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TIRM


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 05 04:40:40 UTC

				

User ID: 441

TIRM


				
				
				

				
1 follower   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 04:40:40 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 441

"If wishes were fishes, we'd all cast nets."

Same. No idea what's going on or how this is relevant.

MICHAEL VASSAR is an American futurist, activist, and entrepreneur. He is the co-founder and chief science officer of MetaMed Research. He was president of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute until January 2012. Vassar advocates safe development of new technologies for the benefit of humankind.

"I'm a founder and chief science officer for a medical company called BayesCraft."

Okay. And he likes psychedelics too much allegedly? I'm missing so much context here.

I read the first one and it was shockingly bad. I don't understand how that bad of a book got published, much less made into a series with fans.

Biden staffers forced to reveal


"I don't recall that." Sudden onset amnesia would become an epidemic among former staffers.

It doesn't say the president has to state the particular offenses in question. And so he doesn't.

"Which offenses?" "All of them." Seems possible given how simple that statement in the Constitution is.

What does it mean “to be a fed”?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COINTELPRO

Basically that.

"I like our political advocacy group, but what if we also committed violent crimes? In fact I have some bombs. Let's start bombing." <- That person is a fed.

Point 2 is a big nothingburger. She admitted she only claimed that to squeeze him in divorce proceedings. She later clarified that he never physically raped her, but his emotional distance was a sort of emotional rape.

Pardoning his son in law's dad after serving a prison sentence, not before.

The decade of preemptive not-yet-charged or even just hypothetical crimes pardoning is the shocker here. Hunter is already convicted for some of his many crimes, but yet to be sentenced. He got free pass on those too.

Trump pardoned his father-in-law for substantially more egregious conduct.

Yes, with the key distinction being that pardon was after the prison sentence was completed, not before.

he seems to be saying that the average prisoner is basically retarded

He found a median I. Q. of 76.2 (on a basis of 16 years as mental maturity) and made the sweeping conclusion that "the median intelligence of every racial group of prisoners lies either in the middle borderline or upper moron group of intelligence."

Survey of the Intelligence of Illinois Prisoners

Yeah, kind of.

I listen to conservative talk radio and they had such easy certainty that Biden would drop out months before he did. They were laughing at journalists saying Biden is so sharp that people can't keep up with him.

Supposedly it is one of the most powerful election ads ever made. Nearly 2 point shift in voters who viewed it. I've heard that asserted plenty, but not seen a good source for that claim.

In their telling, Kamala was willing to go anywhere, but they simply ran out of time.

I listened to the whole thing. They pretended that Kamala could not go on Rogan at any point in the campaign because it would consume too much time and she was too busy on the road campaigning. They really tried hard to make it seem like a sensible logistical issue.

They are of course lying their asses off. Harris took multiple multi-day breaks in the campaign. She really wasn't that busy, judging by presidential campaign standards.

As for the illegal trans prisoners' taxpayer-paid gender reassignment surgery issue: they said any direct response to that polled worse than generic talk about the economy. I believe that. Trying to justify or qualify that position is a losing proposal. So politicians should make sure not to state on video that they support such positions.

I've never known a city dwelling woman to carry any means of protection.

I know plenty, counting pepperspray. Are you not an American?

In general I recommend The Rest is History.

Nah. I'm rock solid correct. Some people are just terrible at judging risks. Europeans on bicycles especially.

Secretly transitioning as in a secret from the parents. How could a socially transitioned child not be aware of their new name and gender presentation?

it's not like kids are getting surgery

Some minors get sex reassignment surgery. We've moved past "that never happens" to "its not that common". Next stage is "of course that happens and its a good thing". And of course there are advocates for more minor sex reassignment surgery. Such as the leaked documents from Biden's Department of Health and Human Services.

Or much more commonly these kids get irreversible and badly harmful puberty blockers. A parent failing to support this harm of their child can lose custody in some locales.

schools are forcing uninterested, non-consenting children into transition

I certainly never claimed that, so I won't be championing it. You may not take my statements, make an exaggerated looney version of them and then foist that wild view onto me.

Whether these are valid medical treatments for minors or horrific butchery that we will look back on like elective lobotomies for strange children is the matter under dispute.

Some schools secretly socially transition children. Some locales will take children out of parents' custody if they fail to support transition. This is not all right wing paranoia.

Supposedly Rubio was the other top pick for VP. Vance got that, Rubio is given the alternative prize of Secretary of State. Rubio wanted to quit the senate previously but other Republicans convinced him to stay. Here's his chance to bounce and do something else.

I think perhaps you overestimate Trump's animosity towards "Little Marco, thirstiest man you've ever seen". Trump crushed him in the 2016 primary and now wants his support at the highest level. I don't think there is a feeling of animosity or contradiction inside of Trump.

Musk joked that either Trump would win or Musk would be imprisoned. It's a joke. But novel legal theories worked once to secure dozens of felony convictions. Why not a second pass?

Geeze. You weren't kidding about neoliberal being hysterical today. They're in rare form. I expect this from /r/politics and their ilk. I thought neoliberal thought they were high brow.

"nah, it just feels wrong"

Perfectly justifiable. If you prefer: "My priors of this being true are so enormously low and a single extreme outlier poll is such a small unit of evidence, so I refuse to significantly update my belief regarding this. The likelihood that a single poll is wrong is far greater than the likelihood that my entire understanding of the electorate is this far off. By far greatest likelihood is a one-off polling error. Miniscule likelihood it is correct and I am demented and detached from reality in my understanding of Trump's support."

Luckily our brains have excellent heuristics that approximate all this. So at a glance you can easily say "Smollett is a liar, no way that happened" or "Nah, that poll is just wrong". And you sound jivey talking about priors and weights of evidence if you simply state the obvious likelihood delivered to you by the sophisticated mechanisms in your brain.

I listened to a bunch of recent episodes and they are unusually thoughtful and smug DNC parrots. They are cheerleader partisans, not bold innovators.

I haven't listened very much and maybe I'm missing some older contrarian episodes. Without bothering to listen you already know their views: median Democratic consensus.