sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
No bio...
User ID: 636
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
11hr ago
Those both involved a huge amount of death and destruction and both of those nations ended up surrendering
My back of the envelope calculation suggests Gaza is somewhere between the relative death tolls of Japan and Germany. I doubt Hamas is going to surrender if you kick them harder in the balls.
I guess the end state there is an impromptu group of civilians form and say that they're tired of getting bombed and that they will become the government and carry on the policing of their radicals, including any Hamas remnants, so that terrorist attacks stop happening.
This is simply impossible given the Palestinian psychological makeup. I don't even think the Israelis are banking on this. Happy to place bets on this not happening.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
12hr ago
You seriously exaggerate the ungovernability of India, your description fits Afghanistan better. Modi has a 75% approval rating. America is way more fractious.
In my opinion your hypothetical Raj would have to be significantly MORE brutal on the population than the current military operations conducted by Israel are to have any hope at success.
The key distinction is that a civilizing mission has an obvious aim that can guide decisionmaking. There is no obvious aim that drives Israeli decisionmaking right now except kicking the dog in the balls. It is entirely not obvious how this is supposed to lead to a long term solution.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
12hr ago
I'm not sure if I'm missing something here. Has there ever been a method devised that starves everyone except for exclusively babies?
I admit I'm not an expert in siege tactics. However, one modest proposal might be to not order soldiers to fire on people trying to acquire food. That seems like the kind of thing that might cause starving babies on the margin.
From where I'm standing, that looks literally impossible.
I believe the three options I listed are exhaustive, so I'm curious if you think there is a fourth that I missed or if you think one of the other two that I thought was impossible is actually possible. Or perhaps you think they are all impossible?
Some dogs are just impossible and dangerous and they get put down, kind of a downer for this metaphor.
Indeed, but as the article suggests, there are people who have managed to train this particular dog.
You'd have to specify what that looks like instead of gesturing vaguely at it for me to take it seriously. How do you get from "kill all Jews which we hate with religious zealotry and take back the Holy Land which they stole from us 70 years ago" to "yeah 2 states are okay, I'm okay with giving up my important holy sites now"?
The Germans famously also wanted to kill (all?) Jews and now they perhaps kowtow excessively. Japan was raping Nanking and now they produce anime. It is possible for a foreign power to change culture, drastically.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
16hr ago
Are you seriously suggesting that Israel is purposely targeting babies to starve?
I think the best case scenario here is that Israel is criminally negligent when it comes to avoiding starving babies. Certainly there are starving babies.
starvation has long been a legitimate tool to bring armies to their knees.
Agreed, but again, how is starving babies going to bring an army to its knees?
But that's not really what interests me. If you think starvation is a bad tactic for dealing with Hamas, that's totally fine, and I think I probably agree with you. I just wonder what tactics would be good for dealing with Hamas. What should Israel do?
There's only three options I see here. The first is to kill the Palestinians, which would be a horror that Israel would not recover from. The second is to move them, which is impossible because nobody is foolish enough to take millions of Palestinians.
When Kahane wasn’t condemning normie Zionists for having contempt for the Arabs, he liked to call them dogs. Not the most original metaphor, but vivid enough, so let’s run with it. Imagine a dog, not a Pitbull (that’s racist), but a Belgian Shepherd or similar. We observe one person who tries to reason with the dog, discusses with him the categorical imperative, and performs random unsolicited acts of kindness to appeal to its better nature. Another, swarthier person enters, perplexed at this cringe European, and pushes him to the side. He takes a good long look at the dog, walks over and kicks it square in the nuts, returning to high-five his friends. Rinse and repeat for three decades. Who is surprised that the dog is deranged?
What you do with a dog, obviously, is you train it. You don’t respond to its barks and snarls by getting down on all fours and barking back because ‘this is the yard’ and that’s what is done here. How do you train the dog? Well, go find someone who’s good at it, and ask him.
What does this look like? I don't know. But directionally, perhaps it's something like the British Raj. A civilizing mission is basically the only way to turn things around.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
16hr ago
I agree that simply killing every Palestinian would entail eliminating Hamas, but I am not convinced that killing, say, 10% of Palestinians will do that. I am especially doubtful that starving Palestinian babies will bring an army to its knees, on account of babies not being part of the army.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
20hr ago
But how is starving babies supposed to deal with Hamas?
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
2d ago
Why would his being Jewish prevent you from being a fan?
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
2d ago
HRV should give a decent indicator of stress levels.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
2d ago
The work of getting a business off the ground doesn't differ that much whether your business becomes a trillion dollar company or goes bust. The labor theory of value is wrong.
Mackenzie was also working at Amazon in the early days, doing accounts, packing orders, etc. So I find it entirely reasonable that this made her rich.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
4d ago
Really? Based on the recent ACX alpha school review, I was under the impression that cash for books does work.
As far as I know Fryer has not done any super-long-term studies of the impact of his experiments, but he did look at the mid-term effects. After the “read books for $$s” study ended he followed the test and control group for what happened to their reading habits when they were not getting paid. He found, in contradiction to concerns about loss of internal motivation, that the test group continued to read more than the control group.
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/your-review-alpha-school
Which studies do you mean?
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
4d ago
This tree seems to block much of the road behind the light on the right.
It would be hard to notice a car until you are almost in the intersection.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
4d ago
You're right, and I was mistaken about my state too.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
4d ago
People in my area run reds all the time, but I never saw people try to beat the green like this except in Puerto Rico.
It's nearly impossible to "make observations" for cross traffic when you're traveling at 55mph and the vegetation blocks line of sight to the traffic in question.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
4d ago
It's illegal to be in the intersection when the light is red.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
5d ago
246 BC is emphatically not the iron age. Rome as a civilization famously did not require all conquered peoples to become culturally Roman so long as they colored within the lines.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
5d ago
The 5.8% figure is from two months ago and was already part of an upward trajectory. The writeup you linked largely confirms that Gazans are starving, though it argues that it's not due to Israel withholding aid.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
7d ago
Is there a way to quantify "use value"? If not, this seems to be a rhetorical trick. Why would I care about a notion of value that exists simply to win arguments about communism?
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
7d ago
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
7d ago
Yougov: https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Worst_World_Leaders_poll_results.pdf
68% have an unfavorable view of Stalin, with only 26% undecided (a subset of which presumably have not heard of him).
Edit: stefferi beat me to it.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
9d ago
so the liver only has to do about half of the work, comparatively speaking.
HFCS is usually also about half glucose (by dry weight).
The most common forms of HFCS used for food and beverage manufacturing contain fructose in either 42% ("HFCS 42") or 55% ("HFCS 55") by dry weight, as described in the U.S. Code of Federal Regulations (21 CFR 184.1866).[5]
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
10d ago
It would be difficult to do that given that the questions were published this week and the answers weren't published until ~today.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
10d ago
How much extra time needs to be spent to work around these tricks when the men's razors are right next to the women's razors?
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
10d ago
It's also important to note that previous SOTA, DeepMind's AlphaGeometry, a specialized system, had previously achieved a silver-medal level performance and was within spitting distance of gold.
It was actually AlphaProof that was the previous SOTA.
Japan and Germany were centralized states. The centralization that made it coherent to talk about Japan or Germany surrendering was what allowed Japan to quash the holdouts, and that lack of coherence is what makes it difficult to imagine a Hamas instrument of surrender.
Has there ever been an insurgency quelled by immiserating the population? Successful counterinsurgency campaigns I can think of usually revolve around convincing the citizens that they are better off the supporting the state than the insurgents. A little hard to do that when the citizens blame the state for starving them.
More options
Context Copy link