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Notes -
Ukraine can't open the straits because there's essentially three ways of opening the straits against the will of the Iranian regime.
Destroying the Iranian regime. Then you have a new regime which presumably will not be shooting at ships. Ukraine can't do that; it's an open question if the US can.
Completely and provably destroying the current regime's capacity to shoot at ships. Even one potential remaining drone within range is too much for the insurers. I do not think this is possible for anyone, let alone Ukraine. Ukraine knows modern drone warfare (because they invented a good deal of it) but they take losses.
Substantially destroying the current regime's capacity to hit ships, and insuring them to accepted international standards outside the cartel. The US might be able to do this; Ukraine definitely can't do the insuring part, and I don't think the Saudis can either (they have the money but they're not named as proper certifiers in the treaties).
Ukraine invented it, Russia perfected it. And both countries are not that successful with it anyway.
Just beat insurers over head. Larry Ellison and Elon Musk will jump over the opportunity.
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