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Was there ever a business willing to wait ~18 years for its returns?
Barrel-aged spirits are a classic example: scotches are not infrequently in that age range.
On the other hand, I've heard a lot of people in the business remark that it makes starting costs pretty overwhelming. At best you can start selling gin and vodka, or reselling out-of-house product while you wait for yours to age. Depending on jurisdiction you get to pay inventory/property tax on it too while you wait.
I once spoke to a guy who worked in a recently founded distillery. While waiting for their first batch of whiskey to age, they started selling gin and vodka just to get a bit of revenue in their coffers. To their surprise, their gin and vodka ended up being so popular (winning assorted international awards) that many of their customers are entirely unaware they distill whiskey.
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Yes and also children exist right now and approximately 0% of them are betrothed, so they will be looking for marriage sooner than in 18 years.
How am i, the app company getting paid? I’m not making an app out of the goodness of my heart. I need to achieve network effects, i need to market, i need people to not be afraid to say they met on my app so i can get credibility.
Make men pay to be on it and focus on attracting women and matching well. The men provide the revenue, the good reputation provides the men.
Why would I a serious man pay for an app with no women on it, and why would i as a women waste my time joining an app with no men.
The entry barriers are already hard enough without first trying to filter at the very beginning.
If i am a man on the app, how am i paying? Subscription? Well the company now has an incentive to keep me on the app, if i match with someone i will leave and stop paying.
That's the initial hump, which is common to all social media. It has to be solved through seed funding.
If the company keeps you on the app, the app doesn't work and it loses its reputation. Tinder for example has no stock for people who want to get married.
But hinge is an app designed for relationships, their slogan is "made to be deleted" it still has the same problem in a nutshell that tinder does. But it's reputation is better. Btw the League made men pay and it didn't really work. For the most part, most dating apps make men pay in some way. So subsidizing the initial men actually doesn't really solve your problem. Which is by making men pay you hope to get relationship minded men of high quality onto the app, in order to attract women. It also doesn't follow that making men pay correlates with any of those things. You've just kinda re-invented something that has already been tried.
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Tree farms
Fair. I'll specify: a business willing to wait 18 years for its returns in an area where returns aren't guaranteed and governed pretty much only by soil quality, rains and time; and also that area being social media???
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