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birb_cromble  4d ago (text post)   976 thread views

Qeekly Finance Thread - 2026-11-07

A weekly thread to discuss financial matters - from personal all the way up to global.

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Yes, that's more or less what I was thinking of in my initial reply.

Hopefully Claude would have caught that.

I assume so, if you used a sensible prompt.

Also, sorry, I made an unrelated edit after you replied. To expand on the variance swap replication, it looks like even the one-year term strip is crazy illiquid. Like, literally zero open interest on most nodes. Eyeballing the quoted mid IVs, though, @omw_68 could be right that the market is (at untradable mids) underpricing forward AI vol.

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