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PaperclipPerfector  2mo ago (text post)   26772 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of March 30, 2026

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Possibly sounding like sour grapes, but I wonder about the feasibility of investing in AI. Yeah, right now it's booming, but I do think a crash (or at least a readjustment) will come, and how do you predict just precisely which day the market wakes up and decides SELL SELL SELL and not BUY BUY BUY?

It's the same problem with crypto: some people rode it and timed it right and made a killing, some people held on too long and lost whatever they gained, and some people regret they got out when they did and didn't stick around just that bit longer when the price went even higher.

I think if you ended up with "made a ton of money but not the yuuuuuge amount I could have done", you ended up ahead of the game. That's a better complaint than "god damn it, I sunk every cent into AI and the bloody market crashed on me".

I'm just talking about my risky bet fuck around money, is the thing. My borring "Don't starve when I'm old" money is locked down for the long haul.

I'm out of it now because the pile got too big and I got scared; but this was the type of money I was willing to take a 100% loss on, so not having the stomach to bet it all on AI related areas before it took off was a major failure on my part.

The key, like with silver booms, is probably not to try to ride it to the absolute peak- yes you don't make the most profit selling when there's still room to go up, but you get more than if it's started to decline.

Ultimately, that's the rub. The greater the return, the greater the risk, and there isn't a reliable way to make high return investments without the risk. Only 10% of the best who best know the market on the planet reliable do better than them over a 20 year window, and most of those folks do worse the 20 years after that statistically. There is no non-luck way to hit a jackpot.

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