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I think it’s just normal human sin. I don’t know the base rate, but as I recall pastors are significantly less likely to abuse children than school teachers.
That list was a weapon in the culture war. There are some progressive (by evangelical standards) people and organizations whose M.O. is to ignore base rates, ignore any exculpatory evidence, and accuse denominations or institutions of being shot through with sexual abuse, then demand checks and balances that subvert the denomination’s polity. The people they want to grant new power over doctrine and practice are consistently from the progressive wing of the denomination, and they always think that the right way to address sexual abuse is by moving the denomination closer to the broader culture.
To be clear, sex abuse in religious organizations is basically a solved problem and 'bringing in a bunch of left wing activists' isn't the solution. It's-
I understand why a Catholic would draw that particular line in the sand. The bishops demanded discretion and then abused the heck out of it at the expense of the children under their care. The obvious fix is to deny them that discretion.
But this raises church-state and child welfare issues that are not theoretical. For example, spurious child welfare investigations are a real harm, and the mandatory reporter system guarantees them. (They are not on the level of clerical pederasty, for sure, but those who have been through them do not trivialize them.) Trust is another casualty: If you know a father whose temper shows too much in the discipline of his children, would you encourage him to talk to his pastor? If his pastor is a mandatory reporter, you probably shouldn’t; maybe this is less of an issue for Roman Catholics, where priests are rarely family men, but it is an issue for Protestants.
I assume this refers to more than simply the Sacrament of Confession?
I am not sure whether you are asking about the problem or the fix, but I don't think the confessional is involved in either case. As far as I know, most states exempt the confessional from their mandatory reporter laws but not pastoral advice.
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I don't think base rates are super useful for painting values differences. I'm not familiar with the numbers one way or the other, so you're probably correct about them.
But unless we're talking 10:1, or something like that, it's not indicative of "X is a trait of Y, but not of Z" so much "X is a trait of Y and Z."
Point taken.
“Values differences” is an interesting phrase, and I think the way you used it here suggests some differences in deeper underlying ideas, but I can’t quite get at them yet. I’ll think on it.
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