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Notes -
IRAN WINS IRAN WAR
President Trump on Truth Social:
Iran foreign minister Araghchi confirms the agreement.
No regime change
Assurances of "safe" passage through the strait of Hormuz, but no assurance of "free" passage.
Absolutely no mention of uranium, enrichment, or nuclear weapons.
No mention of proxies.
Possible sanctions relief.
The Israeli lapdogs like Eve Barlow seem really upset about this, and Bibi/other Israeli officials also are reportedly against the ceasefire.
They can whine all they want about us Americans being privileged, but we control our own country for our own interests, not Israel's. Well, for now maybe.Can't say I'm expecting it to last long, the Kushner/Witkoff/Graham faction are definitely going to try to slap down any possible out available.
And what did they get from all this? Doesn't seem like much, except for increasing opposition to them among the only country that supports them. Don't bite the hand that feeds or they might stop feeding you eventually.
This comment is written with the assumption that the ceasefire will hold as is. It won't, and therefore my comment is irrelevant. Still, I poast.
Big L for Israel. Netanyahu spent 100 years of accumulated sympathy and didn't secure a permanent solution for any of Israel objectives. IRGC's survival means the survival of Hezbollah and Houthis. Hamas will be back soon enough. Each group now despises Israel with a newfound fervor. Good luck.
State side, antisemitism now has bipartisan support. A good number of normies around me are convinced that Israel is evil, that Netanyahu is the devil and that Palestinians are innocent victims. The narrative capture by is complete. IMO, overtime, Israel is likely to become a stronger military ally of UAE and Saudi Arabia than it is of the US. Their strategic goals are better aligned.
It won't be disastrous for Israel. In the spirit of 'nothing ever happens', the US will continue selling weapons to Israel, but at market price. Israel will continue existing with a real sense of threat from all directions and a vague anxiety that nuclear annihilation may be weeks away. Business as usual,. But, on the balance, Netanyahu will (and should) be remembered as a net-negative for the long-term security of Israel.
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