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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 31, 2025

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Trump tariffs McDonald's:

BBC article for a more detailed overview.

Highlights or lowlights include:

  1. 32% tariffs on Taiwan, though I'm told that they thankfully exclude semiconductors.
  2. 46% on Vietnam and 49% on Cambodia, so gg to companies encouraged to diversify outside of China.
  3. 10% tariffs (the absolute floor, or Trump's idea of a sweetheart deal) on such interesting nations as Tuvalu (with that sweet sweet .tv license) and the Heard and McDonald islands, which are uninhabited.
  4. Some quite seriously speculating that the entire policy was AI generated. https://x.com/krishnanrohit/status/1907587352157106292 :

This might be the first large-scale application of AI technology to geopolitics.. 4o, o3 high, Gemini 2.5 pro, Claude 3.7, Grok all give the same answer to the question on how to impose tariffs easily.

  1. Others note the resemblance to the common ReLU function in ML, but the gist of it is a hamfisted approach that is setting tariffs off the equation trade deficits/imports, despite denial by the administration (or at least the Deputy White House Press Secretary), who presented an equation that literally says that but prettied up.

I'm not an economist, but I don't think it's a good idea to throw out tariffs with such clear absence of rigor. The only saving grace is that Trump is fickle, so if enough people yell at him from his in-group, he might pivot in a week. If not, bloody hell.

I'm personally getting screwed on this one because of some very aggressive options plays that I was doing. Thoughts and prayers for the stock market today, please.(I'm joking but am also seriously nervous right now)

My sheer laziness has saved me. I was asking about financial advice a month back, which largely confirmed my urge to buy the S&P 500 or Vanguard.

Then the previous market crash happened, and I resolved to buy the dip, but ended up procrastinating.

Still am, but look at me, saved from (theoretical) losses by Never Doing Anything.

Buy a Vanguard index fund. Don't worry about dips or peaks. The stock market was lower last September. People are making a very big deal about a small bump.

I intend to, but I'm unfortunately quite lazy. When I do, I'll park it and forget it till a rainy day.