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Notes -
Who else up watching election results? As of the time of this writing Decision Desk has called all of:
The Virginia governor race in favor of Abigail Spanberger (D).
The Virginia lieutenant governor race in favor of Ghazala Hashmi (D and the first Muslim woman elected to statewide office).
The Virginia Attorney General race in favor of Jay Jones (D lmao).
The New Jersey governor race in favor of Mickie Sherrill (D).
The NYC mayoral race for Zohran Mamdani (D, projecting a majority of the vote too lmao).
Both statewide Georgia Public Service Commissioner races for the Democratic candidates.
Polls are still open in California so no word yet there on the redistricting ballot measure. In other Jay Jones news the house delegate who leaked his texts is on track to lose her re-election, as part of dems winning a trifecta in the Virginia government.
The county by county level results I've seen show pretty much all of the above running ahead of Harris and Spanberger even running ahead of Biden in 2020. Is this indicative of what we might see going forward? Dems had previously overperformed in special elections this year but this is the closest to a general until next years actual federal elections. If these trends hold up not a good sign for Republicans!
Without doxxing myself too aggressively, holy shit this was a blue year around here.
We had a Court of Common Pleas election in which the Republican was more qualified, spent more money, put more effort in, sent out more mail, put up more signs, contacted more volunteers. In the primary, where judicial candidates traditionally cross-file to both the R and D primary ballots, she was just a few percentage points from beating the D candidate on the D ballot, while winning the Republican ballot with Saddam Hussein numbers.
She got wrecked today, lost by a large margin. Just four years ago, in a three-seat judicial race, this same county elected three Republicans.
Zohran seemed like styles-make-fights to me. I don't really care about New Jersey or VA. But this one has me spooked. By all rights he should not have won that election, all the local political so-and-sos didn't think he would. His whole campaign was getting on the ballot as a D and hoping for the best. The best happened.
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