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Culture War Roundup for the week of November 2, 2026

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I really don't like making grand pronouncements (I think it's a bit narcissistic) but since I seem to have a reputation on The Motte I think it's only fair to take my licks:

  • Midterms were worse than I thought. I would have guessed 49-53 Senate seats for Dems and 220-230 seats in the House.
  • The collapse is so bad that I think it necessitates some new theories about how American politics works. I.e. I don't think Trump's record right now is worse than Bush in 2006 or Obama in 2010 or Biden in 2022. Voters clearly disagree? Inflation reached 8% in 2022, gas right now is lower adjusted for inflation than it was under Obama.
  • Obviously, Iran is very unpopular. I still accept Trump's judgment that it was the right thing to do and I still believe that the war is (plainly) a military success. (Call me crazy!)
  • Trump is a fighter and is going to strike back. I think all calls for his impeachment or step down are bad politics and also bad reads of Donald Trump.
  • Texas with Blue governance would be worse value than California or Illinois, because you don't even have the nice beaches and beautiful cities. But predictions that Texas is about to precipitously decline are overblown. (Texas has a lot of hot smart and beautiful people.)
  • I think the AI buildout will probably not stop, although it will have to reassess. I maintain that AI is so powerful that it's bad for Democrats to hand it over to Republicans even if it polls extremely well in the short and medium-term. I expect that a lot of AI Pause rhetoric will merely grease the wheels for Dems and tech to come to a new arrangement.
  • A lot of my friends who were loyal Trump guys are crashing out now. I do think it's still too soon to call this the death of MAGA, and there is no going back to the old establishment Republican consensus.
  • We're probably closing the window, globally, on a 10-year exuberance of populism and replacing it with something else. To those inclined to gloat, I suspect that whatever comes next will actually be worse for everybody. (For example, imagine a MAGA-Groyper fusion.) (You're going to miss Trump when he's gone.)
  • I think the Groypers might be earning a place in the future.
  • There have been a lot of predictions about Dems undergoing a realignment 10 years after the Republican realignment. I don't think this will happen at all. DSA and center-lib-left Dems will coexist quite peaceably in the way that only political allies that hate each other can.
  • The results were worse than I expected and losing will carry a lot of political consequences. But I maintain that midterms still matter for very little. The powers that Democrats are unlocking for themselves (such as imperiling the future of a Republican SCOTUS) are weak compared to the powers of the president.
  • I do not believe that Democrats are on the cusp of a permanent one-party state or any other despair narratives I see on the right. I don't think this will be true even if they do win in 2028.

Blah blah blah, words words words, excuses excuses, feel free to get your licks in now.

The prevailing narrative on the online right back in 2016 was that Trump was it. The final charge. One last hurrah. The demographics can't sustain first world politics if things don't radically change. The detractors and 'true realists' said the demographics were already too far gone, but people chose to believe in Trump. Either he gets things done or it's over and we will be permanently stuck in a non-white/third-world timeline. The 'energy' and hope around Trump and his campaign in 2016 was powerful but the nasty little secret behind it was desperation. Change wasn't just coming, it was already here and time was running out.

The elements of the right that understood the demographic timeline started dropping off throughout Trump's first term, as Trump failed to live up to what was needed of him. Which might have been too much, to be fair to Trump. But what sealed the deal was that Trump was never operating on that wavelength to begin with. The right wing completely lost its direction after that. Either you dropped into the Trump vortex or you became politically homeless, supporting the right wing only for self preservation and a seething dislike of the left.

Following that, you had multiple camps all looking for answers as to just what to do or what their politics even were. Hating on Trump became an immediate reflexive pastime, whilst others held to some kind of hope that he could change. Some slid back towards the left and Liberalism or fell back into their old libertarian foxholes, whilst others just rode the Tiger like Fuentes.

Higher minded folks who saw themselves outside the former alt-right, now grift-right, started taking their own views far too seriously. Either by reviving the spirit of VenomFangX and becoming born again online Christians, now that their main adversary, online Atheism, has killed itself. Or by dropping the middle man and directly worshipping their own blogs instead. The NRx has famously solved the world through blogging and posting mildly racist and sexist takes on X, though it has so far failed to achieve its most immediate goal of tardwrangling the lower caste right wingers into supporting JD Vance. I mean, what good is all this theory and intelligence if you can't muster the men to do your bidding? But all of that was just cope. Desperate attempts at retreating and organizing after the big battle had been lost.

The core of the right was always very simple. Find hard but clear and pivotal truths about the world, recognize them and take the necessary actions these truths demand. Natural Law, Capitalism, Demographics is destiny. And in an odd way the last few years have managed to diffuse that simple core into a bunch of meaningless nonsense that, even if symptomatic of a host of issues, doesn't count towards anything real.

The truth of it is that we're experiencing the fallout of white America's final failure. As the first world slowly slides into being a first world and a half. And considering we don't have a ground war in Iran just yet, America might just have got off easy, as far as that issue is concerned, and Trump might have done more good than many. Which is certainly believable when looking back at his competition in 2016.

Great comment. I think the failure can be understood like this: when you listen to anyone, leftism is what you get, but when you listen to the brilliant, you get rightism. The American right, however, listened to anyone, and so leftism is what they got. Some brilliant people spoke to them, but they did not listen, so now they have what they have.

In other words, Trump was not a good enough man. There were men who could have ruled, but the right spurned them. But actions have consequences, so consequences were had. When Trump failed, all of the brilliant thinkers left the right, leaving it a void of mental desolation. The sophist NRx bloggers were at the head of this desolation. I know children in middle school with better writing style, and I know pot heads with better philosophical capacities than many of these.