclear in a much more serious conflict in its core area of interest, should it seem that they were on the back foot?

Given how Putin sat at the far end of these comically huge conference room tables during COVID, one can surmise he is afraid of death. I believe the US made it clear to him if he uses nuclear weapons they will assure his death.

Right. The state legislature did touch it in this case! They rolled parts of it back and re-criminalized drugs.

Initiative petitions are often a clown-show, but on the other hand, they're a good vehicle for testing risky policy that career politicians might never put their name on. If it's a huge disaster the career politicians can step in and take credit for rolling it back.

This seems good, actually!

I like your avoiding the Nietzsche last man vibe.

But, this is going to be a problematic jury selection, no? “Would you be able to vote to convict this man if his head might bounce into your lap during his execution?”

Might be really bad to have a jury made up exclusively of people who say yes to that.

On the other hand... Japan surrendered to the US! How were the Japanese able to swallow their pride in the face of total nuclear annihilation and decide that bending their knee to the West and adopting all of their customs was better than going down in a blaze of glory? But yet the Palestinians find this utterly unthinkable?

What would you have done differently if you were elected PM of Israel on 10/8?

I guess I was hoping to see a definition of "conservative role model" that didn't automatically imply religious.

Seems like the ghist of it is

  • happy embracing fatherhood
  • devoted/providing husband
  • works hard
  • successful at work
  • proud of work

The steelmanned case is "Trump 2024 The Return - Make Liberals Cry Again" (bumper sticker). Obviously Trump is a greedy unprincipled narcissistic hypocrite who hasn't delivered on anything really, but he sure does drive the sanctimonious liberal elites insane in a way that no other Republican can. Plus he's pretty entertaining, at times.

Much more exciting than a generic Republican. I don't know if there are more redeeming qualities than this.

Based on personal experience having been vegan for a ten year period of my life, most of the time I was so exhausted by the topic it’s the last thing I wanted to talk about.

The most annoying vegan advocates, in my experience, are people who just started and don’t understand why everyone else isn’t joining them immediately.

I find Steven Pinker very easy to read and extremely informative. No idea if his audiobooks are as entertaining (though he's also a great public speaker, so, perhaps!)

Bonus: his brutal takedown of Malcolm Gladwell is super entertaining https://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/15/books/review/Pinker-t.html

IMO, best Pinker books are Enlightenment Now and also Better Angels of our Nature. Also The Blank Slate, but that's preaching to the choir in the rat community.

The reaction of the team seems predictably train wrecky to me, and I don’t mean to excuse their behavior. But from my POV you chose your hill to die on by saying gender shouldn’t be included in the survey. It appears to be bruising for the kind of fight that culture warriors are primed to ferociously engage in.

He’s not permitted as a Wikipedia source, for whatever that means.

Why isn't the solution to this to say "women and women identifying attendees only" and trust that 99% of cis men / man identifying would be too embarrassed to pretend to be trans to crash the party?

They are, at the minimum, exciting new brand development opportunities.

So... when is the right time to start taking TRT? Are you on it? What's your take?

I'm in my mid-40s. The biggest sign of decreased T to me is decreased sex drive. I don't have performance issues during sex, I just ... don't crave it as much and it seems to have downstream effects.

It's not at a crisis or anything. It's just like, if we have sex it'll be a solid week of dead feeling before I start to get flirty and affectionate and want to have sex again. I understand some drop-off in interest is normal in long-term relationships, but my long-term relationships in my 20s (with someone else) were more like me being a sex pest who was constantly physically affectionate and craving sex from my partner 5-7 days a week. A huge contrast to now where 2-3x a month is my norm.

This feels especially urgent to me because there's my partner's impending menopause to consider. It seems like the next ten years will be the time to get most of our sex in. Should I try to get on TRT to make it really count?

Or is this a bad trade? I fully believe the first 6 months of being on TRT is awesome. What about 6 months to ten years out? What about ten years to the rest of my life out?

So, my wife isn't exactly a horder. In fact she's pretty aggressively in favor of getting rid of stuff. The problem is she can't throw anything out. Everything must be optimally upcycled: Gifted to friends or family. Or listed on Craigslist free. Or de-composed into rags for cleaning or kindling for making campfires. Or set aside for fabric recycling. Or set aside for dedicated styrofoam recycling runs at the dump. Meat/bone scraps? Turned into soup stock. Egg cartons re-used for next trip to the egg farm. Etc. Etc.

She even refuses to take stuff to Goodwill (across the street!) because she just knows they ruthlessly throw away everything that's not economically viable and that just won't do.

It's really a perfect homesteader attitude. She would be perfect in a Fallout-style apocalypse. When she had time for this it was very cute.

But we have kids now and all of this bullshit is piling up faster than we can get rid of it in our storage room (aka my office) and it's an unsightly mess and she just stresses all of the time about how she has no time for any of this stuff and she beats herself up because if I take the kids out to give her time she's caught up between either exercising or trying to make a dent on this gigantic pile of garbage and it's mounting and there's no actual time in there for her to just chill and enjoy the empty quiet house.

Of course we homeschool so there's really actually no other time to do this because there are kids up her ass otherwise.

How do I convince her to... just throw all of this shit out? It's such an unbelievable waste of time and energy to be thinking about perfectly upcycling all of this shit all of the time, IMO.

Is this a sub-specialty of horderism she would be diagnosed with?

Previous wondering aloud: from a game theory POV, if you have a huge advantage over the other party you should really hit them back 10x harder to discourage them from messing with you ever in the future. This works as long as your adversary is sane enough to respond to incentives.

Is this Israel striking back 10x harder? Not sure yet. Iran denies anything substantial happened, which could be a face saving measure since they're in no position to retaliate impressively.

Either way, Israel using Iran's drone attack as an excuse to wreck a ton of Iran's nuclear facilities would be very well played.

I can think of a lot of progressive musicians or artists who I admired but none of them seemed like they had a life I could ever achieve. Or necessarily ones I'd want to achieve. So, probably not fair to say they're role models. At least for me.

I do wonder if progressives think these role models are actually a lot more legitimate because they could imagine themselves getting great at guitar and being world famous musicians and touching people through beautiful music or whatever. Whereas those conservative role models are such conformist boring trad-squares.

EDIT: actually, Anthony Bourdain. I'm sure a lot of progressives consider him a role model, though in the wake of his suicide all of his romantic world-spanning zeal seems like a desperate cry for help slash running from his demons or whatever.

EDIT2: thinking further, I'm really amazed by what a perfect progressive role model Anthony Bourdain is. Holy shit.

Not mentioned, but more evidence for Finney.

  • The first Bitcoin white paper PDF had metadata suggesting the Western US time zone was set on the PC that produced it. Probably a US native: the British spellings of words that Satoshi used (inconsistently) appear to be an attempt to obscure.
  • Satoshi's commit history suggests he was working during US waking hours
  • Satoshi wrote the first release in C++ with Visual Studio on Windows. Finney would certainly have experience with this platform as the ghost writer of PGP

Re

He was involved in early bitcoin transactions and the community

This includes committing code to it. Probably someone inclined could look at Finney's commits to see if they were a stylistic match for Satoshi's.

Ideally one could also see if he has other published work in C++ to compare to.

Ah, that's what I was missing. I thought they could simply say "made on equipment that may have traces of sesame".

Nothing sounds more unbearable than the vision of going into school with an MP5 and 10 30x round magazines ready to get a massive kill count only to score one leg shot before all of the sportsball kids swarm you and beat you senseless with their bare hands. Get some stories like that in the media environment and school shootings become pretty unfulfilling.

This really only has to happen 2 or 3 times before school shootings completely fall out of fashion.

That said, I don't favor underdog analysis as a particularly useful lens, though clearly others disagree.

Maybe you debate people more aligned with you than I do; there are legit people who condemn Mr Rogers in this, what I consider, pathologically slanted absurd example and I often wish I had known that way ahead of time.

To me that reveals a kind of moral confusion that makes the finer scope points a more first world issue.

Is it wrong to demand that Israelis relocate to Florida? It’s not like they can’t move all of their holy buildings. Surely the terra itself isn’t sacred?

Of course the land is sacred to them.

/tableflip

Ok, so...

Isn't this the Israelis falling a bit below the sanity waterline? Yes it's true they're surrounded on all sides by people who are so toxic that they would rather die than coexist with Israelis, or even just share a border with them, and yes these other people are behaving really, really badly. But given that Israel is not allowed to solve this the old fashioned way (genocide), and all avenues for peace have epsilon probability of success, ... shouldn't they just nope out?

I agree it sets a terrible precedent that your neighbors can get their way just by succumbing to a deep and apparently permanent craze, and ideally you'd like to prevail against them, but at some point shouldn't you just move to a better neighborhood? Unlike the Palestinians, there are other nations of the world that would welcome them.

Israelis seem destined to be in this fight for centuries, and they're apparently okay with it.

I don't know about 3, but they apparently thought they were hot shit at 2. This is a moment of reckoning.

Sorry, bunch there was not scaled properly. I meant "IDF will absolutely blow up hundreds of innocent civilians in a single strike by accident at some point"