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PaperclipPerfector  1mo ago (text post)   27990 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of February 9, 2026

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Yes, I tend to think it's a combination of 1) shooters being almost entirely male, and thus more likely to be trans women than cis women or trans men, and 2) both shooters and trans people having strong positive correlations with mental illness.

You can debate the reasons for trans correlation with mental illness, say that it's all because of bigotry against gender-non-conforming people if you like, but the observation itself seems to remain true. Shooters tend to be biologically male people with some sort of mental disorder, and trans women are biologically male people who frequently have some sort of (other than being trans) mental disorder.

It isn't an epidemic or anything. But if trans women are slightly more likely, statistically, to be shooters than other demographics, it wouldn't surprise me.

This seems very plausible. On the other hand, society is generally chill about most mass shooters carrying the Y chromosome, I am sure that the take 'you can prevent violence by aborting your male fetus' exists somewhere but I have not stumbled upon it.

This seems entirely fair, most men do not engage in horrific violence, after all.

However, then it seems also fair to apply similar standards to trans women -- sure, they may be over-represented compared to cis men in shootings, but the violent ones still form a tiny minority.

Certainly, and the base rate being what it is, the odds that any given trans-identifying person is violent are so low that you should not assume the worst. In general you should try to treat people as individuals.

Society is pretty chill about most mass shooters being biologically male because biological males form 50% of the population or thereabouts- you can't not be chill about it.

I think trans ideology just caught on hard with school shooter types, that is to say a very particular strain of autistic mega-exile. I mean I think we all knew it wasn't Chad and Stacy driving those transgender teen numbers over the last few years.

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