dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
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User ID: 583

Is the implication that the market would properly "punish" them for destroying more value than they've ever created? It could just as easily reward them for extracting rents for "malware defense" while making all of its clients worse off.
I'm not saying CS provides no security, but it's hard to believe it provided as much global security as the damage it caused and that a competitor wouldn't have been better.
sure, but my claim was CrowdStrike has probably caused more economic loss from this one patch than they have ever provided, which is somewhat orthogonal to a statement about their stock price
the fact that their stock price is not zero only indicates that the world's ability to hold them liable for these losses is minimized
(or that they can be held liable and that my estimate of the damage caused is way, way off)
I think if she debates Trump and makes it clear that we could have a 59 year old spring chicken like her leading the country there will be an excitement bump
My problem with the drug war is not just rooted in my libertarian-esque attitudes about the proper bounds of government. It is also rooted in me seeing that the war on drugs turns the banned drugs into a highly valuable and easily produced form of underground currency and thus directly leads to the growth of drug gangs and cartels that are, clearly, responsible for a good share of the street crime that I am seeking to curb.
it's not 2005 anymore. we've scaled back waging of the drug war considerably and the problem has worsened. clearly, policing drug use was doing something useful
imagine it's your child living in a tent in the park. they refuse to speak to you because you have told them they need help for their fentanyl addiction. they've overdosed already and the police have administered narcan and left them with a card with a hotline number to call to get help. they refuse. they just want more fentanyl.
IMO, the most merciful thing you could do is arrest them and put them in jail for a few weeks so they can detox and remember they like things besides fentanyl
insert usual cynicism here that this would get you put in prison in SF for longer than any crime a fentanyl junkie can commit short of murder
Also, just for some context, these opinions are pretty bog standard for the vast majority of elites in the West over the last few hundred years. So it's not like they're crazy beyond the pale. Although I'll admit they're stated provacatively.
I don't have an exhaustive understanding of the UK but it sounds like he's expressing the median Londoner's opinion, candidly.
As an American who lived in London for a bit, I met several people who seemed completely identical to the rest of the English at first-blush[1], but they'd eventually confess to me that they're quite ashamed of their obvious(??) working class upbringing. The forward-ness of this surprised me, because I had many English acquaintances who would never open up about their feelings like this on other topics, no matter how much we were drinking. I do wonder if being an outsider helped them confess this to me, or if this is just something you have to voice to everyone.
Anyway, it sounded markedly different from meeting someone from the Midwest in NYC confessing their shame at growing up in corn fields of Indiana or whatever. The person from the Midwest just felt good to be in NYC, like they escaped. Whereas the persons I met in London very much projected that they could never escape their class, and this deeply affected them.
Can this shame lead to rage as this down-trodden feeling class is apparently ignored while the government falls all over itself to support problematic foreigners? I can see that, 100%
- In hindsight their accents were different though it's not like they were speaking blatant My Fair Lady style Cockney
Not sure where I'm going with this, but like Goodguy's personal story the other week, it's a general reflection on the inadequacy of crime statistics to capture its impact on communities.
me at party: well, the community feels unsafe
guy: crime isn't that high though?
me: so, what about the homeless people living by the train tracks? seems sketchy
guy: oh, I don't go there
me: what about being a woman and jogging the river path alone when it's dark?
guy: oh, yeah that sounds bad
me: the local Starbucks has sugar and stirrers behind the counter now. the Whole Foods doesn't dispense plastic utensils anymore unless you ask and only has a single entrance/exit now despite having been built with several
guy: ...
me: I had a baby stroller stolen off of my driveway because I left it out overnight
guy: ...
I'm glad we have below the median murder rate for the US but this shit sucks.
I'm not saying that. I'm saying that women are more likely to get attacked than men, and that the women feel unsafe running there unless there are men with them. I'm using a specific example from my city in a running group that meets at 5am by the river path, when it's still dark.
Furthermore, how is Brazil banning X different from the US banning TikTok?
I suppose the US followed a lot more legal process around it (it was an act of Congress signed by the President) and isn't so much banning it as demanding that its principals fall under US jurisdiction, and at least the cover story is not over suppressing speech but around guaranteeing that the CCP isn't conducting surveillance on every American.
In broad strokes it feels the same though?
you claim to care about free speech but isn't sending information about secret bases and military personnel to the CCP a form of speech? :thinking:
jk jk
isn't the Brazil judge making a similar national security argument though? not around secrets but around public order? X is fostering hate speech and supporting the return of the deplorable Bolsanaro elements, or whatever?
So, Trump was on the Lex podcast https://x.com/lexfridman/status/1831010861248585738
I don't care to comment on the substance of this at all, except perhaps Lex asks Trump if Congress would become better if they all took mushrooms lol and, IMO, Trump pauses almost imperceptibly like "wtf" but then smoothly pivots into medical marijuana. Well done.
I find Trump's answers kind of uninteresting and he evades a lot of gotcha questions, typical politician stuff. But what always astonishes me when I listen to him talk is that his speech seems specially crafted to communicate with people who have ... 3 second long attention spans at best?
At first I thought this might be an example of Trump's dim wit, but I don't think that's it. I think it actually takes incredible skill to speak in a way where people with median IQ hear you and don't get confused because you're hyperlinking to things that came up too long ago and have long since fallen out of their short-term memory.
One example is pretty early on Lex asks him if politics is a dirty game? Trump says yes. Lex immediately follows up, almost interrupting, to ask him how you win at this game? And from there Trump completely totally pretends this has nothing to do with the game being dirty and instead he switches gears to answering as if he asked an independent question "how do you win at politics in general?"
I find that remarkable. I don't think I could do that. I'd probably spend a really long time constructing a solid answer that covers these points
- politics can be dirty
- <anecdote about outrageous thing my opponent did>
- but you gotta take the high ground
- <example of you playing dirty that you spin as taking the high ground>
- finish up with more milquetoast answers about meeting people and listening
and I'd probably impress the top 10% of listeners and make everyone else think I'm some huge bullshitter because they forgot most of what I said by the time I was done.
I don't really want to become some kind of Trump analyst but there are other examples.
One time during a press conference with leaders of Congress, Trump brought up winning Iowa and Schumer butts in, with a sarcastic comment about how you know Trump is in trouble when he brings up Iowa, and Trump just deadpan responds "but I did win Iowa". I found that remarkable because even Schumer, who successfully became Senator of New York and is the Senate Majority leader, used air time to say something snarky that maybe 10% of viewers would understand while Trump just took the opportunity to turn it into a positive for him that almost everyone understands.
tl;dr Trump's actually really skilled at communicating with the general public, much to the frustration of people who can rub two brain cells together and find his speech agonizing.
yes I agree transcripts of his speeches are brain rotting
The purpose of this point is to mostly share in my body horror.
So, I recently picked up a hunting camera. You know, to place it in spots I think I might find game in and come back later to review the video and see if it's worth getting up at 3am to watch the sunrise in that spot later while clutching a rifle.
To test the camera out, I set it up in my house and let it run overnight.
Annoyingly it produced .AVI files that ffmpeg
(via mpv
) can't view. But I installed VLC and that plays it fine. Whew.
Anyway, I watched the overnight footage and mostly caught myself on camera while not expecting to. Unposed, from unflattering angles.
Yikes. Nothing like watching yourself amble about in your underwear in the middle of the night, on grainy surveillance camera quality video, to give you a mini crisis about how your diet, exercise and posture is going.
I do have fairly large mirrors in my house so I can't escape a glimpse of myself if I'm getting too obese, and that's helpful, but surveillance camera style footage is next level. Seeing yourself from the back, looking around confused,how often you totter around limp-wristed, how your butt moves and what your gait looks like is quite a wake-up call. Especially when you're not expecting it.
I suppose actors and other professional look-gooders-on-camera eat, breathe and sleep in this desert of the real. But for average mopes like me it's crisis-fuel.
Annoyingly, I do exercise regularly, both lifting and running, and do intermittent fasting. I don't look terrible but I definitely don't match my residual self-image + whatever not-posed-but-still-actually-posed mirror shots show.
To spin this positively(?), I do wonder if my physical appearance would be improved overall if I was regularly seeing videos of myself like this?
So... who are you voting for?
Is it too late to get Biden back?
My parents grew up south Europe, born during WW2, and I couldn't believe the level of poverty they endured. I visited the 7,500 person town they grew up in and even today in 2024 it still doesn't have consistent running water and each house has maybe 20 amp electrical service max. You could eat a chicken once a month on special occasions. Dinner involved some starch and beans, every night, usually the same thing. Family members having spent time either in prison for being reported by neighbors with a gripe, or serving as conscripts, or both.
Violence too? Each parent had a sibling killed under circumstances they never quite explain to me. Another sibling (my uncle) becomes mentally retarded from some disease they couldn't even put a name on, because access to health care didn't exist. "He just had a fever when he was young and was never the same when the fever went away". This is almost certainly from a preventable childhood disease that no longer exists in the modern world.
How fucking frightening a world was the relatively recent past. And yet my parents hardly complain about anything. I cannot fucking deal with listening to them stoically describe their upbringing and early life in the US (as illegal immigrants, another fun adventure) and then contrast with the median gen-Zer complaining about their absolute life of amazing luxury today.
I'm sure the horror damaged my parents in ways that aren't legible and that they would not have chosen it if they could do life again, but I'm also not sure this life of absolutely pure luxury we have today (by contrast) actually is the stuff that a good world springs from. Maybe the problem is bad morals, but I struggle to articulate it. It sure would be a shame if you needed the hard times
to create the strong men
.
fair take
Unironically, this reminds me of the "power principle" articulated in the Unabomber's Manifesto. We used to simply focus on survival, and by achieving survival, which took a large amount of effort, we were fairly satisfied. But now survival is almost effortless, and we have so much left over wanting.
In the place of survival, we invent things to pursue to try to find that same satisfaction. But they have to be things that are some kind of balance between hard and achievable. If they're too easy, we find the achievement hollow. If too hard, we despair. Just right, like getting a PhD in marine biology from a prestigious school. There we go.
Except some people never find that moderately difficult but achievable task. Or they achieve one and never figure out another one to replace it. Those people feel really lost. Life loses meaning. Integrate over society and you get, well, gestures at everything
Isn't this kind of true of military service in the US? Isn't the army actually not a bad deal if you live in a poor enough area?
And of course the labor, cut down dry trees, sawed them for firewood, cooked all the food, carted all the water and we built the camp ourselves.
This sounds awesome how much per week do I need to pay for this getaway? $5000...?
Why are these Haitians being admitted to the US when there's a neighbor conveniently next door to them called the Dominican Republic that they can move to? They share an island together, in fact, no need to get on a plane or boat.
how cute, they have their own Vesper story
As an aside, the federal government possessing the ability to drop tens of thousands of migrants on your town seems like a surprisingly powerful instrument of coercion. Remembering the Washington Bridge Fort Lee lane closure scandal, I do wonder if this is over something as petty as the mayor calling the wrong person a cocksucker on a phone call, or whatever.
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I don't think this is too apocalyptic, probably most computers will be fixed by Monday.
But you bet your ass that everyone lost a lot of money today and that it may take weeks (or months) for some businesses to get back to the black.
Does anyone disagree with me that the amount of value destroyed by this failed patch outweighs all of the economic value CrowdStrike has ever provided? Imagine working at a company that would have been better off never existing.
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