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naraburns  nihil supernum  1yr ago (text post)   30008 thread views

U.S. Election (Day?) 2024 Megathread

With apologies to our many friends and posters outside the United States... it's time for another one of these! Culture war thread rules apply, and you are permitted to openly advocate for or against an issue or candidate on the ballot (if you clearly identify which ballot, and can do so without knocking down any strawmen along the way). "Small-scale" questions and answers are also permitted if you refrain from shitposting or being otherwise insulting to others here. Please keep the spirit of the law--this is a discussion forum!--carefully in mind.

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I don't know where this data is coming from (exit polls maybe?) but it appears that this election was won by Hispanics. This is part of the political realignment I have been harping on:

https://x.com/cremieuxrecueil/status/1854233305450746255

Trump improved his performance with Latin men by 33 points and Latin women by 20 points. He lost ground with whites. Latin men are now net Republican for the first time maybe ever.

It’s not super complicated. Dems have been courting them for decades, but apparently in all that time somehow never internalized the fact that Hispanics are Uber-Catholic. You insist on framing abortion as the issue of the election, and this is what you get.

the fact that Hispanics are Uber-Catholic

No they’re not. Latins retain a Catholic majority but the bright spots in the US Catholic Church are driven by white ethnics and Hispanic under-50 religiosity is heavily evangelical.

FWIW: https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2023/04/13/among-u-s-latinos-catholicism-continues-to-decline-but-is-still-the-largest-faith

Table near the top show Catholicism at 43%, 30% unaffiliated (agnostic, culturally catholic?),15% evangelical, and the rest who cares.

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