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Notes -
New executive order just dropped.
This seems, on first glance, wildly better by my libertarian sensibilities than anything I ever expected out of the Trump administration. I am slightly in shock, which is not unusual following an EO, but this time it is a good shock, which is unusual.
So a couple of things
My fantasy of a lowkey-good Trump administration that is ultimately restrained from doing anything really stupid is back in play. Tariff's are minor, if silly. There's a deal with Iran on the table that simply allows Iran a nuclear program. Ukraine and Russia are apparently on their way to a real meeting in Turkey. The shambolic disassembly of the government and NGO infrastructure has been accomplished in such a chaotic way that it will be difficult to put back together and impossible to restore faith in.
I mean 3.5 years to go…. I would say that things are probably going to be fine, but the real question mark is over the response to any black swan events (very major terror attack, major financial crisis, something weird/new happening with AGI) that could happen.
There's a reason I called it a fantasy.
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