someone_from_poland
themotte.org was entertaining for a while but for me it just proves that contrarianism for sake of contrarianism is a bad strategy.
Contrarian is far more likely to be wrong than correct or useful.
User ID: 2097
In the long term you just start producing elsewhere on lower quality land and prices are 5-10% higher than before.
Maybe, but spike in food costs and permanent 5% increase is not "the market would barely even notice". And that may be enough to trigger new waves of migration counted in tens of millions.
"wheat is 10% more expensive" is noticeable for people in USA or Europe but they will at most complain and may push them to vote differently. It is different where people spend 50% of budget on food where that may be enough to trigger riots, famine and mass migration.
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
chose to fight on the anti-west team except for the 5 years in ww2.
I would rather phrase it as "Hitler kicked them out of his own team and had no choice than cooperate with West"
is there actually any post-1991 evidence that Russia is, in fact, our "long-term adversary", or is it just something that certain people keep repeating to try and meme it into truth?
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Not rejected its imperial aspirations and have not even pretended that it will give up "sphere of influence" that includes my country (unlike Germany)
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Bombing country next to mine and murdering civilians there and trying to destroy its economy
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Doing its best to disrupt global food supply by invading Ukraine and blocking grain shipments (they were strongarmed into suspending this)
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Have not clearly rejected USSR as awful and evil failure (unlike Germany with Third Reich)
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Repeated use of its position of cheap energy supplier for blackmail
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Invading other countries in Europe (they have not got memo that European countries decided that this is not acceptable after WW II mess)
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Being so corrupt that they are not usable as ally for example ally against China
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Being utterly useless as an ally (as Armenia discovered)
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Assassinating people in Europe without even enough decorum to keep it hidden
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Repeated extreme war crimes (for example: using hospital list in Syria as target list, Bucha)
Overall Russia is overambitious corrupt, useless as an ally, extremely aggressive lead by idiot that dragged it into a tragic war. That demonstrates it clearly enough even for Germans, but it was obvious already earlier.
And no, Russia is not entitled to empire in the central Europe - nor powerful enough to build one again, at least for now.
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
F-35 production
That seems like a poor way to argue that USA atrophied, Russia stronk.
Compare 890+ built F-35 to 11 claimed serial Su-57. And that, I think, includes the first serial Su-57 crashed during factory trials.
Currently 156 F-35 are produced each year. There are 11 serial Su-57 since 2019.
Add to that dramatic inferiority of Su-57 to F-35.
What next, maybe we will compare satellite constellations? Or logistics? Or carriers? These is one of few places with more hilarious disparity than in production of advanced fighters.
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
(a) It is not happening on large scale
(b) In cases it is happening then it is not "communist legacy" but "I am European, and I do not care about Poland" euposting.
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
I am curious if this happens to other people.
Happens for me with alarms triggering at specific times.
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
Still, I would expect at least some to not be turboleftist. Even more in adjacent more rural areas.
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
Maybe someone researched this already - can you recommend decent way to donate funds to Ukrainians?
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
e.g. relatives, friends
beware of risk of people starting to queue for handouts - may be nice to do it anonymously
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
member of my family works in another one and it is fine and definitely not "horrible hellhole"
also, I bet that media stories are biased toward horrible hellholes in this case - how you make story of regular one?
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
If mosquito nets or Guinea worm vaccination or whatever can improve lives so cheaply how have they not been 100% funded by now?
(1) People do not really care about poor people in Africa so much.
(2) Malaria and worms suck on a large scale[1] and you can (even efficiently) shovel much money into it before problem disappears ([1] about 1/3 of all people who ever died were killed by malaria - though that has massive error bars).
but I do still worry about supporting wokism
Depends on whether "helping poor people in Africa" counts as supporting wokism or "fuck you bunch of lying liars, I have done more to help poor people in Africa than 99.99% of wokes"
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
Handing out free 3D printers to people wanting one is probably far more altruistic than giving the same amount of money to a charity that will shovel it into a bottomless pit.
And to enable more sharing - maybe give fund to random hackerspace that has an idea how to use it.
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
Entrepreneurial charity...
(...)
Something that doesn't involve interacting with any institution at all? Should I just straight up send people cash?
Invest in promising business, also ones unlikely to take off and become multibillion companies (that is covered by VC chasing another Google)?
I am a no bullshit human being focused on concrete results
Which results you achieved already?
I also work on the first true semantic parser, that convert natural language text to a graph representation that preserve meaning isomorphically.
Can you link already existing code?
my rationality allows me to see through the blind spots of the academic research
please link examples
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
the most corrupt country in the world
I can complain all day long about Ukrainian corruption but that is going too far. There are far more corrupt countries where war could be won by bribing generals/mayors/president etc.
In Ukraine that happened on major scale only in Kherson at beginning at the war.
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
And the complaining about "Poles for not taking their 'share' of refugees" lost any standing after taking millions of Ukrainians, with over 100 000 daily crossings (IIRC) at beginning of the war.
The Hungarians and the Poles didn't feel like footing the bill for building camps or detainment centres,
And more importantly were not enthusiastic about recreating Swedish or French or German migration problems. War refugees from Ukraine were welcomed, economical migrants from Somalia were not.
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
If Ukraine was to fall into NATO hands it gives the West a far too easy land path into Moscow.
Not entirely sure is Russian leadership (or anyone else) really believing this.
As long as Russia has working nukes no other country is going to push tank divisions into Moscow.
someone_from_poland
2yr ago
Poland is still struggling with its communist legacy--corruption, lack of civic engagement, watered down national identity
I am not sure is "watered down national identity" a real problem in Poland. Other two are problems, but ones with noticeable progress.
What you mean by USG here?
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