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Canada Federal Election 2025

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Poll aggregator: https://338canada.com/

Live results: https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/federal/2025/results/

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For context, Texas secession varies from 30% to 66% depending on the recent news, wording of the survey, etc. That makes this sound like the same order of improbability.

That makes this sound like the same order of improbability.

Yes, but Texas has never actually tried to do this.

Quebec has actually tried it a few times; this idea is in the Canadian political lexicon to a much greater extent than the American one for that reason.

And there's no southern America that's richer and larger egging on Texas. There's no way they're equally improbable.