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Culture War Roundup for the week of July 27, 2026

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ANJRPC v. NJAG Case Law

The Third Circuit has found:

Applying the framework announced in New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen, 597 U.S. 1 (2022), we agree with the District Court that New Jersey’s ban on Colt AR-15s violates the Second Amendment.

However, because the record supports the same result for all semi-automatic rifles—not only Colt AR-15s—we will MODIFY the District Court’s order so that it deems the Assault Firearm Provisions unconstitutional with respect to the full class of semi-automatic rifles. We will AFFIRM that part of the order as modified. The LCM Provisions also violate the Second Amendment, so we will REVERSE the District Court’s order with respect to those. Because the LCM Provisions violate the Second Amendment, we need not address the Takings Clause challenge.

Mea culpa, I expected a loss or a close and constrained ruling, but this is about as broad as the gunnie side of the equation could hope for. The court has directly overturned the state's aggressive (and expanding) assault weapons ban as to rifles, the magazines ban to 10-round limits and strongly motioned about 15-round limits, and it even sent the case back to the district court to take a deeper look at the pistols, shotguns, and 'other weapons' with a pretty strong implication that the bans on those should fail, too. Doesn't mean the lower court will take that seriously, but it's strong encouragement.

The breakdown is interesting.

Freeman, who wrote the fire-breathing main opinion, is an early Biden appointee. In a fairer world, this sort of adherence to the Constitution come hell or high water would be a feather in her cap for cross-party appeal; in this one, it's just going to make her enemies on 'her' nominal side and maybe buy some discretion should a conservative Senate ever go hog-wild investigating Thackerisms. Not that a lifetime appointment as an appeals justice is a bad job. New Jersey built the law here with a ton of interlocking 'workarounds' that didn't exist in practice, with a permit that literally never issued and an attorney general carveout that closed in 1990, and Freeman tears into them fully on the record rather than letting the state skate on them. She's joined by six Trump-appointed judges, two Bush-appointed judges, and one other Biden-appointed judge (Montgomery-Reeves).

Most of the concurrences are just doubling down on that, and giving the state even less benefit of the doubt. No explicit writing from Bove, which would have surprised me but for how complete Freeman's opinion is.

The plain dissents side are pretty unsurprising, except to notice how bizarrely bad they are, even taking their legal positions for granted. Shwartz (Obama) claimed, and three other judges sign onto the claim, that "semiautomatic weapons are unlikely to aid in hunting for food or trophies given the destruction they cause to the target". That's not a serious matter available for debate, or a remotely defensible one; I'm hard-pressed to come up with a justification for it beyond intentionally signaling complete lack of knowledge about basic firearm functioning. Krause (Obama) opens her dissent with a paean to gun manufacturers having "pumped a sufficient (yet undefined) number of them into nationwide circulation", which is very hard to make fit with economic demand so severe that a small industry built up around people throwing together their own, and then later approvingly repeats a claim (from St Eve, a Trump appointee!) that a bullet from an AR-15 "releases ten times the energy of a musket ball upon impact", which is either very confused or simply wrong, since the two rounds from a normal rifle have near-identical muzzle energy and similar impact energy. Smith (Bush) has a one-page dissent motioning to Bianchi, which a) thank you very much Kavanaugh, very useful percolation and b) seems really unlikely to persuade any one of the four SCOTUS justices that already said in Snope's dissent-from-cert-denial or 'statement' that Bianchi was likely in direct conflict with past SCOTUS holdings.

It's worth spelling out how long the case has been bouncing around, and how little intervening SCOTUS jurisprudence seems to have shifted anyone's positions. Shwartz wrote one of ANJRPC's first three-judge appeal opinions in 2018, and while it actually said intermediate scrutiny at the time, it's pretty much the same logic as his position now. Hardiman, Bibas, Porter, Matey and Phipps all dissented from the original denial en banc hearing in November of 2020, before SCOTUS GVR'd the case, and Shwartz, Krause, and Restrepro all voted against rehearing the case back then.

((There's some minor comedy in the breakdown when you look at the original panel: the case was plucked up for en-banc review before judgement after SCOTUS GVR'd it in 2022, but the panel was Freeman, Shwartz, and Smith, aka a 2-1 loss for ANJRPC, and one where Freeman would have been a Biden appointee dissenting in favor of gun rights. Since Freeman had three months between oral arguments and initial en banc, there's probably a fantastic story we'll never hear about how much of this opinion started as a dissent.))

There's a complaint that the majority opinion feels a bit like an amici brief to Viramontes. Montgomery-Reeves's (Biden) concurrence is circumspect to say the court should have waited for SCOTUS before issuing their opinion, but it's not a subtle subtext from a couple dissents.

The mirror to that is that the dissents aren't. Krause's legal theory, defining 'common use' to require common wear for self-defense, is outright incompatible with the history from Heller and makes little if any sense to apply in this route for a bare possession ban. Shwartz promotes the "dangerous and unusual" = "unusually dangerous" rule from Hanson and NAGR, but that's just the interest-balancing test that SCOTUS had repeatedly tried to slap down. Chung's position is straddling both. I'm not going to pretend John "Article III Is <Not> Worth a Dollar" Roberts is steel in his principles, but it's hard to see him reading these dissents as anything but an argument to reward lower court defiance of SCOTUS dicta, and harder still to see these arguments in any other form.

Practical Ramifications

A big question is what, precisely, the court case actually means.

As The_Nybbler is sure to point out, this doesn't actually help with New Jersey's FPIC, where the state has banned mere possession based on people being really annoying. For procedural reasons it's near impossible to challenge a specific FPIC denial in federal courts unless and until SCOTUS grants cert for a state court decision because petitioners are encourage to bring their statutory appeal in front of a state judge (and may have to in order make their claim ripe and redressable for a federal as-applied lawsuit), but once they've done so federal district and appeals courts are constrained from reviewing a case or controversy that has already been litigated in state courts. That's the San Remo trap in takings clause jurisprudence, but applied with a felony charge. There might be workarounds -- San Remo got a bypass through Knick -- but Knick took decades, and is pretty tied to takings clause process stuff. Facial challenges are a little easier to bring, but post-VanDerStok, they're also facing a hell of an uphill battle, because no matter how arbitrary the 'essential character and temperament' requirement might be, not issuing permits to a convicted felon is legitimate. There's a tension here where SCOTUS seems to bring that Salerno 'no set of circumstances' strictly or not depending on the context, but even if FPICs are closer to Heller than VanDerStok, it's a long shot.

New Jersey's post-Bruen tantrum bill still makes carry licenses incredibly difficult to get and useless if achieved, and while Koons is still outstanding and before the same court, a ruling in this case is only tea leaves for a ruling in Koons. Outside of pure impossibility, the court here doesn't really handle pretextual restrictions. And there's obviously no ruling on the pistol, shotgun, or other weapon restrictions; that's on the lower court.

But there's also the question of the four corners of the ruling itself.

This is a first, both as an en banc circuit court striking down a broad assault weapon/magazine ban, and for a gun case with a broad and immediate impact. Bruen and Heller and McDonald were all permission to get a license or registration that previously wasn't possible at all, leading to Heller needing to wait months to register his specific gun from the case (and being denied for a semiautomatic handgun), and to New York City spending years with fewer issued carry permits than before Bruen. Here, removing the law it itself a categorical switch, and one that covers a wide variety of locations, both in New Jersey and in Delaware, and blocks some Pennsylvania bills that were getting increasing political pressure. But.

New Jersey residents can't go out and buy an AR-15 legally, yet. Under federal court rules, the opinion drops (in cases without a federal law), then there's a two-week period to submit a request for a stay or rehearing, and then a week after that, mandate issues to the lower courts. The precedent is set with the ruling, but the law gets to stay in effect until mandate issues, or if a stay is granted, until the stay concludes. That'd be July 31st for New Jersey's deadline, and August 7th for the mandate issuing. Possibly plus a couple days; ANJRPC is saying that the court clerk is planning to actually issue on August 10th.

But New Jersey resident can't go out and buy an AR-15 practically, yet, because in the state, it's only legal to buy a firearm from an FFL with a state Retail Firearms Dealer's License. Those regulations mean that the merchant has given permission to regular warrantless searches, and a single illegal transaction (even if under a law he or she can't be prosecuted for at the time of inspection) could mean waving goodbye to the licenses and thus business. The various laws about import and transfer weren't cleanly blocked by this opinion, cfe again Nybbler's complaints. And it's illegal for a New Jersey resident to go out-of-state to buy a rifle from someone, or for an out-of-state FFL to sell a gun to New Jersians, even if the buyers were willing to roll the dice on the possession ban.

Magazines, however, don't hit any of those requirements. The big vendors aren't going to ship them to a New Jersey address because they'll get sued, and even a meritless suit is expensive as hell. And New Jersey has been aggressive about lawsuits targeting vendors who sell lawful gun components under other theories. But in practice, there's a lot of merchants who were selling normal magazines, and an even larger number of private sales that would be practically impossible to trace or recover damages from, and they've all had very good business the last week and a half.

From a purely legal perspective, that's banned by the law, which is still in force. In practice, the state of New Jersey is physically incapable of bringing a case to trial in a month, and it would struggle to bring a case to trial before the end of SCOTUS's next session, and pretty much restricted to the case where SCOTUS GVR's ANJRPC post-Viramontes. If you think SCOTUS won't actively support the ban here, New Jersey's ability to actually convict under the law is nearly a dead letter. But before mandate issues, a police officer arresting you can argue that the unconstitutionality of his behavior was not clearly established, and you still get to spend days, weeks, or months in jail, have an arrest record, and have your FPIC(s) revoked for it. Of course, it's not like police arresting people over an unconstitutional statute reliably breaks qualified immunity even after literal decades after final judgement, so that's always at least a possible problem, but here it's more on the plausible side.

So I don't recommend, for your first state felony, taking a photograph and posting it on social media. I am not a lawyer and this is not legal advice, but it's probably not the best plan.

No small number of people did it, though, and given things like California's Freedom Week, there's not-crazy motivations for everything up to the photograph part.

Legal Strategy

Which means a big question is what New Jersey does. California's Freedom Week was a week because California sought, and received, a stay. Courts have traditionally been very generous when staying rulings affecting a significant law, and SCOTUS in particular has been much more willing to stay pro-gun rulings than anti-gun ones. The smart money was that New Jersey would seek a stay and request cert from SCOTUS. Even if the state didn't receive cert, or even if they lost the case, the law could stay in effect for several months longer. Which also allows the state's legislature to write workarounds and successors to the law, like a slightly-less-impossible registration or permitting requirement. ANJRPC themselves predicts:

"Following the July 17 en banc ruling, New Jersey is expected to move to stay the mandate and seek further review (rehearing en banc or Supreme Court certiorari). The stay ruling will determine whether the assault-firearms and 10-round magazine bans remain enforceable in the interim — the key near-term development to watch."

So far, New Jersey has not, and has not yet committed to doing so. New Jersey's Attorney General doesn't even have a current statement on their website; it posted an image on Facebook without any clear statement beyond "considering our options". There's been a sequence of short e-mails that have gone out to merchants from the state police, but that started by giving the wrong date and has since turned into 'wait for further guidance'. It's possible the police don't know, either.

So there's some difficult questions, here. And it's not clear what New Jersey's legal side is doing. Possibilities:

  • They're waiting for the last second to file a stay request or rehearing request with the en banc court. This does maximize uncertainty -- a gun purchase could be illegal July 30th, legal August 11th, illegal again on August 18th, and then a big question mark about the status for literally years -- in a situation where states have brought charges against legal conduct. But that's going to encourage a lot of theoretically-illegal behavior that New Jersey says it wants to block, for the sake of... not writing a fairly short request in a week? Preserving optionality? The worst case scenario is the en banc court says no, and that does speed up the final seven-day clock before mandate issues. But that doesn't stop them saying they're going to put in a request, and they haven't yet.
  • They're waiting to file a SCOTUS cert request or stay request. That can go up to 90 days after judgment, plus 60 days if they request an extension, and near-certainly buys a stay given Viramontes. But they can request a stay before filing the actual cert request, and there, the normal course of events buys them 150 days before they even have to finish the paper, and likely 8-10 months before the earliest plausible denial and end of stay. It's a really obvious tactic... and it doesn't explain why it hasn't happened, or why the state hasn't finalized any recommendations for consumers or merchants.
  • They're going to take it on the chin: stop enforcement of the assault weapons ban to rifles, allow purchase of magazines, and just focus on keeping the law in place for pistols and shotguns. There's been repeated fantasies hopes that there would, at some point, be a Second Amendment loss so severe that an anti-gun state would accept it rather than risk SCOTUS making a disliked standard apply across the country. There's been a few close examples, though typically motivated by other forces (eg, Range was a Trump DoJ refusing to appeal; NYRSPA I and Teter v Hawaii were tactically mooted). It's hard to see the benefit to that, here: SCOTUS already has granted cert in Viramontes on assault rifles, and has Duncan, Lamont, and Gator's Custom Guns sitting on ice and available to grant for magazine bans. But I guess appealing it might inform SCOTUS of a circuit split, as if 28(j) letters didn't exist?
  • They're confused. The current Attorney General just took office, they were plausibly pretty optimistic about the case, and they failed to plan. Weird, but weirder things have happened.
  • They're planning other non-legal strategies. The charitable version is the legislature reconvening and passing a massive gun bill tailored to comply with ANJRPC while being as restrictive as possible. The more plausible one is a regulatory change trying to slap together something that isn't clearly foreclosed by ANJRPC, like the same law but with a license one-in-ten people could achieve after a ton of sweat and money, rather than literally zero. The pessimistic one ... I dunno. There's a lot of room for harassment without leaving real civil liability for police or state officials, but I'm not seeing anything obvious that isn't hilariously unlawful. But I'm also not a lawyer, and the difference between 'unlawful' and 'can be punished for violating' is not trivial. Because the court didn't actually provide an injunction, and only instead told the district court to give one, there's some morbidly funny situations where no one's in contempt of court for weeks despite clearly treating the court with contempt.

I dunno. This case isn't equivalent to Obergfell, or Lawrence, where laws across the country were changed overnight in manners that had street celebrations acting on the newly recognized rights. It's limited to a single circuit, and even the broadest ramification is going to get some resistance, and that resistance isn't going to get the Kim Davis treatment. But it could mean something for hundreds of thousands of real people, as much as The_Nybbler's not going to be able to join that cohort without fleeing the state.

Maybe. This is the commitment now to say it's matters if it does, and it matters if it doesn't.

I'm amused at how gun possession is supposedly a right, and yet with all the caveats laid out here, it seems more like a privilege in practice. Meanwhile, driving is supposedly a privilege, but I'd bet a million dollars I could get a NJ driver's license and own any car I wanted in NJ sooner than I could own any gun I wanted in NJ. Driving seems to be more of a right than guns are.

Driving isn't technically a right, but it's even better than that; you can get a driver's license anywhere in the world, as long as it is in English or you have what's called an International Drivers Permit (which is just a translation of your license) and legally drive in New Jersey. For cars you're limited to what's street legal in the US.

For guns, unless you're a US citizen who lives in NJ, have at least two other unrelated adult NJ citizens willing to literally vouch for you, have never seen any sort of mental health doctor, are comfortable dealing with police, are willing to be fingerprinted and sign away your rights for them to examine your medical records, no guns (including pellet guns, and also all ammo) for you. If you do get all of that, you might be able eventually to purchase one of the ever-dwindling set of NJ-legal guns. Actually, as many NJ-legal rifles as you want, but only one handgun... for a second handgun you have to do the whole permit process again.

Yeah, it's a ridiculous joke, but the Supreme Court and all so-called gun rights organizations are fine with it.

have never seen any sort of mental health doctor,

Hold on isn't this just "involuntary or voluntary admission?" Per google found a law firm saying that's the case. Including voluntary is a bit sketchy in my mind but the steel man is pretty reasonable - "did someone in the community and a panel of experts on safety agree that you were an acute danger to yourself or others" is not that unreasonable. The reality of the situation means that sometimes admissions are soft but on paper "a bunch of people though you were going to kill yourself or someone else" is not that unreasonable of a disqualified for owning a firearm.

If for some reason this involves mundane outpatient interaction with a psychiatrist then people in the state have the easiest lawsuit in the world - just find someone who saw a psychiatrist one time as a kid because they were annoying, was going through grief or adjustment disorder or something like that and take it to the Supreme Court.

Hold on, isn't this just "involuntary or voluntary admission"?

No.

If for some reason this involves mundane outpatient interaction with a psychiatrist

Yes.

Applications for permits to purchase a handgun and for firearms purchaser identification cards shall be in the form prescribed by the superintendent and shall set forth the name, residence, place of business, age, date of birth, occupation, sex, any aliases or other names previously used by the applicant, gender, and physical description, including distinguishing physical characteristics, if any, of the applicant, and shall state

  • whether the applicant has ever been confined or committed to a mental institution or hospital for treatment or observation of a mental or psychiatric condition on a temporary, interim or permanent basis, giving the name and location of the institution or hospital and the dates of confinement or commitment,

  • whether the applicant has been attended, treated or observed by any doctor or psychiatrist or at any hospital or mental institution on an inpatient or outpatient basis for any mental or psychiatric condition, giving the name and location of the doctor, psychiatrist, hospital or institution and the dates of the occurrence,

For the purpose of complying with this subsection, the applicant shall waive any statutory or other right of confidentiality relating to institutional confinement. The application shall be signed by the applicant and shall contain as references the names and addresses of two reputable citizens personally acquainted with the applicant.

Filling out the form falsely is a strict-liability felony.

Any person who gives or causes to be given any false information, or signs a fictitious name or address, in applying for a firearms purchaser identification card, a permit to purchase a handgun, a permit to carry a handgun, a permit to possess a machine gun, a permit to possess an assault firearm, or in completing the certificate or any other instrument required by law in purchasing or otherwise acquiring delivery of any rifle, shotgun, handgun, machine gun, or assault firearm or any other firearm, is guilty of a crime of the third degree. [Note the lack of the word "knowingly" in this paragraph, even though it is present in other paragraphs of the same law.]

So, if you were "attended, treated, or observed" "for any mental or psychiatric condition", but you can't give the name, location, and date because you don't have the records, then you can't get a gun.

Great, easy lawsuit then! "I went a few times as a kid to rule out ADHD and my parents and I don't have any records." Should be slam dunk 2A case.

I'm noting that your highlighted text does not note that seeing a psychiatrist outpatient is exclusionary.

Great, easy lawsuit then! "I went a few times as a kid to rule out ADHD and my parents and I don't have any records." Should be slam dunk 2A case.

There are no slam dunk 2A cases. First of all, if you don't put a name and hospital affiliation of the doctor, they deny the permit on the grounds that it is incomplete. Don't know those things? No gun for you. No appeal from that. Second, if you do, they may just deny the permit. You can try to appeal that but the state courts will be against you at every turn, and you have to exhaust all of that before you can even ask the Supreme Court to take a look, and in the end they won't. Sometimes, apparently, they'll require you to see a psychiatrist who will swear on his license that you're OK to own a gun (this seems to be with ex-military people who have seen a VA-associated mental health doctor, so it's probably a courtesy to them not to just deny it). Good luck with that.

I don't understand how the NRA can't get anywhere with "this person can't complete the form because they were six years old and their parents are dead."

You can not understand all you want; it is true nonetheless. My personal belief is the conservative gun rights people are fine with the restriction; they're fine with no one having guns unless they've had conservative beliefs all their lives and thus have both people willing to vouch for them and no mental health record at all. But the alternate possibility -- that they know fighting it is futile -- is not ruled out.