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Notes -
Who else up watching election results? As of the time of this writing Decision Desk has called all of:
The Virginia governor race in favor of Abigail Spanberger (D).
The Virginia lieutenant governor race in favor of Ghazala Hashmi (D and the first Muslim woman elected to statewide office).
The Virginia Attorney General race in favor of Jay Jones (D lmao).
The New Jersey governor race in favor of Mickie Sherrill (D).
The NYC mayoral race for Zohran Mamdani (D, projecting a majority of the vote too lmao).
Both statewide Georgia Public Service Commissioner races for the Democratic candidates.
Polls are still open in California so no word yet there on the redistricting ballot measure. In other Jay Jones news the house delegate who leaked his texts is on track to lose her re-election, as part of dems winning a trifecta in the Virginia government.
The county by county level results I've seen show pretty much all of the above running ahead of Harris and Spanberger even running ahead of Biden in 2020. Is this indicative of what we might see going forward? Dems had previously overperformed in special elections this year but this is the closest to a general until next years actual federal elections. If these trends hold up not a good sign for Republicans!
It may not, in fact, have been a good idea for the White House and the departments like Homeland Security to adopt a "stuff that's designed to make 12 year old anons say "based", hopefully" style messaging strategy, insofar as the popularity of the President's party is concerned.
Yes, if only they had a twitter feed more appealing to leftwingers, these blue states would surely flip red.
They are appealing to Zoomers, rather than Millennials. Mamdani ran the most Millennial, Chapo-listener campaign I've ever seen and cleaned up, because Millennials are the new boomers. They will soon be the largest and most wealthy generation in human history.
The death of the left-wing Millennial has been overstated, they are still around, and soon they will decide the course of the West. If the right wants to win they need to realise that they need to appeal to the crowd whose culture is downstream of mid-00s Something Awful rather than late-2010s 4chan and Twitter.
Mamdani won Zoomers, including male Zoomers, as comprehensively as the Millennials. While there's no specific racial breakdown for age/gender classes, Mamdani also won white voters in general, so it's a fair guess that he's probably won white male Zoomers, too, as a demographic.
The whitehouse.gov / DHS Twitter messaging line is not really designed to appeal to Zoomers as a whole generation but to a very specific segment of forumlords of the sort that probably staff the junior ranks in the apparatus. The same problem in reverse the Dems had when they let Millennial Tumblr users design their messaging.
I am a little surprised by the lack of gender polarization in those numbers, except the 18-29 group. I would have thought it would be a cross-age phenomenon.
I'm certainly not from New York, but speaking from my Zoomer experience, Zoomers have a lot of tensions between men and women that weren't necessarily present in earlier generations. A lot more loneliness, perpetually single people, fear of sex, beliefs that the opposite sex is more dangerous than beneficial to you (cough bear cough), diverging social media feeds, beliefs that marriage is a raw deal (from both men and women, actually). Young men and women do seem to be drifting apart. Obviously polarization over Trump feeds that a lot, young women generally find him utterly repulsive and young men often find him funny and memeable even if they dislike him.
That said, looking at the data, zoomer men look very similar to millennial men. It's young women who've broken the pattern.
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