Tuesday November 8, 2022 is Election Day in the United States of America. In addition to Congressional "midterms" at the federal level, many state governors and other more local offices are up for grabs. Given how things shook out over Election Day 2020, things could get a little crazy.
...or, perhaps, not! But here's the Megathread for if they do. Talk about your local concerns, your national predictions, your suspicions re: election fraud and interference, how you plan to vote, anything election related is welcome here. Culture War thread rules apply, with the addition of Small-Scale Questions and election-related "Bare Links" allowed in this thread only (unfortunately, there will not be a subthread repository due to current technical limitations).
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Notes -
Trump should be dead. He’s not a winner, he doesn’t bring coattails. His most endorsed candidates are not crushing it.
Versus Desantis turning Miami-Dade red. I have to conclude Desantis is the front runner now. And he’s a real conservative and not one that plays one on tv
If the Walker seat isn’t for control of the senate then I assume he’s dead in a run off.
I hope you're right, but I worry about how much of the GOP primary vote even follows these races closely enough to understand that Trump ruined everything. Seems pretty plausible that >50% of GOP primary voters don't follow that closely and will nod along when Trump publicly blames the rest of the party with some unintelligible claim.
Trump singlehandedly ruined what should have been a GOP controlled Senate in 2020 and it doesn't seem to have cost him anything with them: he led them like lambs to the slaughter in this year's Senate primaries.
I don't think the dems should get too cocky quite yet but when you let a capital P Populist be one of the main unifying draws for an entire presidential cycle, its gonna have a lingering effect. The q-anon truthers and Trump loyalists aren't going away.
Lets play with a hypothetical: is it actually good for republicans in 2024 if trump gets hung out to dry by the court battles he's entangled in? Is it possible we see Desantis backers and trump supporters battling in the usual online spaces (or does that already happen, i don't frequent the trenches of serious republican think tanks)?
No. Seeing your side lose in public is bad. Full stop. People hate a loser.
It's more like ideological evaporative cooling in my experience. You don't see anti-Trumpers arguing with Trumpers, you just see Trumpers take over a previously Republican forum (local parties, gun clubs, etc) and the anti-Trumper grill-class types just kind of edging out of the room. Like if this forum went full fedposting, I wouldn't loudly argue about it, I'd just stop posting. That's what you're seeing at the local Republican level.
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