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Culture War Roundup for the week of April 3, 2023

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I'd like to see (ethnic) Indian leadership lead to a Conservative government actually implementing the policies they soapbox about, but I'm not holding my breath.

Sunak can hardly claim to want to get immigration to sustainable levels while at the same time opening the borders to 150,000 Ukrainians, 150,000 Hong Kongers, 500,000 international students (plus as many as six dependents each). Over the past year the UK has taken more than 1 million immigrants. Talking tough about the rape gangs won't stop lightspeed ethnic replacement and ever more expensive housing.

Certainly, the ethnic minority members of the party are more nominally in favour of implementing some semblance of an immigration policy, which I guess is ironic. But clearly whatever forces stopped Theresa May from getting the numbers down to a sane level are also affecting the current government.

They are having similar problems in Australia. Inverse population pyramid as the baby boomers age out. Boomers had less kids than their parents due to some nebulous ill-defined influence that modernisation has on Total Fertility Rate. Aging population votes for social security and puts pressure on the healthcare/pension system. Not enough young tax payers to foot the bill.

Western governments see the way out as importing foreign 'fungible economic units'; young tax payers that their source countries have paid the cost in educating that they can brain drain off to grow the tax base and act as workers to prop up the economy and service the aging population.

The cultural impacts (social alienation, entropy of high trust society, ethnic tension) of the above get mostly ignored in any political discussion and conflated with pure racism. Economists throw fuel on the fire by talking about the economic benefits of mass-immigration while ignoring non-economic impacts.

And here we are. Australia is currently aiming to import 900,000 immigrants this year to add to a population of 25 million with massive impacts on rental and housing affordability. The politicians that make these sorts of policies are of course siloed off from any impacts by already owning property in richer suburbs.

Western governments see the way out as importing foreign 'fungible economic units'; young tax payers that their source countries have paid the cost in educating that they can brain drain off to grow the tax base and act as workers to prop up the economy and service the aging population.

Here's a graph from a report from the Netherlands. (Here's the full report, but it's in Dutch.)

The Y axis is how likely an immigrant is to leave again within 10 years, the X axis is how likely an immigrant is primarily on welfare after 2 years. There is an obvious relationship: people who want to build what we'd call a proper life, don't want to stay here.

And honestly who can blame them. You'll get taxed half to death, and harassed and robbed in the street by the people your tax money is going to. If you're not born here, why would you put up with that? If you're already moving, you may as well move to a nice place. It's only the people with ill intent, who intend on becoming the harassers and robbers, who'd want to stay here long term. They lead decent enough lives, better than any honest members of the working class.

Of course, this means that immigration is a net drain on the tax base, as every report has shown and every policymaker must by now know. I'm sure it's the same in the rest of Northern and Western Europe. Bringing people in because it's good for the economy is not even a good excuse anymore.

people who want to build what we'd call a proper life, don't want to stay here.

With Dutch taxation levels is this in any way a surprise? You disincentivise high earners from staying in your country and then act surprised when they want to leave. While at the same time your profligate welfare policies incentivise the low skilled to come and stay, and then act surprised that they come and stay.

It's not a surprise to me, which is why I can't but assume that it isn't a surprise to the policymakers either.

Therefore, importing "fungible economic units" can't be the real reason.

Yes it can be. The people who makes these decisions wants this to be true because the alternative is too uncomfortable to consider in whole number of ways so they ignore the information showing that the immigration is a net negative in more or less every aspect.

What do you think it is then? A progressive desire to provide immigrants with a better life, or an expectation that the 2nd generation of immigrants would be more economically viable?