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PaperclipPerfector  1yr ago (text post)   1610 thread views

Transnational Thursday for August 22, 2024

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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What are the odds that Russia just straight up gives Iran nuclear weapons, Cuba style? Or have already done so?

In exchange for what?

It would allow Iran to actually fight Israel which would draw the United States further away from Europe. You see how Ukraine temporarily got put on the back burner after October 7. Additionally, having the Middle East controlled by a Russian ally would probably be good for Russia.

Iran can already actually fight Israel. It's been waging a bombardment campaign by proxy for the better part of a year now.

Iran can go nuclear without Russia needing to assist. Nuclear weapons don't change Iran's limitations.

Iran does not have the capacity to conquer the middle east with or without nuclear weapons, with or without the US in the region.

Russia's war in Ukraine is substantially facilitated by arms imports from Iran and ties it maintains with various Gulf Arab states to facilitate gold-transactions and other sanctions-evasion mechanisms, both of which would go away if Iran got into a major regional war.

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