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Notes -
The AI 2027 guys have updated their timeline, pushing back the estimated time until a superhuman coder appears to 2032.
Does anybody else feel like they just got a stay of execution?
It does feel like a release of pressure even if the overall uncertainty remains.
That's an extra 5 years wherein I can die before the Godlike AI comes in and tortures me forever.
Exciting things can still happen in those 5 years with just the current capabilities. I'm still holding hope for anti-aging to be the next sincere frontier and AI to speed up research and produce new solutions.
I'm actually hopeful that self driving cars, autonomous drones, and humanoid robots will be available as consumer grade products by 2030.
Drug discovery and Math and physics research and ultimately biohacking being unleashed would allow for manmade horrors AND manmade delights that are within our comprehension.
And if VIDEO production by AI keeps improving, I might be able to make that custom anime series I've had ideas for.
There might be a "Golden Path" available where AI plateaus right at the level where it can exponentially boost productivity while never quite nosing into true super-intelligence for reasons that may or may not be understood.
I don't think that's our trajectory, but managing to solve our most pressing issues without creating existential risk would be a miracle and proof that God loves us. Expert Systems everywhere would be pretty cool.
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