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Transnational Thursday for August 22, 2024

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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What are the odds that Russia just straight up gives Iran nuclear weapons, Cuba style? Or have already done so?

In exchange for what?

It would allow Iran to actually fight Israel which would draw the United States further away from Europe. You see how Ukraine temporarily got put on the back burner after October 7. Additionally, having the Middle East controlled by a Russian ally would probably be good for Russia.

What would actually happen is that the Saudi’s acquire a nuclear weapon very quickly, the region increases in militarization, and Russia is at the same level of influence as before just with egg on their face.